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    Southeast Asia
     Jul 20, 2005
Unocal's stake in Southeast Asia
By Jeff Moore

First Chevron, now CNOOC: everyone seems to want Unocal's profitable gas and oil assets, which span the world from the Gulf of Mexico to the Caspian Sea. Indeed, Unocal's resources would add a plentiful bounty to any energy company's portfolio, especially in Asia, where increasing demand for oil and gas is having a noticeable effect on regional economies. Unocal's investments in Southeast Asia - in Thailand, Myanmar, Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines - are amongst its prized possessions. In fact, outside the United States, Thailand and Indonesia are the company's biggest investments. Here's what's at stake in the bidding war between Chevron and CNOOC.

Thailand
Unocal has been in Thailand since 1962. It is a significant investor in both upstream and downstream projects (upstream entails exploration and production, and downstream refers to all post-production projects). Some 92% of Unocal's 1,142 employees are Thai, and it has another 1,500 personnel under contract. Unocal's projects produce crude oil, natural gas, and condensate, which is a mix of oil and natural gas.

According to Duane Grubert, a former strategic planner at Unocal now with Fulcrum Global Partners, "Unocal runs its upstream operations in Thailand under four Gas Sales Agreements, or GSAs." Loosely, GSAs mean the company owns the assets. "It's basically the type of contract we have in the United States," says Grubert. Each GSA encompasses a project, known locally as Unocal I, II, III, and IV. Collectively, these include 13 offshore drill blocks spanning from the Gulf of Thailand into Cambodian waters, covering a total of 6,028 square miles (15,612 square kilometers). Unocal began drilling off the Kingdom's coast in 1971. By 2004, it had put in 2,063 wells. It has 122 platforms in operation that it runs for several co-concessionaries, including Thailand's PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited (PTTEP), Amerada Hess Ltd, Moeco Thai Oil Development Company and Mitsui Oil Exploration Company.

Unocal is Thailand's largest natural gas producer, and Thailand is Unocal's second-largest natural gas investment, behind only the United States itself. According to Grubert, "Unocal's first and biggest gas discovery in Thailand was the Erawan, also known as Project I." Unocal's share of Project I is 70%. Like most of the company's Thai projects, Erawan is located in the Gulf of Thailand.

Smaller projects include the Trat field, which began production in 1999, and the Arthit project, off the coast of Songkhla, of which Unocal is a 16% owner; PTTEP owns 80%. For Arthit to benefit from production, however, PTT must first complete a pipeline that will move its gas to processing facilities onshore, something it plans to do by 2006. "Unocal doesn't make much money off these because of its smaller share. It does much better in other areas such as Surat where it is the majority shareholder," says Grubert. Here, Unocal owns 71.25%. Moeco has 23.75%, and PTTEP owns 5%.

Unocal's second biggest gas project in Thailand is Phase I and II of the Pailin field, also referred to as Unocal IV. At a cost of US$820 million for Unocal and its partners, however, this is possibly Unocal's most expensive Thai venture. Unocal has 35% ownership of Pailin I and II; other investors include PTTEP with 45%, Amerada Hess with 15%, and Moeco with 5%. Pailin I and II produce more than 1 billion cubic feet (bcf) (28.32 million cubic meters or mcm) of gas per day.

Unocal's future potential in the Thai gas market is an issue both Chevron and CNOOC have surely investigated. Steve Enger, an oil analyst with Petrie Parkman & Co, says, "As you look forward, there is still growth potential in Thailand for Unocal. They can grow continually with an expanding Thai power consumption market. And [the Thai operations have] excellent potential for growth in domestic gas supplies. They are able to grow gas sales, and they have the premier positioning in the Gulf of Thailand." Pipelines are another issue that speak for current and future worth. "Unocal produces into two major gas pipelines built by PTT, and they are at capacity," says Enger. "At present, PTT is building a third, which Unocal can feed into, [and that implies] good growth potential."

Unocal's first crude oil operation in Thailand was the Yala-Plamuk facility, also known as the Pattani oil development project. While Pattani is a province in southern Thailand, the term in this context refers to an undersea trough that contains many of the company's exploration and production sites. Unocal owns 71.25% of Yala-Plamuk; Mitsui Oil Exploration owns 23.75%; and PTTE owns 5%. It puts out around 16,000 barrels (bbls) of crude oil a day.

Another one of the company's oil producers is Platong, which consists of two central oil-processing platforms (CPPs). Unocal plans for it to turn out 40,000 bbls of oil a day before the end of 2005, up from its past levels of 24,000 a day. The latest CPP, called CPP2, began working in June 2005 and is the largest such platform in all of Thailand. Concerning Unocal's growth in the oil sector, Enger says, "Look for the second part of this year for their oil potential to grow, but anything beyond recent oil discoveries remains to be seen."

