WRITE for ATol ADVERTISE MEDIA KIT GET ATol BY EMAIL ABOUT ATol CONTACT US
Asia Time Online - Daily News
             
Asia Times Chinese
AT Chinese



    Southeast Asia
     Dec 1, 2007
Failed 'coup' sends a strong message
By Roby Alampay

There was supposed to be a wedding reception at the Manila Peninsula Thursday morning, the same date and setting for yet another bizarre episode of military adventurism in the Philippines.

The bride and groom were understandably dismayed, but what's a couple to do when a disgruntled senator and his former comrades in the military hold your hotel hostage? While the Peninsula's guests were casually herded out by the hotel staff, the newlyweds were graciously accommodated in another nearby hotel.

Life elsewhere in Makati, Manila's financial center, similarly went



on. Even as 1,500 soldiers were ringing the hotel, work continued throughout the central business district. Brokers at the Philippine Stock Exchange less than a kilometer away heaved a sigh of relief that trades were winding down just as news of yet another "coup" finally broke on television.

By mid-afternoon, at the height of all the tension, the country's business process outsourcing (BPO) community was still humming and the national BPO association saw it fit and proper to issue a mid-day statement saying that it would be business-as-usual for their 24-hour operations and their clients worldwide.

In the scale of what Filipinos have seen and experienced in the past two decades, Thursday wouldn't rank very high. There have been about a dozen coups and mutinies and uprisings and military adventurisms in the Philippines since 1986, the year People Power toppled the strongman Ferdinand Marcos. And by the end of Thursday's events, nobody was quite sure what to call this latest military spasm - a coup attempt, mutiny or rebellion?

Senator Antonio Trillanes was already under trial for sedition for having pulled a similar stunt three years ago, when, on Thursday, he and his co-defendants (plus reportedly the military soldiers assigned to guard him) walked out of their hearing and marched to the five-star hotel a couple of kilometers away.

By the time they commandeered a function room for an "impromptu" press conference, there was a brand new website up and online to discuss a litany of complaints and demands, and the whole country was tuned in via live radio and television. Trillanes called Philippine President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo an illegitimate president and a corrupt leader, and called on her to step down.

And yet for all that, the calm and casual demeanor in the rest of Manila was quick to suggest that the publicity stunt was not going to get any bigger than what it ultimately was: a half-day's worth of news. Or at least, if this was to become anything more closely hewing to a political crisis, it would take a lot more than Trillanes to make it happen.

Trillanes is not the charismatic personality that the international media may have perceived. For someone who graduated near the top of his Philippine Military Academy class, he's perceived by many Filipinos as reckless, unthinking, and - worst yet for someone who holds hotels hostage just for the moral victory of having a press conference - he's fairly inarticulate.

It takes everybody who appears around him - priests, actors, the media, activists - to express the moral campaign that Trillanes offers himself up for, but ultimately cannot lead. Given this assessment, the government made a quick call based on the bet that, even in the worst case scenario, Trillanes, who may have the sentiment of certain junior officers, has never been able to muster crowds, was not going to be martyred.

The government bit the bullet with an overkill of an extraction: 1,500 soldiers to get one guy and 30 of his followers. That said, Trillanes did get 11 million votes in the last election, enough for him to win a seat in the senate. Yet he remains peeved because he has never actually been allowed to attend any session - because he's under trial for sedition on account of the first time he staged a coup by holding another hotel hostage.

The fact that he's an elected senator leads some outside analysts to assume that Trillanes must have a popular following. But in the last elections, people weren't so much voting for him as making a statement against Arroyo. Trillanes on the campaign trail represented pure unadulterated contempt for her administration and everything that makes people exasperated with her presidency: corruption, ambition, a thick hide to criticism.

To this day, that's what Trillanes stands for, and in the aftermath of Thursday's events that's all he still represents. Regardless, however, of how small a player Trillanes really is in the grand scheme of things - at best, he's been seen as an unwitting pawn - what he does symbolize is nothing to totally scoff at. Indeed what makes him dangerous is that he's the stubborn voice for what people have frankly gotten tired of wailing about.

Trillanes' mantra is the same sentiment that Filipinos - hoarse and tired from fighting in the streets - can now only curse under their breath. Most Filipinos by now are in agreement that Arroyo is corrupt, devious, insincere, and power-hungry. Her husband has been implicated in what has been exposed as a rigged multi-billion dollar contract to build an Internet "backbone" for government.

In the face of this, she pardoned her predecessor and nemesis, the former president Joseph Estrada - the first Philippine president ever convicted of plunder - even before he could spend a day in a proper jail. Filipinos smelled a rotten deal: Estrada's freedom in exchange for less heat on the First Husband Arroyo and an end of calls for a new round of impeachment complaints against the president. And they've never forgotten - as if people like Trillanes would ever allow it - that Arroyo had admitted to improper communications with election officials while they were busy counting votes for the last presidential elections.

And yet most Filipinos are now simply resigned to riding out her term until the next elections are held 2010. Two impeachment attempts against her have failed thanks to the corrupted politics and politicians she's co-opted - some say threatened - in Congress. Last week former president Fidel Ramos, formerly an Arroyo supporter said for all to hear: "Nobody likes Gloria, but what choice do we have?"

Many Filipinos grudgingly take that as a valid point. There are indicators that Arroyo has the economy - or at least the business community - on her side. The Philippine peso is the second strongest performing Asian currency this year, next only to the Indian rupee. The day after Trillanes was arrested, the government announced that Philippine gross domestic product growth for the whole of 2007 would likely hit 7%, overshooting all predictions at the start of the year.

What festers, however, is the feeling that democracy-crazy Filipinos are selling their souls for long-missed stability. Trillanes will never be the center or leader of any new People Power movement. But whenever he's on the news, Filipinos are reminded that as inconvenient and unsophisticated as this soldier is, the people's bigger moral issue will still be with Arroyo: the president who they believe was caught red-handed rigging her own election; whose husband they believe was caught red-handed rigging his own multi-billion-peso government contracts; whose government has shown contempt for free expression, human rights and, yes, democracy.

After Thursday's events, few people have put Trillanes' complaint on the top of their agendas. Yet for two more years, they will be asking themselves how much more of these political shenanigans they are willing to endure. Whenever they see Trillanes, they will shake their heads but also clutch at their chests, because he will be there to say again what he said after seizing the Peninsula Hotel: "The only loser here is the Filipino people, because Gloria is still there."

And whatever Filipinos think of Trillanes, wherever he goes that they do not care to follow, they are at least in agreement with the only complete sentence he managed to utter without stuttering on Thursday.

Roby Alampay is a Filipino journalist based in Bangkok where he serves as executive director of the Southeast Asian Press Alliance. The following reflects his personal views.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


Estrada pardon signals Arroyo's weakness (Oct 30, '07)

Estrada's guilt could shadow Arroyo (Sep 14, '07)


1. If Iran's Guards strike back ...

2. Baptism of fire for Pakistan's army head

3. A language for the world

4. The cold comfort of
economic collapse


5. Selling the US by the dollar

6. How you helped build Pakistan's bomb  

(24 hours to 11:59 pm ET, Nov 29, 2007)

asia dive site

Asia Dive Site
 
 



All material on this website is copyright and may not be republished in any form without written permission.
© Copyright 1999 - 2007 Asia Times Online (Holdings), Ltd.
Head Office: Unit B, 16/F, Li Dong Building, No. 9 Li Yuen Street East, Central, Hong Kong
Thailand Bureau: 11/13 Petchkasem Road, Hua Hin, Prachuab Kirikhan, Thailand 77110