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    Southeast Asia
     Jan 6, 2007
Page 1 of 2
AirAsia aims to X long-haul rivals
By David Fullbrook

Tony Fernandes, the flamboyant founder of Malaysia's low-cost airline AirAsia, is set to launch his fifth airline this July with the aim of introducing cheap-ticket competition to the long-haul market now dominated by state-controlled Malaysia Airlines. Formally announced on Friday, the new carrier, AirAsia X, also aims to poach passengers from other Southeast Asian long-haul carriers and could eventually alter the economics of the region's broad aviation industry.

AirAsia X will fly routes longer than four hours to places in Asia, Australia and Europe, starting with the United Kingdom and the



Chinese cities of Guangzhou and Tianjin. AirAsia X is expected to order up to 20 wide-body Airbus A330s or Boeing 777s this month and will commence services with two to three aircraft. Boeing's 777 is fit to carry more passengers and cargo over longer distances than Airbus's A330, but the latter is cheaper to lease or buy.

Fernandes made his name by introducing to Malaysia five years ago the showy no-frills type of airline pioneered by America's Southwest and later EasyJet and Ryanair in Europe using narrow-body airliners such as Airbus's A320 and Boeing's 737. Ticket prices rise as takeoff dates draw near, often on par with incumbent full-service carriers, but most fares are significantly less, for the first time bringing air travel within the budget of the country's middle and lower classes.

Fernandes is a rabid adherent to the low-cost business model, which aims to cut every cost without compromising safety and squeeze efficiencies by training staff to do many different jobs. Low-cost, no-frills flights have thrived on short-haul routes in the deregulated, open skies of Europe, India, Indonesia and North America.

Many analysts and airline executives are skeptical that the same model will work on long-haul routes, partly because for trips longer than four hours cost advantages are eroded and indeed may be even more expensive than full-service airlines flying wide-body aircraft. "They will save on other things such as using secondary airports. However, faster turnarounds deliver very little benefit on long-haul routes, unlike short-haul services," said an aviation analyst in Kuala Lumpur.

Qantas Airways, a full-service Australian airline, had a go this decade when it started Australian Airlines, which aimed for low costs while offering some frills, but it fared poorly. Its long-haul services were recently relaunched under the Jetstar brand, Qantas' short-haul no-frills carrier that operates in Australia and Singapore. Last year, Oasis began services from Hong Kong to London's Gatwick Airport applying the low-cost, no-frills philosophy. It is still flying, but whether it is at a loss is unclear because the carrier is privately owned.

High-flying ambitions
Enter AirAsia X into the competitive picture. Fernandes owns half, Kamarudin Meranum, executive director of AirAsia, holds 30%, and Raja Azmi, AirAsia's former chief financial officer the rest of the carrier's shares. They will use their AirAsia experience to ensure that AirAsia X is a lean and efficient operation that exploits the Internet and the latest airline-management systems. They are ambitiously aiming for costs of 1.9 US cents per seat-kilometer flown.

Even if they fall short of such a slim target, AirAsia X will have a substantially lower cost base than the notoriously inefficient Malaysia Airlines (MAS). AirAsia X's costs should also be lower than both Singapore Airlines and Thai Airways, the two major Southeast Asian long-haul carriers.

FlyAsianExpress, or FAX, another airline started in recent years by Fernandes, is licensing the AirAsia brand from AirAsia and will operate the AirAsia X services. FAX now serves routes to remote towns and villages on the Malaysian part of the island of Borneo under contract with AirAsia. Licensing the brand to FAX avoids mucking up AirAsia's balance sheet or upsetting shareholders because AirAsia X is clearly a riskier business bet. Startup costs will be higher than those of a short-haul carrier because it is using larger aircraft, and losses incurred while recouping initial investments will likely be higher than for short-haul carriers.

AirAsia X's official launch did not go into details about the carrier's planned on-board service. Some changes to the short-haul product will probably be necessary because flights will be up to 12 hours in duration. Legroom, which is tight on short-haul no-frills carriers, will likely match economy class on other long-haul carriers. Business class is probably out, which makes operations simpler and therefore cheaper.

AirAsia X could provide meals, but given Fernandes' low-cost zeal, it is more likely to sell a wide range of food, drinks and entertainment when services take off in July. AirAsia typically

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