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    Southeast Asia
     May 21, 2010
The view from Thailand's ground zero
By Brian McCartan

BANGKOK - The anti-government rally that paralyzed central Bangkok for over six weeks has been folded up and protest leaders detained, but the besieged capital city is far from secure. Critical questions have been raised about Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva's armed crackdown, including security forces' seeming lack of preparedness to control the operation's chaotic aftermath.

After a series of government warnings, on Wednesday morning armored personnel carriers (APCs) and troops moved into position at the United Front for Democracy Against Dictatorship's (UDD) square mile protest site's southern flank. However, troops were quickly bogged down in defusing the several improvised explosive devices hidden in the makeshift barricades protesters made of tires and bamboo stakes.

Security experts at the scene wondered why the military did not simply defuse a short section of the barricade, knock it down with

 

its APCs and send immediately troops towards the protest site's command center. The delays allowed the UDD's alleged militant wing of black-clad fighters time to organize a response to the crackdown, the experts said.

When the military finally moved, there were fewer than 200 soldiers, many of whom straggled behind. A common comment at the site was that journalists outnumbered the military. Commanding officers called frequent stops when protesters were sighted up the street. Soldiers took up positions and opened fire.

On several occasions, though, halts were called after seeing armed figures moving through the adjacent Lumpini Park, where gun battles between protesters and the military had taken place on May 14. This time, however, the figures turned out to be other security forces. The event highlighted the lack of coordination and communication between units, a lack of planning that nearly resulted in a friendly fire incident.

It took soldiers nearly a hour-and-a-half to reach the far corner of the park, or an advance of about 500 meters. Once there, over a kilometer short of the UDD's main protest stage at the Ratchaprasong intersection, the soldiers called a halt to process 15 captured red-shirt protesters, five of them women and two Buddhist monks.

Black-clad protesters could be seen up the street carrying AK-47 assault rifles and a firefight broke out that saw protesters launch an M-79 grenade at soldiers. Thai army special forces arrived later and advanced past the regular troops, while fierce firing echoed up and down the street. protesters launched at least five M-79 grenades at troops during the armed exchange.


Image courtesy ASTV

Most landed harmlessly in the park, but one severely injured freelance Canadian journalist Chandler Vandegrift and three soldiers. The APCs were called up to evacuate the wounded and police showed up to take away red-shirt captives. It was after then that certain UDD leaders declared at 1:30 pm they would surrender to authorities to avoid further bloodshed.

The army then evacuated the troops and journalists who were there at the initial APC assault. That left the special forces commandos to carry on against the UDD's black shirts, who were armed with pistols, assault rifles and grenade launchers. At the far end of the park, the city's public works department was in full swing carrying away debris from the barricades, pulling down tents and restoring the park area.

Fighting continued in the main rally area, with police saying that a gunfight took place in the early evening of Wednesday near Wat Pratumwanaram where about 2,000 protesters, including many women and children, had taken shelter. Firemen fighting to extinguish blazes at a major shopping mall and other buildings in the main protest area were reportedly fired on by at least one sniper.

The Bangkok Metropolitan Authority said 34 buildings, including several Bangkok Bank branches, were torched by angry UDD protesters.

At least 13 people were killed in Wednesday's armed exchanges, including one foreign journalist, pushing the death toll since May 14 to around 50 dead and nearly 400 injured.

Widespread panic
Still, the government's troubles have clearly not ended with its flawed operation to retake the rally site located in a high-end shopping and hotel district. Officials said that they believed UDD gunmen were still hiding in buildings in the area. The government has claimed that large stores of weapons were found at the captured site.

But it is unclear how many black shirts escaped the military sweep and whether they are planning volatile new attacks. Prior to the military operation, red shirt leaders had warned that a government crackdown could result in a civil war. The self-proclaimed leader of the black shirts, dissident soldier Major General Khattiya Sawasdiphol, or Seh Daeng, was shot by an unknown sniper on May 13 and died a few days later. This assault triggered riots and violence in areas around the protest site.