Overall, Unocal is a major factor in Thailand's domestic energy consumption. In May 2004, it produced on a daily average 1.166 bcf (33.017 mcm) of gas, 41,236 bbls of condensate, and 18,987 bbls of oil. This means that Unocal supplies Thailand with gas that meets 30% of its electricity demand. It also provides a hefty portion of its transportation and industrial fuel, feedstocks for petrochemicals, and household cooking gas. Furthermore, Unocal produces 25% of Thailand's domestically used oil.

Greg Priddy, a Washington, DC-based energy analyst says, "CNOOC's main interest is acquiring Unocal's assets in SE Asia. As energy companies go, Unocal is only a mid-cap company, and it's dwarfed by those like ExxonMobil. But it has a large presence in places like Thailand [which is] actually a big market."

Regarding downstream operations, Unocal has a stake in two power plants. At present, it owns 15% of two facilities in Chonburi, both run by Amata Power. The first is a 165-megawatt (MW) plant, and the second is a 112-MW plant. In January 2005, the Petroleum Institute of Thailand (PTIT) reported that Unocal would increase its offshore gas and oil exploration investment by 26% from 2004, which equals $580 million. At the same time, it also said the company would leave the power production business in Thailand. While such moves might be in the works, Amata confirmed as of late June 2005 that Unocal still held 15% of the power plants in Chonburi. Unocal sold its 24% interest in a 700-MW plant in Sri Racha run by Independent Power Production of Thailand (IPT) in December 2004.

Myanmar
Next door to Thailand, Unocal has been involved in Myanmar's upstream gas sector since 1993. But because of the government's human rights track record, which has been spotty to say the least, it has not been a smooth ride. However, that does not take away from the significance of the company's business there.

Specifically, Unocal is a 28.26% owner in Moattama Gas Transportation Company, which runs the Yadana gas project. Yadana is a field off the coast of Myanmar in the Andaman Sea containing 5 trillion cubic feet (tcf) (141.6 bcm) of natural gas, which, according to Unocal, could last 30 years. There are three other investors: PTTEP with 25.5%, Myanmar's Myanma Oil and Gas Enterprise with 15%, and Total with 31.24%. According to Enger, "Myanmar gas flows into the same market as Thai gas. The project itself is steady as she goes, so while it's not that exciting on a forward-looking basis, it's working fine."

Total operates Yadana, which feeds Thailand's Ratchaburi and Wang Noi electric power plants daily with 700 mcf (19.8 mcm) of natural gas. Greg Priddy says, "Gas from Yadana also feeds industrial parks near Bangkok with feedstocks for petrochemicals. It's an important asset for both Unocal and Thailand." Moattama transports the gas to Thailand via a pipeline that spans 412 kilometers underwater, and then 65 kilometers overland through Tenasserim, Myanmar. At a cost of $1 billion, this was the first sizeable country-to-country pipeline in all of Southeast Asia.

Human rights groups have strenuously objected to the project due to its alleged association with the Myanmar government's abusive treatment of local laborers. Unocal has rejected accusations that it colluded with any such behavior. Several US courts agreed, but the case dragged on in others. In March 2005, Unocal settled out of court for an undisclosed amount. The company says that it supports democracy in Myanmar, and its involvement there has had a positive socioeconomic impact on as many as 45,000 people.

Indonesia
Unocal has been in Indonesia since 1968 operating both upstream and downstream facilities, often via subsidiary companies. Unocal employs 1,900 people in Indonesia, 96% of them Indonesian. Its first upstream project was a production-sharing contract (PSC), which entailed exploration off the northwest coast of Sumatra with the state oil and gas company, Pertamina. All it found was a gas field too small to be economically viable. But things changed in 1970 when Unocal discovered Indonesia's largest gas and oil field, Attaka, off the coast of East Kalimantan. From then to 1997, it discovered eight more, which greatly expanded its operations in the country.

In all, Unocal has major interests in 10 offshore projects in Indonesia, all under PSCs. PSCs typically require oil companies to absorb the exploration risks of a pre-designated area and receive reimbursement upon discovery of profitable hydrocarbon deposits. They also mean sharing production costs and profits. Only one of Unocal's projects is a production contract, which is just off East Kalimantan, but it is massive and includes Attaka. Unocal's share is 50%. Unocal has 11 producing fields off Kalimantan.

Unocal's success in Indonesia has been mixed. Company CEOs in their 2004 annual report said it best: "While the hunt for big oil accumulations in Indonesia's deep water is still proving elusive, our natural gas position in the region continues to gain in value as the fields become more defined and our assessment of potential development options for this gas takes shape."

Interestingly, the pattern in Indonesia follows the company's overall global trend. "Unocal is a gas heavy company rather than liquid heavy," says Priddy. "Liquid makes up less than a third of its total output. Generally speaking, Unocal only puts out about 100,000 bbls of oil a day worldwide." Unocal's most recent statistics say its Indonesian production assets were pumping out 63,000 bbls of oil and condensate, and 269 mcf of gas per day.

