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    Southeast Asia
     Oct 29, 2005
Change your ways, or no WTO, US warns Vietnam
By Aaron Glantz and Ngoc Nguyen

HANOI - Vietnam's attempts to enter the World Trade Organization (WTO) have been blocked by what the country's negotiators say are unacceptable new demands by Washington that the socialist country change the way its economy works - more than it already has.

So far, Vietnam has embraced capitalism cautiously to lessen the gap between rich and poor among its 77 million people, 69% of whom still subsist on agriculture.

But having formally applied to join WTO in 1995 and begun negotiations in earnest in 2002, the communist country had high expectations of making an entry when the global trade body holds



its next ministerial meeting in Hong Kong in December.Ordinary Vietnamese recognize that the economy is changing though many, such as Ninh, a 52-year-old rice farmer, have not have heard of Vietnam's bid to enter the WTO.

As she spoke, she scooped the fruits of this year's harvest into two giant baskets, which she carried on her shoulders. The work is hard, intense labor. And when the harvest is over, she'll take most of the rice home to feed her family. She sells just enough to pay the government tax. She wants her children to have a chance to study and not work on the farm.

"I want them to have good jobs to make a living," she said. "To work in the factory is better, but we don't have the opportunity to do that right now. My neighbors are leaving farming. They are moving to find factory jobs or work in construction."

For the past 15 years, Vietnam has been changing the way it does business, though perhaps not to the extent Washington would like to see it.

It has embraced market economy, attracted factory jobs from overseas, and towering new buildings have sprung up in the capital and in Ho Chi Minh City. In 2002, foreign investors poured more than US$1.2 billion into Vietnam, and the country seems all set to enter the world's official club of capitalist nations.

Yet, the administration of US President George W Bush has been pressuring Vietnam to eliminate subsidies and state-owned enterprises. Talks with negotiators from Washington have broken down over what Vietnam maintains are "new conditions" introduced in recent rounds of talks.

But new conditions are not the only issue. Last month, US ambassador to Vietnam Michael Marine criticized the country for not fully implementing a bilateral trade agreement that was negotiated in 2000 and also for resorting to "half measures".

"The US clearly understands Vietnam's abilities and clearly understands that we cannot meet their new conditions," the country's lead WTO negotiator, Ngo Quang Xuan, recently told Vietnam's Youth newspaper, accusing Washington of a "lack of goodwill".

The US has a different spin on the negotiations. "American business wants a viable deal on this accession," said Adam Sitkoff, executive director of the American Chamber of Commerce in Hanoi.

"The American business community wants a deal that's good for Vietnam's future, not only for companies like Citibank and AIG [American firms] but also for Vietnamese business. If you look at what WTO ascension is about, it's about creating a climate that will make people want to invest and feel secure about putting their money here."

But some observers complain that such changes could undercut what's been one of the most successful poverty-reduction campaigns in the world. The British voluntary group Oxfam International reports that in 1993 fully 58% of Vietnam' s people were impoverished.

By 2002, that number had been cut in half. State-owned companies transport chemicals and fertilizers to rural families, 45% of whom are still in poverty.

In April, Oxfam released a report entitled "Do as I Say, Not as I Do: The Unfair Terms for Vietnam's Entry to the WTO", which noted that Vietnam is being forced to cut tariffs and subsidies twice as much as neighbors such as Thailand, the Philippines and Nepal. Those countries are already members of the world body.

"For any country, joining the WTO is like jumping into a fast-moving river in the dark without a paddle," said Steve Price-Thomas, Oxfam's spokesman in Hanoi. "It's hard to know for sure what will happen but the important thing is if you jump into a fast-moving river at night you want to make sure you've got a life belt, a flashlight, know which way you're headed, that there's no rocks, etc. So we hope that Vietnam is ready and prepared for life in the club of the WTO."

Oxfam believes that Vietnam should enter the WTO on its own terms. A slow transition to the market economy has helped Vietnam become the world's second-largest rice exporter, and Oxfam is concerned that if Vietnam can't protect its rice farmers, they'll be hit hard once the country joins the WTO.

Back on a farm in Bac Ninh province, Truong, 38, carried rice from a diesel-powered thresher into his front yard. He said he makes less than 10 cents a day tilling the fields. But he and his wife also work as day laborers - and after 15 years of hard work they were able to build a two-story home in 2002.

Truong sees how more factories are being built in the countryside and he thinks that if Vietnam joins the WTO, the government will take his farm. He said he has no problem with that - provided he's fairly compensated.

But Truong is concerned he won't have a job after his farm is taken away. So, he said, if he does not get a fair price, he and his neighbors will protest.

(Inter Press Service)



Shoe-dumping case pinches Vietnam's WTO bid (Sep 78, '05)
Vietnam's economy on sound footing (Jul 6, '05)

Vietnam maintains high export growth rate (Apr 30, '05)

Reform key to Vietnam's economic growth (Mar 22, '05)

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