Exiled former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, the UDD's presumed patron and financier, said in an interview as the army prepared to capture the protest site that a crackdown could result in widespread discontent and guerrilla tactics. UDD leaders had repeatedly claimed that theirs was a peaceful protest movement and disowned any leaders, including Seh Daeng, who promoted violent means.

They claimed that a series of grenade attacks across Bangkok as well as the shooting and grenade attacks on soldiers during the April 10 failed government crackdown on the protest site was the work of a "third hand" that was helping their movement, but outside their control. Even during the recent violent unrest, UDD leaders have claimed that they have no control over people seen carrying and using weapons.

Analysts and intelligence officials, however, believe that there is a link. Debunking the idea of a "third hand", they have come to consider the black-clad wearing men sometimes captured on camera carrying pistols and assault rifles to be the movement's clandestine armed wing. Members of the group shied from being photographed or filmed while carrying or using weapons.

The majority of protesters killed or injured during the past week were shot while firing slingshots, burning tires or throwing firecrackers. The military has not publicly reported any of its members killed or injured by gunshots. Protester anger that has built up over months, and especially over the past week due to the continued violence and perceived government abuse in killing unarmed protesters, finally exploded.

On Wednesday night, red-shirt protesters joined by others outraged at the army's crackdown and their own leaders for surrendering to authorities took matters into their own hands by burning buildings, including a privately run television news channel, and looting several stores. Protesters leaving the rally site set the enormous Central World shopping center on fire, as well as a nearby cinema complex.

The Klong Toey slum area descended into chaos on Wednesday afternoon, apparently fueled by anger about several days of killings and injuries at the nearby Bon Kai community. With no police or military presence, residents ran riot and set a fire at the nearby Stock Exchange of Thailand and destroyed telephone booths and the above-ground portions of a subway station.

The security situation also began to unravel upcountry. Protesters in several provinces were able to enter the compounds of provincial government offices virtually unopposed. Provincial halls in the northeastern cities of Udon Thani, Khon Kaen and Mukdahan were torched. Protesters in Ubon Ratchatani torched the Provincial Culture Hall and the office of the governor. In northern Chiang Mai, the house of a senior provincial officer situated in the governor's residential compound was torched.

No safeguards
The government has claimed it was bringing the situation under control, but its clear that relevant authorities failed to establish safeguards against a wider outbreak of violence if the UDD's main rally site was crushed. An intelligence source had earlier told Asia Times Online that the military had been reluctant to cordon off the protest area and carry out a crackdown due to concerns it could spark a wider rebellion.

For instance, no apparent efforts were made to contain protest sites at Bon Kai or Din Daeng districts, where fighting was frequent over the past week. At Din Daeng there are two army camps and the headquarters of the Border Patrol Police to the rear of the protesters, but as of last night there were no moves to contain and control the area.

At a Bangkok intersection known as Sam Yan near the city's main railway station, Hualompong, a new group of protesters were able to set up a barricade on the flank of the army's crackdown. In provincial areas, reports indicated that security forces made no serious efforts to defend provincial halls or other government installations. This despite several threats from UDD organizers and intelligence reports of stepped-up red shirt organizing in the areas after May 13.

In the chaotic wake of Wednesday's crackdown, Abhisit's government has maintained its grip on power. But the costs will likely be felt for months and possibly years to come. Although the government has announced it will continue with its proposed reconciliation roadmap, it had taken its offer to hold new elections in November off the table.

The crackdown has alienated a large segment of the population and it will be exceedingly difficult, if not impossible, for Abhisit and his Democrat party to win them over with offers of reconciliation. Protests have so far channeled anger into the destruction of public and private property, but if hardline UDD leaders now at large have the opportunity to plan and regroup, the escalating conflict could yet take another violent turn.

Brian McCartan is a Bangkok-based freelance journalist. He may be reached at brianpm@comcast.net.

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