Unocal processes all this oil, gas, and condensate through its liquid extraction plants at Santan and Lawe-Lawe terminals onshore in East Kalimantan. It has future plans to establish a floating hydrocarbon processing facility in the area, which would, in theory, shorten lines of logistics and cut down on overhead costs.

Seven of the company's 10 projects are exploration contracts. Four of them - the Makassar Straits, Rapak, Ganal, and Sesulu - are off the east central coast of Kalimantan. Two of them - Sangkarang and Lompa - are farther south off Sulawesi. Of these, Unocal is an 80% or more owner in each of the Kalimantan projects, and a 100% owner in each of the Sulawesi ventures. It has a non-operating, minority interest in three other fields - 45% of two and 15% of a third. They are Kapoposang, which is off Sulawesi, and Bukat and Ambalat, which are both off northeast Kalimantan. The major shareholders in these are South Makassar Exploration Co Ltd and Lamo.

Unocal's main claim to fame in Indonesia is its breakthrough, deep water exploration. Says Enger, "Unocal has traditionally had a strong position in shallow water operations such as Attaka, but they are declining as gas fields do. So strategically, they have within recent years stepped out into deep water to find more hydrocarbons to supply the Bontang LNG plant in East Kalimantan. It's the largest LNG facility in the world." Its plants produce methanol, urea fertilizer, and ammonia for export. International customers include Japan, Taiwan, and Korea.

Unocal Indonesia's first deep water project, drilled in 1996, is in nearly 2,000 feet (609.47 meters) of water in the Merah Besar field, located northeast of Balikpapan in the Makassar Strait. Unocal drilled another 4,500 feet into the earth's crust to access the 80 million bbls of oil there. The plan was to begin production in 2007.

Unocal has already begun production on another field, which is in an even deeper part of the Makassar Strait - the West Seno. Unocal is a 90% owner of this field, discovered in 1998, and Pertamina holds 10%. What makes West Seno such an achievement is that it is located 3,200 feet below the surface. It has both gas and oil. To drill there, Unocal uses tension leg platforms (TLPs), the first in Southeast Asia. In layman's terms, TLPs consist of an oil rig attached to a submerged platform connected by strong, tendon-like cables to anchors on the seafloor. The lack of superstructure is supposed to make them economical and their undersea platforms make them stable to work on.

Despite its technological prowess, Unocal has not found as much oil in West Seno as expected. It had intended to develop the field in two phases, but shelved this plan in 2004. Enger says, "By this point, West Seno met with modest success at best, and the lack of huge oil finds has disappointed those who had high expectations." Nevertheless, Phase I began production in 2003. The project cost about $400 million and produces around 40,000 bbls of oil a day. "West Seno is producing," says Enger. "Not as high as previously thought, but it is working, so it's worth keeping an eye on. Overall, deep water exploration in Indonesia will bear fruit, I think. There may be large gas fields there."

The same year Phase I began producing, Unocal drilled 15 additional exploratory deepwater wells off East Kalimantan, bringing its total number of wells there to 125. One was the Gehem-1, which went down a total of 15,241 feet. Unocal found more than 600 feet of gas and 18 feet of oil and believes it to be economically viable. Another successful well was the Ranggas. Enger speculates that Unocal's payoff might be at the turn of the decade from all the gas they've found in deep water. "Gehem is a big deal, as is Ranggas. They're being developed together, and are mainly gas, but there is some associated oil. On a gross basis, which is not all just for Unocal, there are at least 2 plus tcf (57 plus bcm) of gas in these two fields, and it's expected to feed the Bontang facility."

According to Enger, Unocal has multiple, additional gas discoveries, one in particular called Gendalo, yet another deepwater field. "It's mainly gas, and has about 2 plus tcf (57 plus bcm) gross. Unocal's interest will vary according to the PSC details." Its partner here is Eni SpA, a Rome-based company that was contemplating buying Unocal in April of this year. These later projects are still pre-production and are supposed to come on line later this decade. Another is the Sadewa. "It's smaller than Gendalo and the rest at less than a tcf, but it will start up sooner than these others," says Enger.

As in Thailand, Unocal's downstream investments in Indonesia are in power generation. In a partnership with Pertamina and PLN, Indonesia's national electricity company, Unocal operates two power plants in West Java that produce 440MW.

Collectively, these investments mean that Unocal is a substantial gas and oil provider for Indonesia, not unlike its impact on Thailand. For example, it sells gas to Pertamina for the domestic electricity market. It also supplies an average of 2.8 bcf of natural gas each day to the LNG plant in Bontang. At present, Unocal supplies Bontang with about 8% of its needs; Total is its biggest supplier.

