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    Southeast Asia
     Apr 1, 2008
Page 4 of 5
Brunei's fund of wealth and scandal
By Geoffrey C Gunn

Commission account, Global Evergreen acquired such former Amadeo assets as the Empire Hotel and Country Club, the Berakas power station, DST Corporate Tower, and the Jerudong Marina, [20] suggesting that the state had adroitly maneuvered to reassert control of Amadeo in new form outside of the reach of the rogue brother.

Pehin Aziz is reported to have said that some of Amadeo’s unfinished projects would be completed. This is important as construction is the nation’s second-largest industry after oil and gas. It is also the lifeblood of many bumiputra (Bruneian) contractors hard hit by the construction slowdown.

Still, many questions remain over the disposal of "trophy" assets

 

around the world including Plaza Athenee in Paris, the New York Palace Hotel, the Dorchester in London, and the Bel-Air in Los Angeles. These are the high profile and tangible assets but, beyond that, the recovery of the other billions seems unlikely.

It was not until 2007 that the penny dropped on the Prince Jefri story. In that year the Sultan won a key victory when the Privy Council ruled that the prince - who had stonewalled the courts for seven years - was required to abide by the agreement of 2000 to return nearly all of his remaining holdings. Finally, in March 2008, the Prince lost control of his most valuable remaining asset, the opulent New York Palace Hotel, which returned to Brunei government control. Even so, to strike a skeptical note, Jefri still remains in control of prime assets to the tune of more than US$1.5 billion, apparently as a bargaining chip in his ongoing negotiations with the Brunei government. [21]

The rebound in oil prices beginning in the latter half of 1999 from its historic low of US$10 a barrel to over US$30 by mid-2000, brought a reprieve to Brunei, en route to historic highs by 2007-08 (surpassing US$100 a barrel). While such a windfall has no doubt more than replenished the missing billions, the new wealth will be as easily squandered as the old if Brunei fails to chart a far more managerial and technocratic playing field and above all, a developmental agenda to translate oil wealth into manufacturing, agricultural, tourism or other potentially self-sustaining resources.

If international agencies were in a position to offer advice to Brunei, then they would urge better financial governance. But, just as the charge of "corruption, collusion and nepotism" brought down the Indonesian New Order regime of President Suharto of Indonesia and became the slogan of reformists throughout the region, in the absence of a broader developmental vision and approach, economic rebound in Brunei has its limits, just as its oil reserves are finite. [22] Nevertheless, a first essential step surely will be overcoming the current dynasty’s signature extravagance on a grand scale; indeed, survival in its present form may well call for self-effacement and restraint.

Beginning in late 2001 and early 2002 the government launched a range of measures to stimulate the local economy. Notable was the release of the National Development Plan (2001-2005), just as development funds for B$1 billion were released for year 2002, representing an increase of 82% over 2001. The funds were to stimulate the private sector, especially SMEs, and to reduce high local unemployment.

In November 2001, the government established the Brunei Economic Development Board designed to attract and assist foreign capital investments. One of its major tasks was to oversee the development of a large island (Pulau Muara Besar) as industrial estate. In response to complaints from Prince Mohamed about government red tape, in October 2001 an Investment Incentive Order simplified application procedures for investors. An Income Tax Amendment Order did the same on tax incentives for investors. There was also tax relief for pioneer industries and emphasis on bringing new technologies to Brunei. Pioneer and export industries were exempted from customs duties for import of raw materials. Since 2001 the government has also privatized a number of government agencies (telecommunications and electricity) and the operation of the Muara container port, and cut back subsidies. A cap was also placed upon government hiring.

The push to stimulate SMEs was no doubt genuine. But, traditionally, the retailing sector has been dominated by Chinese. Citizenship issues and the closure of government opportunities to the Chinese community has long reinforced Chinese business strength in SMEs. In fact, however, it is politically essential and often a legal requirement for Chinese to enter into "Ali-Baba" partnerships, with the former guaranteeing all the right connections. But such cosy arrangements for the Brunei Malay partner offer little incentive to go it alone.

Unlike Malaysia, for example, where under government patronage a class of Malay entrepreneurs has emerged, a genuine Brunei Malay business class remains embryonic. Such lack of commercial traditions in Brunei would even set it apart from Middle Eastern rentier states. But the unwillingness of Bruneians to enter into commercial ventures, with the possible exception of import agencies, fits the rentier model where the state sector becomes unduly bloated and career expectations look to the state as employer.

