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    Southeast Asia
     Aug 24, 2007
Page 2 of 2
Disconnect in Philippines over China deal

By David Llorito

that will be," Formosa said. "Plus they are going to enter a very competitive field and still give us a 25% discount. That doesn't add up."

Formoso said AHI proposed to set up a mobile-telecom network, which the government doesn't need because its coverage would be limited to urban areas. "They are profit-driven, so they want to concentrate on urban centers - which is not the right thing to do



when you are in a missionary environment like the government," he said.

He also dismissed Arescom's proposal for allegedly using "obsolete technology", because it would include the use of expensive satellite-based technology. The ZTE proposal, Formosa asserted, is "superior" because of its greater coverage and advanced technology, which according to the plan will connect through fiber optics more than 25,000 government offices from the national level down to the local level.

Conflicting signals
Critics contend that Formosa's DOTC favored ZTE's bid from the outset, which is why the government allowed the company exclusively to modify its originally tendered proposal.

"The ZTE offer when they submitted in September 2006 was very modest," said O'Santos. "What was signed was totally different. It's vastly improved. It's actually a lot closer to our proposal. I have no beef with that. But they never allowed us the same courtesy that they gave ZTE to make adjustments to the proposals."

According to Emmanuel de Dios and Raul Fabella, economics professors with the University of the Philippines, the DOTC was able to favor ZTE over other proposals because the government did not specify its minimum technological requirements and commitments if the project were implemented via BOT. As a result, they said, government officials were able to fob off one proposal against another by merely citing one or the other technical details.

Sharper criticism of the $830 million projects is that they contradict current government privatization policy and will duplicate broadband services already on offer by private companies.

"The private sector has provided not one but two such backbones: the PLDT's [Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co's] loop-type fiber-optic backbone, which anchors the signal coverage of the entire country, and the Telecphil fishbone-type fiber-optic backbone, which is owned and employed by a consortium of telcos," said de Dios and Fabella in a recent paper critical of the ZTE deal.

"All smaller local telcos are hooked up to either of these two backbones. Even the local area networks of large government agencies are already currently connected to either of these backbones, for national and global connectivity," the academics wrote.

Top officials of the National Economic and Development Authority, which serves as the secretariat of the Investment Coordinating Committee that gave final approval on the national-broadband-network project, claim that the new network will "bridge the digital divide" between urban and rural populations.

Other government officials, however, have sent contradictory messages. Formoso said the network is in reality an "intranet" project, which will be used solely by government agencies and local government units, including about 50% of the country's barangays, the lowest unit of government in the Philippines.

Formosa estimates that the new broadband network will save the government close to P4 billion pesos ($89 million) a year on telecommunication services, including Internet, land-line and cellular-phone calls by government officials. At the same time, he also admitted that government will continue to rely on private telecom companies for certain cellular as well as bulk Internet services.

Arroyo has said more conservatively that the savings will be closer to P1 billion per year, as government agencies will still need to subscribe to private telecoms for communications outside the intra-government network, including when making calls to private companies and state agencies not covered by the to-be-built broadband network.

Those estimates may be overly optimistic, however. Calculations by economists with the University of the Philippines revealed that the government could even incur a financial loss over the life of the system. De Dios and Fabella contend that the government's projected savings of P27.75 billion over the project's 15-year life span is less than the P31 billion the system would cost over the same period. "The numbers ... simply fail to add up," the two independent economists concluded.

In retrospect, Arroyo initially opposed financing the new broadband network through Chinese concessionary loans and at first preferred a BOT scheme where private companies would shoulder the investment risk. Her unexplained about-turn in April, the alleged loss of the signed contracts in China, and the emerging hard questions about the network's economic benefits, fairly or unfairly, have generated widespread speculation about possible high-level corruption.

So far the government is undaunted by the allegations. "It's so easy to say [corruption], but could you prove it?" asked Formoso.

Yet time will tell: the new opposition-dominated Senate has promised to investigate the controversial deal, meaning Arroyo's post-mid-term-election headaches have already begun.

David Llorito is a researcher at the BusinessMirror, a Manila-based daily newspaper. He has more than a decade of experience in socioeconomic research, policy analysis and business-economy journalism in the Philippines.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

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