Unocal's recent deepwater discoveries such as Gehem, Ranggas, and Genaldo are very important going forward, because, says Enger, "They will drive substantial production growth in Indonesia for Unocal." He explains: "Specifically, by about 2010, a lot of the current Bontang LNG contracts will expire, and there will be a large increment of gas processing space available there at the facility in 2011, so Unocal is strategically positioned to supply a large part of this. It's well out into the future, but it's a big increase, and its speaks well for Unocal's position as a supplier in Indonesia."

Vietnam
Unocal's upstream and downstream trends in the region apply to Vietnam, too. It has offshore exploration projects and has invested in two power plants as well. Unocal has been in Vietnam since 1996, and made its first natural gas discovery in 1997. Unocal has three exploration blocks off the south coast of Vietnam that have proven economically viable - Block B, Block 48/95, and Block 52/97. Combined, they equate to 6,473.39 square miles (16,766 square kilometers) of water. Unocal explores under two PSCs with PetroVietnam, the state gas and oil company; it owns 42.38% of the first two and 43.4% of the last. Its partners include Mitsui, Moeco, PTTEP, and PetroVietnam's Exploration and Production Company. Together, they have invested around $174 million in exploration.

By late 2002, Unocal had drilled 14 exploratory wells off southern Vietnam. Ten resulted in gas discoveries. It planned to drill eight more between 2003 and 2005. Also in 2002, Unocal filed with PetroVietnam a "declaration of commercial discovery" on both its PSCs. The declarations were necessary before the company could develop and produce its discoveries. They further contained long-term agreements for PetroVietnam to purchase gas from Unocal. Unocal thinks it could be in production by 2008-10.

"Unocal is hopeful that the market will develop late this decade," says Enger. "The current market there has growth potential, but the domestic market has to develop. And this anticipation of potential has been going on for a while now. We'll just have to see how the market develops." Taken as a whole, Unocal estimates its discoveries could amount to more than 10 tcf of natural gas, enough to supply Vietnam's gas-burning plants for at least 50 years.

Overall, however, Priddy says, "Things remain slow for Unocal in Vietnam. The US Department of Energy's (DOE) latest update is generally reflective of the situation there." The DOE's last report on Vietnam, completed in February 2005, cites no new discoveries or production for Unocal.

Downstream, Unocal has invested in two power plants, both at the planned O Mon power complex in Can Tho province. The first entails switching two old thermal plants - O Mon 1A and 1B - from oil to gas burning facilities that together can produce 600MW. Unocal documents say the timeline on this is 2005-06, but Vietnamese sources say 2008.

The second, called O Mon 2, would be a wholly new plant. Unocal and its partners, PetroVietnam and Electricity of Vietnam (EVN), plan for it to produce 750MW. They conducted a feasibility study for the new plant in 2002, which included a 380-kilometer pipeline from gas discoveries offshore to the mainland, much like BP's Phu My III plant farther north. The interested parties signed a memorandum of understanding on these projects in May 2004.

The Philippines
One of Unocal's more interesting investments is in geothermal energy plants in the Philippines, which are not even hydrocarbon-based. These plants entail piping volcanically heated steam from thousands of feet underground to the surface for use in electricity plants. Unocal has been in the Philippines, which is one of the world's top geothermal producers, since 1971. It operates two plants that supply enough steam to the Philippines' National Power Corporation to provide Luzon with 15% of its electricity. The first plant, Tiwi in Albay province, has a top capacity of 300MW. The second, Mak-Ban in Laguna province, peaks at 426MW. In 2004, Unocal began to upgrade both facilities for US$26 million; over the years, both had lost efficiency and were running at 70% or less capacity.

Unocal's Southeast Asia assets reflect decades of relationship building, hundreds of millions of dollars invested, high technology, hard labor, and fierce competition. They also impact the lives of thousands in the countries involved. Furthermore, they fulfill the energy needs of regional governments, cities, and individual homes. In effect, Unocal has helped nourish the very lifeblood of the countries it has invested in. But hidden underneath all this is something more - the political, economic, and military power that benefits the owners of such influence. Will the new wielder of these assets act as benevolently toward its host countries as Unocal, for the most part, has? Might the US government approve CNOOC's bid for Unocal, or will the Chinese firm be denied in favor of Chevron? Or will another deal between the three companies evolve that breaks up its assets, diluting Unocal's proud and profitable energy empire? The future remains to be seen, but the pressure is on. Meanwhile, Thailand, Myanmar, Indonesia, Vietnam, and The Philippines sit and wait.

Jeff Moore is an employee of Science Applications International Corp, a consultancy with headquarters in San Diego, California, and MacLean, Virginia. He has researched and written more than 15 country profiles and studied the infrastructures of countries in Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa, and Latin America. He lived in Vietnam in the late 1990s and has spent time in Cambodia.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)


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