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    Southeast Asia
     Feb 5, 2005
Opposition struggles to make a dent
By Marwaan Macan-Markar

BANGKOK - The outcome of Thailand's parliamentary election on Sunday will help answer a question that has gained prominence in the final hours ahead of the poll: do Thais worship leaders with absolute power?

It arises out of a desperate plea being made by a motley mix of academics, civil society groups, political activists and journalists to the country's 44.5 million registered voters. They do not want the voters to give incumbent Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra a sweeping mandate in the new parliament, consequently placing Thaksin and the party he leads - Thai Rak Thai (Thais Love Thai or TRT) - in a realm beyond accountability.

The need of the hour, they say, is for the voters to support opposition parties vying in the poll, thus ensuring a political environment that respects the idea of "checks and balances".

"Many leading opinion makers are appealing in a way they have not done before for the virtues of checks and balances," Sunai Phasuk, a Thai researcher for the global rights lobby Human Rights Watch, said in an interview. "They see it as a way of containing the absolute power Thaksin may get after the poll."

Typical of this mood is the step taken by The Nation, an independent English-language daily, to run a front-page commentary on Wednesday about the fate of Thai democracy if the TRT gains an absolute majority.

"The best way out is to ensure that there are sufficient opposition MPs [members of parliament] who can do the monitoring for all of us and have just enough votes to scrutinize the prime minister in parliament," the paper argued in its commentary. "This is an unusual plea but Thailand's situation is far from normal," added the Nation, which is frequently critical of Thaksin.

There are two reasons for this clamor for a strong opposition in the new parliament. On the one hand, Thaksin has succeeded in dominating the country's political landscape for the past four years, after he led his party to victory in the January 2001 elections.

By the time he finished his term - becoming the first elected prime minister to do so since Thailand became a constitutional monarchy in 1932 - Thaksin had the support of 364 members in the 500-seat parliament.

During his first term, Thaksin implemented a range of economic and development programs that injected new confidence into the country and saw its growth figures reach more than 6% annually.

That he brooked no criticism was evident by the manner he dismissed political activists raging against the measures he took to silence officials who challenged his views and sections of the press that were hostile to the government. Thaksin also pooh-poohed those who questioned the government's crackdown on drug users and alleged Muslim separatists in the country's south, both resulting in human-rights violations.

On the other hand, this appeal for a stronger opposition comes in the wake of the TRT appearing to have gained an invincible lead after campaigning for the polls officially began in early January. That is partly the result of an efficient marketing blitz launched by the TRT to attract more voters into its fold.

The selling points, according to the Bangkok Post, have included the promise to implement a slew of programs for the country's poor - such as investing 300 billion baht (US$7.5 billion) to ensure homes in the country's impoverished Northeast have access to tap water. Schools in the area have also been guaranteed computers if the Thaksin administration is re-elected for a second term.

Critics have accused the TRT of bending the country's election rules - or blatantly violating them in some cases - to strengthen its stake in the forthcoming polls. That ranges from the governing party's hold over state-owned television stations to its alleged use of money to buy votes in the provinces - although such vote-buying charges apply to all parties, as they have for decades.

"The authorities are abusing their power by distributing money at every level to get voters to support Thai Rak Thai," Sakool Zuesongdham, director of Pollwatch, an independent election- monitoring group, told Inter Press Service.

The amounts range from 200 baht ($5) being paid per vote in the provinces to 2,500 baht ($62.50) per vote in Bangkok, the capital. "In some parts of the North, nearly 20 million baht is being spent per province to buy votes," added Sakool.

Opposition parties in the fray - such as the Democrat Party, Chart Thai and Mahachon - have also been tarnished by election violations, in a similar vein.

But at the same time, none of these parties has succeeded in offering an attractive alternative program to sway voters away from backing TRT. Such a lack of imagination is conveyed by the leader in the opposition pack, the Democrats - which happens to be the oldest political party in Thailand.

During final weeks of the campaign, the Democrat Party has sought public support to gain 201 seats in the new parliament, thus ensuring that the opposition has necessary numbers to censure the prime minister in the legislature.

"The Democrats are trying to use the check-and-balances argument to gain votes at the elections," Giles Ungpakorn, a political scientist at Bangkok's Chulalongkorn University, told IPS.

But he has little faith in the opposition living up to that role. "One has to look at the Democrat Party's role during the last four years to realize the absurdity of this appeal," he said. "It did little in questioning the government on major polices."

Meanwhile, Thailand is on the verge of facing a new political reality. A sweeping victory on Sunday for Thaksin's TRT would signify the public's faith in a leader with absolute power. And that is already proving to be unpalatable for the likes of Sunai, the human-rights activist. "If the Thai Rak Thai wins in a landslide, it would be an end to democracy in Thailand," he said.

(Inter Press Service)


Power of the poor sweeps Thai streets (Jan 27, '05)

Thaksin's still tops in Thailand (Jan 25, '05)

Bangkok's race for governor heats up
(Aug 27, '04)

New political mask 
(Aug 20, '04)

Thaksin's populist economics buoy Thailand (Aug 3, '04)

Thai party politics hold hope for the future (Aug 3, '04)

 
 

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