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The show's over, Arroyo tells foes
By Leslie Davis

MANILA - It's not difficult to imagine the shame, humiliation and revulsion felt by the legions of fans and supporters of presidential candidate Fernando Poe Jr.

Here was a Filipino film legend, the man whose movie persona - the humble but unrelenting savior of the oppressed and downtrodden, whose quiet manliness and reserved macho bravado made him the very essence of the perfect Filipino male - being treated no better than a cockroach, hunkering down inside a Metro Manila Burger King last Tuesday while, just down the block, riot police pounded thousands of his unarmed supporters with tear gas and powerful water cannons.

His supporters were there to peaceably protest, a right enshrined in the country's constitution. They chanted and shouted that there was rampant, blatant cheating in the recent elections, cheating so bad, they claimed, that it literally altered the result of the election.

Their man, Fernando Poe Jr, was the real and true choice of the sovereign Philippine people, not President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. There was only one problem for the protesters: they didn't have a permit to rally from the Quezon City government. Of course, they couldn't get a permit even if they tried to grease somebody at city hall with a cool million in cash. The mayor of Quezon City just happens to be one of the head honchos in Arroyo's party.

Poe's supporters tried to remind everybody that the constitution is a document that is perhaps a tad more important than a measly local ordinance. But that didn't seem to carry much weight with those who matter, especially the mayor of Quezon City, nor the police working at the behest of Arroyo. They went in and cleaned house.

Poe didn't hang around long, nor did he go out and get mixed up in the fray. He soon left the Burger King quietly, flashing his trademark "number one" hand sign and saying nothing to the gathered reporters. Last anyone heard, he was mulling over his options at his home in the Greenhills section of Manila.

Meanwhile, Arroyo was preparing to be sworn into the realm she covets most of all - the presidency of the Philippines. Her father was president in the early 1960s, and the position was hers by birthright. Sure she's been "president" for the last three years, but her ascendancy to the presidency in 2001 was tainted with controversy.

What she and her supporters called People Power, others called Mob Rule, a power grab, or a plain old coup d'etat. That her three-year rule was destined from the beginning to be a daily diet of intrigue and instability was always truly a no-brainer.

But now she has won a real election, and now she will be a real president with a real mandate. Sure, there were, and still are, plenty of charges of cheating by Arroyo and her allies. But her administration-controlled Congress, which spent the last six weeks counting votes, looked after Arroyo's every whim, stonewalling the opposition's every complaint.

As the vote counting dragged on, the calls of cheating became louder, more detailed and more substantiated. Her spokesmen and allies belittled the claims. Just to make sure nobody got any funny ideas, riot police were sent in to forcibly break up demonstrations, even as small as 20 people, all under the guise of so-called persistent national security threats, rumors of coup d'etats and destabilization efforts. Finally, her congress railroaded the process, proclaiming her the winner by just more than a million votes over Poe.

But in the case that something big might have happened, Arroyo kept pressure on the opposition. Before her inauguration on Wednesday, she sent in several columns of armored personnel carriers to secure the metropolis, put the police on something called, "triple red alert" and then, ducking away from the controversy and any trouble makers, hightailed it off to the southern city of Cebu where she took her oath as the 14th president of the Philippines.

No Philippine president had ever taken his or her oath outside the capital, Manila. But Arroyo wanted to thank Cebuanos for giving her one of her widest margins over Poe of anywhere in the country, trouncing her rival by several hundred thousand votes.

Back in the capital, Arroyo's heavy-handed tactics and the inauguration have sent a harsh message to the Poe camp. It's over. Go home. Go back to the movies and shut up. More than a few sectors have been pleading with the movie star to concede. "Be a statesman," they tell him. "Reign in your supporters. It was a close, hard-fought battle, and yes, you were probably cheated, but now is the time to heal the rifts, unite the country and move forward."

Poe doesn't seem to be listening to any of these calls. He and his supporters are so convinced he is the rightful winner that they have refused to concede or reconcile, often stating, "there cannot be any reconciliation without truth and justice".

Poe's defiance may or may not mean anything. For Poe, whose support comes mostly from the masses of poor who make up 60% of the country's 80 million Filipinos, being chased and hounded had to be the ultimate humiliation. Giving up a principled fight was never part of his movie persona, and it probably isn't part of his true character either.

Outwardly Arroyo doesn't seem too worried, although the refusal of her congressional allies to investigate the cheating, and the heavy-handed tactics by the police belies her claim she is confident in her mandate. No doubt she is banking on the famously fatalistic Filipino people to sigh in resignation, "what's done is done". And indeed, most Filipinos are so used to being stepped on, to having to swallow one bitter pill after the next, to being handed a raw deal throughout their lives, that they simply never complain. Why should they expect anything different?

Some commentators have gone to the extent of admitting that there was obvious cheating in the race, but have justified it by saying that it's par for the course in Philippine elections. Others are claiming it doesn't matter if there was monkey business, so long as the inexperienced Poe, another actor like former president Joseph Estrada, hasn't taken the highest office in the land.

But in the wild and careening democracy that is the Philippines, there are plenty of others who will not stay silent, insisting that the only way the Philippines can find political peace and move forward, is to have a leader who was truly elected by the people, no matter who he or she is, no matter his or her supposed qualifications, or lack thereof. This has led groups from various sectors, not just Poe supporters, to come together to say they will work to oust Arroyo. These people include leftists, activists, retired military officers and even those from religious groups. One Poe adviser is calling for the formation of an anti-government alliance of various sectors to expose the cheating that took place.

