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    Southeast Asia
     Jul 19, 2012




Ford reverses from Philippines
By Joel D Adriano

MANILA - American automaker Ford's recent announcement that it will shut its vehicle assembly plant in the Philippines by the end of the year has dealt another blow to President Benigno Aquino's efforts to shore up the manufacturing sector.

Ford executives cited the the country's small market as the reason for the closure, while insisting to reporters that the decision was not a reflection of its corporate confidence in Aquino's and the country's economic direction. Filipinos are expected to purchase 180,000 cars this year, up from the 166,000 new cars they bought in 2011.

Those sales are dwarfed elsewhere in the region - Thailand's auto sales last year topped 700,000 while Indonesia's were close to

 

one million, according to industry statistics.

Ford's Philippine plant failed to reach half of its annual projected output of 36,000 vehicles per year, and was only a fraction of the 300,000 units Ford's factories typically churn out in Thailand and China.

The company joins a growing list of multinational corporations that have folded up their manufacturing facilities in the Philippines to relocate to China or other Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries.

Big multinational manufacturers that have opened and subsequently closed production facilities in the country include Acer, Colgate-Palmolive, Intel, Philips, Procter & Gamble, Toshiba, and several pharmaceutical companies. Some of these have cited the uncompetitive costs of doing business, including high regulatory, energy and transport costs, as cause for their departure.

Peter Fleet, Ford's president for ASEAN, pointed to a dearth of auto-parts suppliers and a lack of economies of scale as major issues behind the decision to close its US$270 million factory. Ford Philippines, which started local operations in 1999, has been largely dependent on parts suppliers from China and Thailand.

Some analysts believe that Ford's decision was also motivated by a lack of transparency inside the bureaucracy and by automobile-related regulations. That supposedly includes persistent illegal imports of second-hand cars from neighboring countries, which by some estimates have hampered growth and sales in the local new car market.

The closure hits the Philippines' once ambitious car export program, which was intended to transform the country into a regional hub for automotive production, especially low-cost models and utility vehicles used for mass transport.

It also presents a reversal for the country's industrial ambitions. In 1996, the Philippines tried to woo US automaker General Motors (GM) through generous investment incentives, including the free use of land next to Subic Bay, site of a former US military base. GM finally decided to establish a $750 million production plant in Thailand, cementing that country's position as Southeast Asia's auto manufacturing hub.

Philippine officials are predictably looking for scapegoats. Trade Undersecretary Adrian Cristobal said in the wake of Ford's decision that the country must encourage more investment in car parts and components.

Open borders
Ferdi Raquelsantos, president of the Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturers Association of the Philippines, countered in a public statement that its member plants are operating at less than 50% of their installed capacity and could easily ramp up production if there was underlying demand. He argued that the problem is more related to increased imports of completely built cars, mainly from Thailand, than a lack of locally produced parts.

His association is urging the government to review the Motor Vehicle Development Program, which intends to rationalize the local automotive industry by leveling the competitive playing field, and replace it with one that emphasizes local manufacturing over foreign trade. Beginning next year, Ford will only import cars into the Philippines, similar to the sales strategies of its competitors in the local market.

Rafaelita Aldaba of the Philippine Institute of Development Studies think tank said in an interview that the Philippines at present has 256 auto parts and components suppliers with strong comparative advantages in ignition sets, radio receivers, lead acid electric accumulators, brake systems, transmissions, propellers and shafts.

"Our parts alone contribute 5% to total manufacturing employment, 3% to total value added and represent 7% of the country's total exports. The parts industry is a net exporter, with exports amounting to $3.8 billion in 2011," Aldaba said.

She said that to develop the industry and address the limited economies of scale that Ford cited as a reason for its departure the government should do more to curb parts smuggling and implement laws that prohibit illegal import of used vehicles.

From a jobs perspective, Ford's closure will not be as dramatic as chipmaker Intel's pullout a few years ago, which shed 5,000 jobs. Only 360 workers will be affected by Ford's closure, on top of the 200 who were laid off earlier this year.

Still, Ford's departure has sent a worrying signal to other manufacturers that upstream supply chains could be hurt. The Philippines received only $1.2 billion out of a total $116 billion invested in the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian nations last year, lagging behind even underdeveloped Vietnam's $7 billion.

In a global executives survey conducted by global management consultant firm A T Kearney and released earlier this year, the Philippines was not among the top 25 global countries considered attractive by foreign investors - in poor comparison with regional rivals such as Indonesia (placed ninth in the survey), Malaysia (10th), Vietnam (14th) and Thailand (16th). In 1990, manufacturing contributed 25% to the Philippine economy; that figure had dropped to 21% by 2010, according to the research.

Ernesto Herrera, a former senator and president of the Trade Union Congress of the Philippines (TUCP), said Ford's closure is symptomatic of a larger malaise in the industrial sector.

"One major reason why investors are avoiding and even moving out of the Philippines is the lack of stability in investment policies. [One government] approves policies that then become void by the Supreme Court in the next administration," Herrera said.

Other major reasons, Herrera said, relate to protectionist restrictions on foreign investments, which are capped by law at 40% foreign ownership, and endemic official corruption.

"While there is corruption to accommodate investments in other countries as well, the degree we have is among the worst in the world," he said. "A big part of the reason is the earlier restriction in investment ... which forces investors to partner with controlling families."

He contends that during the previous Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo administration no major foreign investments were allowed in the country unless an allied big business family participated.

Many hoped the Philippines' global image would improve under Aquino's reformist leadership. But while his government's anti-corruption drive has made some traction in bringing wayward officials to account, it so far has failed to win a larger share of new foreign investments entering the region and, as seen in the case of Ford, to keep those companies already committed to the Philippines parked in place.

Joel D Adriano is an independent consultant and award-winning freelance journalist. He was a sub-editor for the business section of The Manila Times and writes for ASEAN BizTimes, Safe Democracy and People's Tonight.

(Copyright 2012 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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