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    Southeast Asia
     Feb 16, 2008
Philippine plot within a plot
By Joel D Adriano

MANILA - Hounded by corruption allegations, coup attempts and dissatisfaction and defection within her own party ranks, Philippine President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo's political troubles have apparently been compounded by a foiled attempt on her life by Islamic rebels.

Brigadier General Romeo Prestoza, head of Arroyo's security detail, said the president had been targeted by the purportedly al-Qaeda-influenced militant group Abu Sayyaf, which Philippine forces are combating on the country's southern Mindanao island with the assistance of US military advisers. The security official said the alleged plot was uncovered last week and apparently included plans to assassinate the national leader in a sniper



attack.

The official also said the rebel group planned to bomb unnamed foreign embassies situated in the capital. The announcement forced Arroyo into lock-down mode due to fears over her personal security. That included the abrupt cancelation of her planned visit over the weekend to the Philippines Military Academy in provincial Baguio City, where the president is known to spend holidays.

It remains unclear if security officials planned to declare a state of emergency or crack down on planned anti-government rallies over the alleged plot, similar to the government's reaction to an alleged coup attempt in February 2006.

Opposition critics have questioned the timing of the announcement of the alleged plot, which conveniently coincided with a planned mass anti-government rally on Friday in the capital's financial district. The gathering was expected to call for Arroyo's resignation on recent corruption allegations.

Anti-government forces have in recent weeks held daily protests around Manila, where demonstrators have called on the people to rise up and oust what they consider to be an increasingly corrupt administration. The military, meanwhile, had earlier announced that security forces were on "high alert" over alleged communist rebel plans to infiltrate the protests. Apart from fighting Islamic secessionist groups, the Philippine military is also locked in provincial battles with the communist rebel group, the New People's Army.

The alleged plot notably failed to make headline news in Manila, with even the pro-government daily newspapers keeping the story off the front page. Adel Tamano, spokesman for the so-called "united opposition", cautioned that the security forces "should not use the bogey of terrorism or destabilization to disrupt the people's right to peaceful assembly".

Even the rebel Moro Islamic Liberation Front, with which the military has recently exchanged gunfire and which the government has accused of having secret links to Abu Sayyaf, denied any involvement in the alleged plot. A spokesman for the rebel group said it considered the allegations tantamount to a provocation and that the charges had the potential to jeopardize their tentative peace negotiations with the government.

Meanwhile, opposition momentum against Arroyo's government is arguably at its strongest since she first assumed office in 2001. Following recent democratic elections, the influential Senate is now controlled by the opposition and even long-time House of Representatives speaker Jose de Venetia, a former staunch Arroyo ally, has now become one of her loudest critics.

The influential Catholic Church is also mobilizing support among its faithful to demand Arroyo's resignation over fresh claims that her husband and a close political ally solicited millions of dollars worth of kickbacks from a US$329 million broadband infrastructure deal with China's state-run telecommunications conglomerate, ZTE Corp, which has since been canceled amid the controversy.

Rodolfo Noel Lozada Jr, head of the Philippine Forest Corp, a wholly government-owned and controlled corporation with apparent inside knowledge of the canceled deal, has accused former election commissioner and Arroyo ally Benjamin Abalos and Arroyo's husband, Miguel Arroyo, of demanding a $130 million kickback on the proposed ZTE deal.

Both have strenuously denied the allegations, and Lozada, after several bizarre twists and turns, including the issuance of a warrant for his arrest and then allegations that he was kidnapped, has recently re-emerged as the prosecution's star witness in the politically charged case. Adding to the case's murkiness, Lozada himself currently stands accused by critics of dispensing contracts without competitive bidding for a recent state biofuel-related project.

Whether the assassination plot against Arroyo is real or imagined may never be known. Abu Sayyaf has recently been routed on the battlefield by the Philippine military and in the past has taken its desperate fight to Manila, including a bombing of a passenger ferry that killed 116 people in 2004. There is also the possibility that the assassination attempt, if authentic, could have originated from inside the ranks of the military itself.

The military has been implicated of complicity in several of the extrajudicial killings that have been reported across the country. Arroyo-backed and United Nations-led investigations have uncovered damning evidence against certain senior ranking officers who could one day stand trial on charges of crimes against humanity. Factional disgruntlement inside the military towards Arroyo's administration was on prominent display last November when a senator and group of 30 military officers farcically attempted - and failed - to launch a coup from a Manila luxury hotel.

What is more clear is that Arroyo's government has a well-worn history of obfuscation and subterfuge when her administration is under threat, including during the course of two failed impeachment motions against her, including allegations of vote-rigging in the 2004 election she narrowly won. This is why this week's revelations of an alleged al-Qaeda-inspired assassination attempt against Arroyo have so far failed to capture the popular imagination or national headlines.

Joel D Adriano is an independent consultant and award-winning freelance journalist. He was a sub-editor for the business section of The Manila Times and writes for Asean BizTimes, Entrepreneur Philippines, Masigasig and People's Tonight.

(Copyright 2008 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


Peace delayed in southern Philippines (Jan 3, '08)

Failed 'coup'
sends a strong
message
 (Dec 1, '07)

Philippines teeters on brink of
total war
 (Aug 17, '07)


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