In every Philippine election it is common for the losers to cry foul. Publicly admitting defeat does not seem to be a part of the culture. In this case, though, the complaints might have gone the way of the wind were it not for two reasons: the sheer amount of apparently solid allegations brought forth by the opposition and others; and the incredibly paranoid behavior of Arroyo's allies who control Congress and refused to even look into any of the anomalies in hopes of unveiling the truth of the election results.

According to former solicitor general Frank Chavez, who ran for senator and lost on a ticket not aligned with Poe, the cheating was extensive. He recently filed a plunder case against Arroyo alleging that the president dispersed money from the Department of Agrarian Reform to local officials just in time for the election.

Elections in the Philippines are often won at the village level, with money flying to local officials to ensure their area votes solidly for the powers that be. That there was a coordinated effort to buy and even alter the vote with public money was corroborated by another man, Rudy Galang, who came forward two weeks ago claiming that he was tapped by an Arroyo adviser to employ a massive cheating and vote-buying scheme in the southern Philippines to ensure Arroyo's victory. Galang said a minimum of US$4 million in government funds were used to finance the administration's operations in the southern part of the country. The adviser predictably debunked the claim.

According the Chavez, though, the cheating didn't stop with payouts. Chavez recently released a video detailing how the cheating was executed. He showed how the Certificates of Canvass, the documents in which the votes of the various villages and municipalities were handwritten, and which were used by Congress to tally the overall votes, contained erasures and alterations. He even produced official documents from Arroyo's camp with instructions to party leaders on how to condition the mind of the public to Arroyo's victory through trends in polling.

Other anomalies have poured in since the May 10 election. In one area of Mindanao, 14 communities never even held elections. Instead, the Certificates of Canvass were just penciled in, to show Arroyo "trouncing" Poe. In various other communities Arroyo received the votes of every single eligible voter - some 4,000-plus votes in one town - and her rival received nothing, a statistical improbability.

More than a million registered voters were not able to vote, finding their names missing from the list of registered votes at the precincts on election day. And in the ultimate irony, two senators from Cebu, where Arroyo held her inauguration as a thank you to the people for giving her a large margin in the province, presented evidence of substantial cheating in favor of Arroyo. In all, the opposition claims that nearly 1.7 million votes were taken from Poe, and which, if restored, would make him the new president of the Philippines.

Yet when the tortuous job of adding up the votes began in Congress, the opposition's complaints were shot down at every turn. The opposition claimed, and even showed proof of vote shaving, statistical improbabilities, erasures and alterations. Because there were so many glaring irregularities, the opposition insisted that the 22-man committee canvassing the votes look into the Election Returns, the source documents backing up the Certificates of Canvass.

The source documents would have proved if the Certificates of Canvass were genuine or not, but the committee, made up mostly of Arroyo partisans, rejected the idea. They made excuses that it wasn't their job, that it would take too much time, that the public was getting tired of the delays. This led to a widely held impression that the majority appeared to be hiding something.

"By blocking every opposition move to make the canvassing more credible," wrote columnist Neil Cruz in the Philippine Daily Inquirer, a popular daily paper that usually backs Arroyo strongly, "they [the majority] show how much they fear the Election Returns. You fear them only if they will show proof of cheating. But if there was no cheating in the first place, what is there to be afraid of? The answer to that can only be that they're afraid to open the election returns because they would show clear proof of cheating."

So while Arroyo touts her fresh mandate and her rival Poe slinks away (for now) to mull his next move, the lessons of the elections have become painfully obvious. Democratic elections are designed to settle the score once and for all, to bring stability to a country, to determine with unquestioning finality just who is the leader. With the political divisions wrought by her highly questionable rise to the top office the first time in 2001, the last three years have been a disaster for the Philippines politically. If there was ever an election where the Philippines needed a clear cut winner, a result that could not be questioned, 2004 was it.

Clearly the last thing the nation needs is six more years of political fireworks. Forty-six percent of the population lives on $2 a day or less. Rising oil prices have rippled throughout an already battered economy, raising the prices of food and nearly everything else. Already high electric rates are due to double in the coming months. The communist and Muslim insurgencies still fester and perhaps grow. The government's debt has soared under Arroyo and borrowing continues, much of it just to pay off previous loans. Unemployment has skyrocketed in recent months and the country's astronomic population growth shows no signs of abating.

But the result that it so needed was not to be. Instead, the Philippines got an election that many consider to be the dirtiest in the country's electoral history. Instead of determining a clear future for the nation, the unsatisfying outcome has opened up fresh wounds, exacerbated old rifts and made the picture even more murky than before.

One couldn't help but notice the general lack of euphoria in the air when Congress proclaimed Arroyo the winner in the elections. Sure there were those who were happy that another actor hadn't taken the reigns of power. Others were happy that it was simply over. But there was no dancing and celebrating in the streets.

In a country starved for a leader whose mandate cannot be questioned, that can only mean one thing: that the Philippine elections of 2004 were a complete and total failure.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


Jul 3, 2004




Philippines: Losers - and one hero (May 22, '04)

Philippine election: More than just numbers (May 13, '04)

 

         
         
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