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Southeast Asia

Pentagon shuns Asia for Canberra's embrace
By Alan Boyd

SYDNEY - The Pentagon has skirted Asian ambivalence over its forward defense strategy by bypassing the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) countries in favor of three new bases in northern Australian that will pack the same regional punch but which are unlikely to lower the diplomatic heat.

US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and his Australian counterpart, Senator Robert Hill, said two training centers and a bombing range in Queensland and the Northern Territory would be adapted for joint use by "tens of thousands" of troops from both countries.

US equipment and munitions will probably be stored permanently at the camps for use in regional conflicts, while Canberra also agreed to deploy several other facilities as part of the so-called Son of Star Wars missile defense shield program.

However, Hill said the US would not be stationing troops in Australia, ending speculation that the camps might accommodate units that are being withdrawn from Japan and South Korea as part of a global realignment of US forces.

"There's no benefit to the United States in [having] permanent bases in Australia. What they are looking for in our region are further training opportunities and ... training facilities that are up to the world's best standards," Hill said.

Nonetheless, much of Asia will view the maneuverings as confirmation that an increasingly hawkish Pentagon intends to play a more proactive role in regional security, and especially in counter-terrorism, even if this means having to operate in Australia's shadow.

Canberra has been anxious to play down suggestions that it will be acting as the US "deputy sheriff". Government officials said privately that Australian bases were chosen because Southeast Asian countries were either unwilling to act as hosts or lacked the necessary infrastructure.

Undoubtedly the Pentagon would have preferred a more central location that could perform some of the same logistical and resupply functions as the former US naval facilities in the Philippines.

The search for a forward positioning base began in earnest after the 1991 Gulf War, which exposed the long US supply lines and raised the specter - realized in later Middle East campaigns - that US offensive capability would become overstretched. Resources have been spread even thinner since the September 11, 2001, attacks brought greater emphasis to anti-terrorism. One outcome was a global realignment that will mean fewer static troop concentrations and more reliance on fast-response units.

South Korea has already lost the bulk of its permanent US garrison, and as many as 15,000 of the 20,000 marines based on the Japanese island of Okinawa are likely to be redeployed by 2015, when the prefectural government has said it wants all bases vacated.

Okinawa's main appeal is its geographical location: only two hours of flying time from Korea, the most unstable security hotspot. By contrast, the peninsula is five hours from Guam, the other key US marshaling area, 11 hours from Hawaii and 16 hours from the continental US. For these reasons it is highly unlikely the Marines will be sent to Australia or Southeast Asia, which would offer few strategic benefits. The most likely solution is that they will simply be relocated to the Japanese mainland, where they can draw on existing infrastructure.

According to diplomats, another option is to funnel some ground units out to bases in Singapore, Malaysia and the Philippines, while naval forces might be spread between Cam Ranh Bay in Vietnam and possibly Sattahip in eastern Thailand. But the post-Iraq political reality is that few countries are prepared to be seen as pro-American, even while they discreetly build strong anti-terrorism networks with Washington and freely exercise with US troops.

Thailand has agreed to accept an equipment stockpile, but no troops or permanent naval presence. The Philippines will take more troops because it needs all the help it can get in counter-terrorism. But Chinese sensitivities may frustrate the Vietnamese negotiations.

Singapore, already an emerging refueling and maintenance center for US vessels, was willing to take on a bigger role, but lacks facilities capable of handling large numbers of ground troops. It is already training many of its own troops and pilots in Australia.

"Australia offers a level of technological and operations convergence that is not available anywhere else in the region outside Japan and Korea. They operate the same equipment, have some of the same communication systems, and they are used to working together," said a defense attache. "If you are talking primarily about training, these are aspects that will have influenced defense planners, plus the availability of underutilized facilities that can be used as a springboard for fast deployment of munitions or vehicles anywhere in the region."

Shoalwater Bay, a base in the northeastern state of Queensland that is already used as a storage facility for Singaporean equipment, would be the most logical forward-deployment facility for US forces, as it offers relatively easy access to both the Pacific and Indian oceans.

Rumsfeld said in Washington that the three bases would be directly linked through advanced communications systems to the US Pacific War Fighting Center in Hawaii, which would enable strategists to coordinate a quick response to perceived security threats.

Canberra has gained access to this technology, as well as preferential equipment transfers. The bases announcement was accompanied by a separate deal for the purchase of Abrams tanks and Hercules Armored Recovery vehicles that will be used in the joint training exercises.

An even bigger commitment is Australia's decision to sign up for the George W Bush administration's much-derided "Son of Star Wars" missile defense shield, probably by utilizing satellite and communications facilities that are jointly operated with various US agencies. China and North Korea, widely seen as the two main targets of the US$50 billion shield, are unlikely to be amused by the 25-year agreement, which will firmly position Canberra with 10 other nations in the US alliance, including South Korea and Japan.

The deal could be canceled if the opposition Labor Party wins a pending general election. Labor leader Mark Latham said this week that the shield was a waste of resources and would "increase missile proliferation and insecurity in our region".

Beijing, a close trading partner of both Australia and the United States, has already spoken its mind on the revamped US defense strategy and the deals with Australia, which it charges are a reward for Canberra's support of US policies in Iraq. A commentary by the state-owned China Daily claimed that Washington "had become accustomed to orienting its relations with allies based on whether or not those countries provide military assistance or bases".

"To further expand its military presence in Asia, the United States has greatly increased military aid to several countries in the region, including Pakistan, the Philippines, Nepal, India, Thailand, and Mongolia.

"Obviously, current US diplomacy is mainly focused on how to ensure and expand America's global military presence and how to gain promises of military aid from other countries. This has unavoidably led to militarization of US foreign policies," the newspaper said.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


Jul 10, 2004




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