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Southeast Asia

Arroyo happy with foreign affairs vacuum
By Miriam Grace A Go

MANILA - It was somewhat ironic that Philippine foreign affairs secretary Blas Ople died on the day that United States forces announced the capture of Saddam Hussein, as the veteran diplomat was the architect behind President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo projecting Manila as a key ally in the "war on terror".

Ople, 76, died of a heart attack in Taiwan, where the Japan Asia Airways plane on which he was flying from Tokyo to Bangkok landed after declaring a medical emergency.

The president's choice of foreign affairs head has traditionally been a person who could solve local political problems, while at the same time not compromising the administration's strong pro-US position. Ople - a former journalist, labor minister and opposition senator - served Arroyo well on both fronts during his almost one-and-a-half-year stint.

But despite the importance of the foreign affairs position, observers say that Arroyo won't appoint a replacement for Ople as she is likely to wait until after the May 2004 presidential elections to do so - that is, if she wins. This is because a choice now could displease certain influential groups or sectors, which would damage her chances in the elections.

She has, though, assigned Under Secretary Franklin Ebdalin as officer in charge of the Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) as an interim measure. Under secretaries are career diplomats who are generally nearing retirement without being promoted to the highest posts because political appointees always overstep them. Ebdalin has been given such temporary assignment as DFA acting secretary many times in the past, whenever the president was still deciding - make that horse-trading - which politician to appoint as foreign affairs secretary.

Ople died about a month after the Manila visit of US President George W Bush gave Arroyo's public approval ratings a boost and dampened the left's anti-American (and anti-Arroyo) campaign. The Philippines has supported the US without hesitation, and Ople had guided the Arroyo administration in such a way that it is now an important strategic spot on America's radar again.

In Arroyo's three years as president, her choices for the foreign affairs portfolio - she made two - were controversial. In the context of local politics, they caused conflicts between her and her major political supporters. In terms of international affairs, her first choice, present Vice President Teofisto Guingona Jr, even threatened to cause a strain in Philippine-US relations.

When she assumed Joseph Estrada's unfinished presidency in January 2001, Arroyo picked then-senator Guingona to be her vice president. Guingona was president of the political party, the Lakas (Power) - National Union of Christian Democrats, that adopted her when she ran for vice president in 1998. He was also the one who delivered in the Senate a privilege speech that exposed then-president Estrada's abuse of power that led to his impeachment. As a political payback expected of her by party mates, Arroyo named him vice president. She also adopted the policy of her late father, the former president Diosdado Macapagal, of making the vice president serve concurrently as foreign affairs secretary.

The problem was, were it not for the political accommodation which she chose to make, she wanted another person for the DFA - a person who knew the movers and shakers in Washington. Her personal choice was the US-educated Roberto "Bobby" Romulo, foreign affairs secretary during the time of president Fidel Ramos and older son of the late former United Nations secretary general Carlos Romulo.

Roberto Romulo had declined to serve as DFA secretary again, apparently burned by his experience in 1995, when the public was outraged by his supposed failure to dissuade Singapore from hanging a Filipino domestic helper found guilty of killing her young ward and a fellow Filipino domestic helper. Instead, Arroyo named Romulo the "presidential adviser for global competitiveness", actually a euphemism for a de facto foreign affairs secretary.

As a result, Romulo established a shadow DFA office which formulated the so-called "pillars of Philippine foreign policy", which observers said had a pro-US drift. Reportedly helping Romulo in formulating foreign policy initiatives and positions were then Association of Southeast Asian Nations secretary general Rodolfo Severino and former ambassador to Washington, Raul Rabe. Both men had reportedly been offered the DFA portfolio before Arroyo claimed to have had Guingona as her first choice for the job.

On the activation of Romulo's group, Arroyo would be heard saying that relations with the US, as well as with Japan and China, would be the "determining influence in the security situation and economic evolution of East Asia". She also declared that "the military alliance with the US is a strategic asset for the Philippines". Months later, right after the September 11 attacks on the US, she readily declared full support for the US's call to fight terrorism.

Meanwhile, Guingona, the official DFA secretary, had increasingly taken "nationalistic" - some say leftist or anti-American, depending on how one looked at it - stands on issues affecting US interests in the Philippines. As a senator, Guingona questioned the constitutionality of the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) with the US because he felt that it would eventually pave the way for accommodating US military installations, something clearly banned by the 1987 constitution. Eleven years ago, the Philippine Senate voted to close the US military bases across the country. As DFA secretary, Guingona was tasked to implement the VFA, so he naturally dilly-dallied on it.

He was also of the position that the controversial Mutual Logistics Support Agreement between the two countries should be ratified by the Philippine Senate because it was a treaty - something the constitution required - and not just to be signed as an executive agreement between Manila and Washington.

Needless to say, his positions on these issues went directly against the policies recommended by Romulo's group, and which the president was more comfortable with. Guingona was eventually given an embarrassing exit, when Malacanang Palace announced that it was accepting his resignation as DFA chief when he had not submitted one. This caused frictions, but not an exodus, among members of the president's party mates.

When a presidential committee started searching for a replacement for Guingona, Arroyo's hold on the Senate was at the same time getting shaky. Hardcore opposition senators suddenly convinced enough colleagues to go to their side and stage a coup against the Senate president. Ople's vote was expected to break the impasse - he was with the opposition, but wasn't particularly enamored by the alternative Senate president that his allies were backing. If Malacanang plucked Ople out of the Senate, it would be easier to tilt the balance in favor of the administration bloc again.

So pluck they did. Ople's appointment, however, met strong opposition from the so-called civil society, actually a group of non-government organizations headed and peopled by the supporters of former president Corazon Aquino and then Manila archbishop Jaime Cardinal Sin. These NGOs, which helped gather the crowds that ousted Estrada and installed Arroyo, were against Ople because he had served for a long time in the cabinet of the late dictator Ferdinand Marcos.

Ople, however, was most qualified for the job. He had chaired the Senate committee on foreign relations since 1992, overseeing some 110 international and bilateral treaties. He sponsored a resolution on the ratification of the Philippines-US Visiting Forces Agreement. He had taken pride in "strongly [supporting] a new partnership with the United States based on sovereign equality and mutual respect". These qualifications, obviously, made him somebody of whom Washington would approve.

Should Arroyo pick a permanent replacement for Ople, however remote the possibility, her choices would be the same people on the short list from which she picked Ople in July last year: Romulo, Severino and Rabe, people she personally preferred but who wouldn't consider being back at the DFA, at least officially.

When Malacanang moved heaven and earth to have Bush visit Manila in November, even for just eight hours, the game plan was supposedly to make it appear that Bush was endorsing another term for Arroyo. The logic behind this was that the majority of the Filipino masses - they who voted Estrada to office and had detested Arroyo for replacing their hero - were pro-American.

The strategy apparently worked, with ordinary Filipinos now equating Arroyo's leadership with the US giving aid and importance to Manila, and they might just elect her for that. Thus the campaigning president need not risk domestic ruptions by making a new appointment.

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Dec 23, 2003



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