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New Year treat for Malaysia's Chinese voters
By Anil Netto

PENANG, Malaysia - Chinese-Malaysians have never had it so good as far as public celebrations of the Lunar New Year are concerned in this Muslim-majority nation. Never before have the festival and Chinese culture in general been so openly highlighted in the mainstream media and in official government functions as they are these days.

Thousands flocked to this month's epic Dances of the Dynasties performances in Genting, near Kuala Lumpur, for instance. The dances were performed by 60 dancers from the renowned Shanghai Song and Dance Ensemble, which has staged similar events in some 30 other countries.

Newspapers are filled with other events heralding the Lunar New Year, while two new television channels, which have just started broadcasting, are adding to an ever-increasing fare of Chinese-language dramas, films and entertainment specials.

But then this is no ordinary year. This year has been conveniently billed "Malaysia-China Friendship Year": it marks 30 years of China-Malaysia diplomatic relations, which began in 1974. It is also the 600th anniversary of the great Admiral Zheng He's (Cheng Ho) expedition to the historic town of Melaka, once the foremost port in this region.

More to the point, this is also an election year. The general election must be held by November, but speculation is mounting that it will be held weeks after the Lunar New Year festival to capitalize on the Chinese "feel-good" factor. With the Malay-Muslim votes still divided between the government and the opposition, the battle for the non-Muslim - especially the Chinese - votes has begun in earnest.

The government is expected to hold a snap general election ahead of party elections of the United Malays National Organization (UMNO)scheduled for the middle of the year. The UMNO elections have already been postponed once in anticipation of the general election and it is unlikely to be postponed again. Thus most people now expect a March date.

It is not difficult to spot the government's attempt to induce a "feel-good" factor. History has shown how the government used warmer diplomatic relations with China and education and cultural liberalization to telling effect in the 1974 and 1995 general elections, respectively.

In 1969, in the aftermath of a heated general election, communal riots between ethnic Malays and Chinese soured these ties in the country, forcing Malaysia's first prime minister, Tunku Abdul Rahman, to step down and setting off deep splits in the ruling Alliance coalition.

With political liberties curtailed in the aftermath of the riots, Malaysia's second prime minister, Tun Abdul Razak Hussein, went against conventional wisdom and initiated diplomatic relations with China in 1974, recognizing the People's Republic of China as the legal government of China. His discussions with China's top leaders, including Mao Zedong, captured the imagination of Chinese-Malaysians. Mao reportedly told Razak that overseas Chinese should owe loyalty to their country of adoption. Razak triumphantly returned to Malaysia, held a snap general election and led his expanded ruling coalition - now renamed the Barisan Nasional - to a thumping victory.

In the early 1990s, in the aftermath of racially charged controversies and a crackdown on dissent in 1987, then prime minister Mahathir Mohamad liberalized higher education in the early 1990s, making it easier for the Chinese and Indian minorities to obtain tertiary education. He also eased cultural restrictions, pleasing the ethnic Chinese in particular even as the economy posted heady growth rates. The result: the ruling coalition scored one of its biggest victories ever in the general election in 1995.

But the regional financial crisis in 1997 threw a wrench into the works and the economy suffered, never to regain the growth figures of the early 1990s. The acrimonious sacking of deputy premier Anwar Ibrahim and the eruption of reformasi deeply split Malay voters - a split that has not completely healed even today. In the general election of 1999, the anger of Anwar's sacking and the suppression of human rights contributed to the opposition making sharp inroads, especially in the Malay heartland.

With the economy still lethargic, the government appears to be banking on cultural liberalization to win votes this time around using festivals such as Christmas and the Lunar New Year to reach out to minority groups in a country where Muslims make up about 60 percent of the population.

In December, Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi sent Christmas cards to pastors and Christian leaders throughout the country - a gesture that was warmly received by many Christians. Boosted by the positive feedback, Abdullah and his wife have since sent out 3,000 Lunar New Year signed greeting cards to Chinese-Malaysian political parties, community leaders, associations, assembly halls, chambers of commerce and educational groups.

The English translation of the card reads: "Spring will always be around if there is harmony among people; the world will be peaceful if there is political stability in the country."

"Political stability" is a euphemism for retaining the status quo - buzzwords that the ruling coalition frequently uses to draw votes to itself during an election campaign.

On January 11, former premier Mahathir told a 5,000-strong largely Chinese crowd attending a Lunar New Year dinner at the newly formed Kuala Lumpur Chinese Assembly Hall: "I believe this year is an election year and I plead to Chinese voters to give their full support to the Barisan Nasional in the election."

Abdul Razak's son, Najib Tun Razak, whom Abdullah appointed as his deputy in accordance with Mahathir's wishes, knows how warmer relations with China can boost Chinese-Malaysian support for the ruling coalition. The son of Malaysia's second premier, who first initiated diplomatic relations with Beijing in 1974, Najib said he would "personally push for deeper and expanded ties with China".

The underlying message to the non-Muslim minorities behind this celebration of diversity and cultural openness appears to be: this is what you might lose if you vote for the opposition, especially the Islamic party, which aims to set up a conservative Islamic state.

Abdullah, meanwhile, has also projected himself as a crusader against corruption and bureaucratic inefficiency.

But cultural liberalization and the rhetoric have not been matched by political liberalization or substantive action towards meaningful reforms.

When a group of supporters of jailed ex-deputy premier Anwar Ibrahim tried to embark on a cross-country road show over the weekend, police blocked the convoy of 25 cars and ordered them to take down flags and posters. However, activists said the police action would not stop them organizing another convoy in the capital Kuala Lumpur to highlight Anwar's plight.

There have been few signs of democratization in the main institutions of government: parliament, the judiciary, the heavily controlled mainstream media, the docile Anti-Corruption Agency and the government-appointed Human Rights Commission of Malaysia (Suhakam). Public rallies by the opposition are still banned and oppressive laws remain in the statute books.

Despite the lack of substance to match the rhetoric, the ruling coalition's overtures and cultural easing up to the Chinese-Malaysian community - along with its overwhelming control of the media and state apparatus - are likely to place it an advantage over the opposition.

The ruling coalition appears to be using its tried and tested electoral formula of cultural liberalization and warmer relations with China once again to retain sizable Chinese-Malaysian support for the ruling coalition. With uncertainties remaining as to how Malays would vote this time around, that support from the Chinese is likely to prove invaluable again.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jan 21, 2004





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