The oil sector/PetroBRUNEI
Another post-crisis development was the establishment of a national oil company, PetroleumBRUNEI, also known as the Brunei National Petroleum Company Sendirian Berhad. Registered as a "private limited company" in January 2002, PetroleumBRUNEI is described on the official website as wholly owned by the government of His Majesty the Sultan through "the Prime Minister Corporation." [23] It supersedes the former Brunei Oil and Gas Board and the Petroleum Unit. No less significant, the PetroleumBRUNEI model, a first in Brunei, is based upon issuing Production Sharing Contracts (that is, free of tax and royalties).

In creating a national oil company, Brunei was following the lead of Indonesia, Malaysia, and most other oil exporting countries. In fact, PetroleumBRUNEI declared that its trading pattern would explicitly follow Malaysia’s Petronas. It might also be seen as a means to lessen dependence upon Shell in exploration and refining. This development is one to watch, especially if PetroleumBRUNEI moves out of the domestic environment into the Southeast Asian arena. But management prospects are daunting, even as the new national oil company takes its first steps, initially restricted to local activities. As a "private limited company" under the control of the government of His Majesty the Sultan, it remains to be seen whether PetroleumBRUNEI upholds "accountability and transparency" such as it claims, especially as accounts do not appear to enter the public domain.

The Sultanate also released a number of new blocks for oil and gas exploration. These included a 10,000 square kilometers deep water concession extending up to 150 kilometers offshore. Moreover, the new blocks have been offered under production sharing agreements as opposed to the prevailing concession and royalty tax system, suggesting a more competitive environment for potential bidders. Australia’s BHP won one of the bids, France's Total/Final/Elf another, and Japan’s Mitsubishi another, in partnership with Shell.

Current oil prices are far higher than those calculated by the 8th and 9th National Development Plans. Obviously how Brunei parlays higher oil revenues earned on the spot market into energizing the economy depends upon many factors including good management, transparency, and the ability of the economy to absorb inputs.

The rebound in oil prices beginning in the latter half of 1999 from its historic low of US$10 a barrel to over US$30 by mid-2000, (rising to historic highs of more than $100 a barrel in early 2008) also brought a reprieve to Brunei. Combined with the weakening of the Brunei dollar, if these levels are maintained, this could translate into earnings of more than US$4 billion in oil and gas exports a year. Current oil price hikes also play to Brunei’s advantage. Since 1999, presumably in part because of the high prices, Brunei appears to have backed away from its conservation policy by increasing production by 50,000 bpd.

International investment centre?
In 1999 Brunei began to prepare laws to create a tax haven for foreign companies, virtually starting from zero in a crowded field of players. For starters, Brunei has no listed companies, no stock exchange and no central bank. It also lacks appropriate enabling legislation. Brunei is, moreover, some 10 years behind the initiative taken by Malaysia on nearby Labuan island, which has apparently had at best mixed results.

In July 2000, Brunei formally launched the Brunei International Financial Centre, which includes an electronic bourse, or interactive web site to encourage futures trading and an offshore haven for Islamic banking.

Since January 2002, Brunei has emerged as one of the largest stakeholders in the Jeddah-based Islamic Development Bank (IDB) infrastructure development fund. According to IDB literature, the fund, established in Bahrain in 1998 with a capital of US$1.5 billion, "encourages private investments in infrastructure projects such as energy, telecommunications and transportation." [24]

The IDB also advertises its Islamic banking ethos. Essentially Islam forbids riba (interest) but Ju’alal or stipulated price for performing any services also applies. So the IDB can charge a fee for a loan, but not in excess of expenditure, which would be deemed usurious. Locally, a branch of the IDB in Brunei offers banking and financial services on Islamic principles, alongside two other Islamic banking entities and some eight foreign banks. Notably, in 2008, the IDB Development Fund returned some US$420 million in cash to its subscribers, namely the Saudi Arabia Pension Fund,, a trust fund managed by Bahrain, a Malaysian consortium, and the Government of His Majesty, the Sultan of Brunei. [25] Brunei is also a growing subscriber to Sukuk or "Islamic bonds" issued by the IDB. [26] Notwithstanding Brunei’s attempts to parlay itself as an international financial center, the IDB counter in Brunei operates at low profile.

Obviously, many supplicants appear in the Court of Brunei Darussalam, some more successful than others. Actually the Sultanate supports a special foundation that distributes the Sultan’s gifts to his subjects, such as dates imported from the Middle East and civil service salary hikes.

Notoriously, in a muddled deal involving Oliver North, Ronald

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