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Philippines: Blurring the boundaries of terror
By Marco Garrido

MANILA - Instead of labeling the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) terrorist, as the United States had threatened to do only months earlier, President George W Bush lauded them as peacemakers. At 12,500 members, the MILF is considered the largest insurgency group in Southeast Asia. Twenty-five years of fighting for an independent Islamic state in the southern Philippines have left hundreds of thousands dead and tens of thousands displaced. Yet, instead of freezing their funds, Bush pledged an enormous influx of new funds - US$30 million to be exact - earmarked for MILF territories "when a lasting peace is established".

In his speech before the Philippine Congress last week, Bush even cited a letter written to him by MILF chairman Hashim Salamat renouncing terrorism. Shortly before his death on July 13, Salamat publicly committed to resuming peace talks with the Philippine government and denounced terrorism as "anathema to Islam". He also vehemently denied alleged links between the MILF and terrorist organizations Jemaah Islamiya (JI) and al-Qaeda.

This last point the United States is not buying. And while Bush made no mention of it, it is, perhaps, precisely the point driving his overtures of goodwill toward the MILF - and imbuing them with an edge of menace. There is an "or else" implicitly tacked at the end of Bush's call for the insurgency to renounce terror and conclude peace negotiations with Manila. He is really serving the MILF its last notice. It must choose on which side of the "war on terror" it stands: with the US or against it. His promise of aid doesn't quite eclipse - and it's not quite meant to - the threat of some form of punitive action should the insurgency retain affiliation with terror groups.

The MILF is just as eager to avoid being labeled a foreign terrorist organization by the United States. In the months when a terror tag seemed imminent, MILF spokesman Eid Kabalu accused the Philippine government of alleging terrorist links in order to intimidate the insurgency either into peace talks or out of them: into them from a position of disadvantage or out of them in order to justify renewed military action and even US intervention.

Regardless, the allegations against the MILF have become increasingly well evidenced. The arrest of Riduan Isamuddin, alias Hambali, believed to be al-Qaeda's point man in Asia, has proved particularly incriminating. Hambali confirmed suspicions that JI members train in MILF camps and that "most likely a large number of members of JI Indonesia are hiding in the Philippines and supporting the MILF". He also told American interrogators that al-Qaeda transferred $27,000 to MILF coffers in recent months.

Hambali's testimony corroborates other evidence. A number of JI members arrested in Singapore last month attested to having trained in the MILF complex Camp Abubakar. According to Time magazine, Omar al-Faruq, a senior al-Qaeda representative in Southeast Asia, admitted to having spent time in an MILF base in the mid-1990s.

These links, while in the spotlight now, are hardly new. Osama bin Laden is reported to have visited the Philippines in 1993. According to CNN, in 1999 he asked Hashim Salamat to set up training camps for al-Qaeda in Mindanao. Salamat had admitted to receiving funds from bin Laden but only for mosques, health centers, and Islamic schools. Bin Laden's brother-in-law, Mohammed Khalifa, purportedly ran an Islamic charity during his tenure in the Philippines but is suspected of having financed the bandit-cum-terrorist Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG). And, of course, Ramzi Yousef, who masterminded the 1993 bombing of the World Trade Center in New York, had once collaborated with Filipino militants in foiled plots to assassinate US president Bill Clinton and Pope John Paul II in 1994 and 1995 respectively.

The history of such links would seem to make the MILF an appropriate target in the "war on terror", certainly more appropriate anyway than the ragtag Abu Sayyaf bandits, who have been the focus of so much US ire and effort. However, labeling the MILF terrorist would be far more consequential: it would risk inflaming the war in Mindanao past manageable proportions and driving a legitimate insurgency to extremism, to living up to their label by solidifying ties with terrorist groups and engaging themselves in acts of terror.

While "there can be no compromise with terror", Bush maintained in his address to the Philippine Congress, it seems one can compromise in what counts as terrorist. The administrations of Bush and Philippine President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo make a distinction that preserves their hard line against terrorism while sparing them the catastrophic consequences of labeling the MILF terrorist. They have drawn a line, perhaps through the MILF, with the insurgency on one side and the terrorists - JI members and radical MILF elements - on the other. And they are doing their utmost to make sure the line isn't crossed.

