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Australia: A sheriff with a strategy
By Stephen Blank

President George W Bush's visit to Australia brought him to a country that has been a long-standing and proven ally of the United States. Indeed, he recently called Australia America's "sheriff" in the region. And in the global "war on terrorism" it has been a strategic and operational trailblazer.

Even before its citizens were attacked in Bali last October, Australia had instituted a robust homeland defense system that integrated police, domestic and foreign intelligence agencies and the military in enhanced readiness to counter terrorist threats. Soon after the Bali bombing, Australia revised its 2000 military doctrine to emphasize power-projection forces and preventive operations in distant theaters to forestall threats that could degenerate into terrorism, or worse. Thus Australian doctrine and strategy fully comport with the United States' readiness to undertake preventive operations against terrorism or weapons of mass destruction (WMD).

Not surprisingly, Australia has also sent forces to participate in the wars in Afghanistan and in Iraq. But Australia has moved further than simply deploying forces for such missions by creating joint force structures to effectuate this new strategy of power projection and preventive operations, including preventive stability operations.

A study of the Royal Australian Navy and naval theater missile defense states openly that the Australian Approach to Warfare (AAW) refers directly to WMD, noting that these weapons are a more immediate concern to Australia than the prospect of invasion or military intimidation. The doctrine goes on to argue that, in practice, the Australian Defense Forces' (ADFs') role goes far beyond the fundamental requirement to deter or defeat an armed attack on Australia itself. This posture demands an ability to operate with the defense forces of other nations and away from Australia's shores.

AAW reiterates a preference for attacking hostile forces as far away as possible. The Future Warfighting Concept (FWC) also lists WMD and ballistic missiles as issues that the ADF will need to contend with. The FWC goes on to say that Australia's interests are now "truly global" and that events far from its neighborhood can have a direct impact upon its citizens. Dealing with such issues will require the ADF to be able to "project power" within Australia and within the region. Canberra is also promoting this power-projection capability to distant theaters as a joint force that employs all the services. Recent suggestions of assigning an Australian armored brigade for overseas service entails a sizable complement of other forces for purposes of force protection and highlights the move toward making expeditionary forces a priority.

Furthermore, Australia has just implemented this policy by sending preventive deployments to the Solomon Islands, 2,000 kilometers northwest of its shores. Australia acted to forestall these islands' drift into unrest and potential violence, which could make them a haven for terrorism. As part of the deployment, Australia is providing land, sealift, airlift and amphibious forces. Clearly this operation and its guiding policy represent an experiment in crisis prevention to forestall terrorism, insurgency and other forms of civil violence. Thus, they signify a departure from traditional Australian policy and are an interesting precedent from which others can learn.

Canberra's decision suggests that finally some governments have understood that distant unrest threatens international or at least regional security and must be confronted expeditiously. Threats originating in hitherto distant theaters can no longer be ignored.

This example of genuine crisis prevention, undertaken by regionally powerful states who can assemble political-military support for their actions, may become a precedent that is usable beyond this case. And it certainly shows that new capabilities are generating a redefinition of strategic space wherein forces can operate and undertake new missions with new force packages.

Australia's intervention in the Solomons has received support from all 16 Pacific Island Forum states, New Zealand and even France. Clearly these countries share Australia's fears about trends in the Solomons and have duly accepted a doctrine that they might otherwise have tended to reject. Canberra is also acting without seeking United Nations support. Indeed, Foreign Minister Alexander Downer has derided multilateralism when it becomes a "synonym for an ineffective and unfocused policy involving internationalism of the lowest common denominator".

While this may not be the same kind of intervention Washington envisaged in its new strategy, it clearly represents Canberra's sense that its broader strategic environment is precarious, therefore, preventive action is needed sooner rather than later. Canberra's actions not only show Washington's influence upon the Australian government's thinking, they also suggest that despite attacks against US strategy, Canberra believes Washington correctly grasped the significance of major and disruptive changes in the structure of international security.

Australia's decision also represents other critical precedents. For years there have been calls for the UN to take up effective crisis management and even more crisis prevention, however, far too often the UN has been an excuse for inaction in some of the worst humanitarian disasters of our time. Canberra's justification of genuine crisis prevention, undertaken by regionally powerful states that can assemble political-military support for their actions, may become a precedent that is usable beyond this case in other troubled areas.

This precedent is unlikely to be a perfect solution in all cases of state failure, civic violence etc. But absent effective multilateralism, and given the UN's inability to function as a peacemaker without great power support from all members of the Security Council, Australia's precedent could mark a step forward in international security, not to mention the "war against terrorism".

It would be hard to discern a greater contribution by an ally to the United States. Canberra not only shares Washington's concepts concerning international security, but is also prepared to act vigorously to realize those concepts in practice. While Australia's new strategy is clearly inspired by the United States' example, it also can become a precedent for other states facing a similar security threat. And it is to be hoped that it can bring about genuine crisis prevention in a host of areas lest more such crises emerge.

While this is not a prefect solution to the problems of failing states, it may be the most effective one that we currently can devise. And in that respect it could actually mark a step forward in the construction of a stable international order.

Stephen Blank is an analyst of international security affairs residing in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

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Oct 24, 2003



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