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    Southeast Asia
     Apr 27, 2007
Page 2 of 2
Lights, camera, protest

By Shawn W Crispin

staff, but insists that neither Thaksin nor his deep-pocketed wife, Pojamarn Shinawatra, have contributed financially to the station's political cause.

However, Jakrapob openly admits during the interview that he and other senior PTV staff members are in regular telephone contact with Thaksin, who according to them is morally supportive of the



station. After telephone discussions with the ousted premier, Jakrapob contends that Thaksin now views last year's coup as an opportunity to reform his political movement and he proceeds to identify a number of once-prominent party members who are allegedly no longer welcome in his political camp.

Through that process of subtraction, it's difficult to gauge just how much in-country political support PTV really has. The station's four co-founders, all former TRT members, lack their own political support bases; Jakrapob was one of the few TRT candidates to lose his constituency in Bangkok in 2005.

The three PTV-led rallies to date have generated progressively larger crowds - though Jakrapob's buoyant estimate that 30,000 supporters came out for its most recent protest widely overshoots press reports, which estimated the crowd at about 5,000 people. Not helping the PTV cause was the CNS blocking it from rallying at Bangkok's expansive Sanam Luang park area, and the inexplicable positioning of more than 10 municipal garbage trucks heaped with rotting refuse in the more congested area that it was allowed to use, in front of City Hall.

The CNS "has no good choices", said Jakrapob. "If they crack down on us, they risk making us democratic heroes. If they do nothing, they risk looking like wimps. Either way it demonstrates that after less than one year their power has declined significantly."

If the PTV-inspired crowds start to swell beyond 10,000, it's entirely possible that the CNS opts for the stick rather than the carrot. Assistant army commander and CNS hardliner General Saprang Kalayanamitr, tipped by some to become army commander when CNS leader General Sonthi retires this year, in widely reported public remarks referred to PTV's founders and supporters as "dogs" and claimed that he had "spared their lives" by not cracking down on their protests.

It is not lost on PTV's founders that Bangkok's middle classes enthusiastically supported both the anti-government rallies and the military's extra-constitutional intervention that drove Thaksin's allegedly corrupt administration from power. And the widely attended anti-government rallies were also significantly shrouded in royal symbolism, with tens of thousands of anti-Thaksin protesters donning yellow shirts emblazoned with "We Love the King" messages.

One message PTV is keen to get out either over the airwaves or through protests is that the monarchy did not necessarily support last year's coup, but rather that the military intervention was presented to the palace as a fait accompli. Like the leaders of the anti-government street protesters, the military also mobilized royal symbolism the night of the coup, indicating to some political observers that the coup makers may have had the palace's blessing.

They note that lese majeste charges filed by the CNS against Thaksin were dropped as unfounded this month by a criminal court. Jakrapob contends, allegedly based on conversations he has had with King Bhumibol's personal advisers, that the monarch has ignored an amnesty request for last year's coup forwarded to him in December by the CNS. A senior PTV member also claims that Thaksin recently met with Crown Prince Vajiralongkorn in London to discuss his possible return to the country in June, based on information he received by telephone from Thaksin.

It's impossible to know whether such assertions are based on fact or rather are PTV's attempt to play the royal card in their own political favor. The station's founders also say they are willing to end their street protests if they are allowed to go on air - which likewise may be true or false. What is clear is that PTV's politicians cum journalists cum protest leaders are preparing to go for broke with their street rallies - risking the same type of confrontation and social fragmentation last year's coup was supposedly staged to avoid.

Shawn W Crispin is Asia Times Online's Southeast Asia editor.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

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