In the days following Bush's visit, President Arroyo declared JI "the top national-security priority" (with "the second top national-security priority" being - surprise - the MILF). The Philippine military accompanied by US "biowarfare experts" raided an alleged JI safe house in Cotabato and discovered documents and substances purported to be "bioterror weapons". While only 40 JI members are estimated to be in Mindanao, Arroyo has called the group's plans "both deadly and far-ranging" and a threat to regional stability.

The Philippine and US governments' hard line against JI contrasts with its carrot-and-stick handling of the MILF. Peace talks are scheduled to resume early next month. The United States has expressed interest in brokering these talks, and, in any case, has promised its "vigorous support" for the process. All the same, the MILF is expected to toe the line accordingly - or else. Arroyo demanded that the insurgency purge its ranks of terrorist cells. She considered this "the sine qua non" to continuing peace negotiations. The US, meanwhile, has threatened to withdraw its pledge of $30 million in development aid should the group retain its terrorist links. The gambit is this: if the stakes are made painfully clear to the MILF - peace or relentless war - then the sides will clarify, and the terrorists will leaven from the real insurgency.

The problem is that the ties affiliating the MILF to terrorist groups may be more real than the line separating terrorist from insurgent. Even if the insurgency wants to repudiate its terrorist affiliations, it may not be able to. For one, the MILF and groups such as JI and al-Qaeda share formative references. The pan-Islamism of the late Egyptian president Gamal Abdul Nasser shaped their thinking (Hashim Salamat attended Cairo University in the 1970s), the experience of Afghanistan conditioned their methods (MILF commanders served alongside the likes of Osama bin Laden as mujahideen), and the situation in Palestine reminds them of their grievance with the non-Muslim world. (One might even add that the "war on terror" has so far exacerbated that grievance.)

Moreover, however generous the terms of any peace agreement it signs, the MILF must realize that it will never be granted what it took to arms for in the first place: a Muslim homeland in Mindanao. The Philippine government has expressly ruled this out of its framework for negotiation: "The government shall assert and uphold its authority under the constitution to preserve our territorial integrity as one nation." With independence out of the question and with the Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao already under the charge of former Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) insurgents, there isn't much in the way of territory that the government can really offer the MILF. This fact may dampen the insurgency's incentive to negotiate - or, for the rank and file, to cooperate wholeheartedly with the terms of any negotiation - and encourage its looking outward, toward the Islamic world, for affirmation of its essential aspirations.

Dr Samuel Tan, author of several books on the Mindanao conflict, maintains that the Philippine government has long belittled certain "fundamental realities" in the Moro consciousness: that independence is essential, that the Tripoli Accord (signed by the MNLF in 1996) was merely tactical in nature and represented no long-term solution, and "that the ultimate hope for the Muslim Community in the Philippines for progress and prosperity lies not in the Christian-dominated state but in the dynamic relation and linkage to the Islamic world". Tan concludes: "There is no perceivable indication that these premises are weakening. The contrary is what is obviously emerging." The failure of the state to provide genuine autonomy and sufficient development to Muslim communities, the failure of civil society to neutralize long-standing anti-Muslim bias, and the exploitation of the conflict by self-serving and nefarious interests - politicians, the military and terrorists - have deepened a well of Muslim frustration and resentment that any peace agreement short on substance will find impossible to paper over.

Protracted peace, like protracted war, might only spell the further disintegration of the MILF into "lost commands". If the focus of insurgency is allowed to dissipate under a superficial peace, it will breed desperation manifesting as criminality and terrorism. The well of resentment is there to tap, decades of war have already created an undergrowth of illicit economies (gun smuggling, drug trafficking, kidnapping for ransom), and the bounty of peace would be irresistibly available to divert. Imagine the US unknowingly funding JI.

The point is this: the outcome of the "war on terror" largely depends on the quality of the peace - whether the legitimate aspirations of the Bangsamoro people will be accommodated. This may not mean independence, but it does mean some form of genuine and substantive autonomy, one that is buttressed by the state and the international community. The Philippine government's efforts to restart peace talks and the US government's generous support of the peace process are steps in the right direction, but the commitment of both nations to eradicating terror in Mindanao will be truly tested only after the peace agreement has been signed.

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Oct 30, 2003



The evolution of Philippine Muslim insurgency (Mar 6, '03)

Southern Philippines: A recipe for violence (Mar 6, '03)

Malice in Moroland
(Feb 25, '03)

The Philippines' bumbling terror war (Oct 23, '02)

 

     
         
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