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  War and Terror
    

December 2010

NATO weaves South Asian web
Once unthinkable, deeper engagement in Afghanistan and Pakistan by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization is set to raise the heft of the world's most powerful military and political alliance to shape South Asian geopolitics. Part of the complex web now being woven is a perpetual role in the security detail of the gas pipeline that represents the finished product of the US invasion. - M K Bhadrakumar (Dec 22, '10)

SPENGLER
Naked emperor and a conspiracy of silence
While America's competitors stood transfixed as the emperor's garbs of global dominance were stripped away, they likely found the extremities exposed - prospects of new wars in the Middle East, a freewheeling North Korea and a nuclear Iran - an ugly sight. Never in the course of strategic events have so few done so much damage to so many. (Dec 22, '10)

Al-Qaeda finds new friends
American intelligence assesses that al-Qaeda is a significantly weakened force, yet developments in Pakistan indicate otherwise. The powerful Laskhar-e-Jhangvi, an anti-Shi'ite group, has now become a part of al-Qaeda's global operations, and they could be bolstered by anti-Pakistan Baloch insurgents. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Dec 22, '10)

THE ROVING EYE
For drone warriors,
the future is death

Seduced by visions of a "stabilizing" pipeline cutting through huge swathes of Afghanistan and Pakistan, US President Barack Obama now has a hot war on in both countries. This will keep his spooks busy remote-controlling mayhem from the air. Take cover - the Year of the Drone is upon us. - Pepe Escobar (Dec 22, '10)

Kandahar gains came with 'brutal' tactics
In efforts seemingly at odds with General David Petraeus’ counter-insurgency strategy to win over the Afghan population, large-scale demolitions were carried out in Kandahar province over fears of Taliban booby traps. While local officials say "we had to destroy these villages to make them safe", the loss of property has only worsened resentment of the foreign presence. - Gareth Porter (Dec 20, '10)

CHAN AKYA
The value of a nuclear Iran
A nuclear-capable Iran may be exactly what is required to destabilize the Wahhabi establishment, reduce support for extreme groups such as al-Qaeda - and usher in a new era of democracy across the Middle East. If the issue of Iran's attitude towards Israel can be addressed comprehensively, a strong Shi'ite state may well suit the strategic requirements of both the West and Asia. (Dec 17, '10)

Ticking boxes in Afghanistan
Although the United States' Afghan strategy review released this week was originally sold as a supporting pillar for a drawdown of troops starting in 2011, US officials now say things are "on track" and are downplaying its significance. The review's treatment as a mere formality comes as other observers paint a bleak picture of failing security, encroaching Taliban rule and of a US left high and dry when European allies withdraw. - Heather Maher (Dec 16, '10)

Al-Qaeda braced for a war without end
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization claims success against the Taliban in Kandahar and Helmand provinces in Afghanistan. The fighting is far from over, though, as al-Qaeda-affiliated groups have stepped into the vacuum and they will continue the battle. This will be the pattern in a war that will not end. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Dec 15, '10)

Moscow moves to counter NATO
In the face of what Russia perceives as North Atlantic Treaty Organization duplicity, Moscow this weekend used a summit of the Collective Security Treaty Organization to show its determination to build the grouping as a counter to NATO's projection as the sole vehicle for global security. Russia and its allies also want to do something about what they view as a failed US war strategy in Afghanistan. - M K Bhadrakumar (Dec 13, '10)

Who is to blame for WikiLeaks?
In an odd twist to the WikiLeaks affair, positive words for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu from Julian Assange, the organization's founder, have fueled speculation that Israel conspired to release the US diplomatic cables. The claim is too politically motivated and simplistic to do justice to the complexity of the gray areas where the interests of powerful international players and anarchist hackers cross. - Victor Kotsev (Dec 13, '10)

Pakistan elites turn blind eye to war
Washington is running riot in Pakistan, and the country's elite is turning the other way as the missile strikes rain down, the Central Intelligence Agency and special operations forces fan out and the United States in essence goes to war against Pakistan. Collateral damage? Who cares? - Fatima Bhutto (Dec 10, '10)

Broadside fired at al-Qaeda leaders
A new book by several top al-Qaeda operators - the first of its kind - is critical of the group's leaders, accusing them of acting impetuously and refusing to take advice. The authors suggest al-Qaeda open itself to the Muslim intelligentsia and harmonize its strategy with mainstream Islamic movements. This does not yet indicate a split, but the repercussions could yet be felt along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Dec 9, '10)

Varanasi blast breaks Indian terror lull
The Indian Mujahideen has claimed responsibility for a fatal blast at a Hindu temple in Varanasi, ending a relative lull in terror attacks in India. In an e-mail to the media, the group linked the attack to the demolition of the Babri Masjid in Ayodhya. After claiming victory in a land dispute over that site, Hindu nationalists urged Muslims to hand over land in Varanasi. Tuesday's blast was the Indian Mujahideen's response. - Sudha Ramachandran (Dec 8, '10)

THE ROVING EYE
What is al-Qaeda really up to?
Forget the old-school iconography of Osama bin Laden. In the new narrative of intelligence agencies on al-Qaeda, gone is the talk of a caliphate, Yemen is the name of the game, and the password is the online "re-Islamization" of Muslims living in the West, inspired by the likes of Anwar al-Awlaki. WikiLeaks shows the larger than life evil was an American construct - and the real al-Qaeda now lacks the means to hit strategic targets. - Pepe Escobar (Dec 7, '10)

Gulf war cries over Iran exaggerated
The United States media spin on leaked diplomatic cables in the Persian Gulf is that Arab rulers are as eager for military action against Iran as the Israelis. But this is based on a highly selective reading of the relevant documents that WikiLeaks has provided. - Gareth Porter and Jim Lobe (Dec 7, '10)

Al-Qaeda backs massive push in Swat
Al-Qaeda has set aside US$23 million and established a major new training camp in support of an operation in Pakistan's Swat Valley, from where last year militants were forced out in a big military push. The objective is not so much to regain lost ground, as to keep the army out of al-Qaeda's stronghold in the North Waziristan tribal area on the border with Afghanistan. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Dec 6, '10)

Dirty tricks and sticky bombs in Iran
While one target survived, the "sticky bomb" attacks on two high-ranking Iranian nuclear scientists in Tehran this week have dealt a blow to the program ahead of international talks on Iran. The sophisticated, clinical and coordinated nature of the incidents suggest a resourceful foreign power has a covert destabilization campaign underway, with indigenous militants used for the final deployment. - Ben West (Dec 3, '10)

Pakistan stares into a valley of death
Pakistan has been under relentless pressure from the United States for more than a year to root out al-Qaeda and related militants in the volatile North Waziristan tribal area. Politicians in Islamabad have washed their hands of the matter, leaving it up to army chief General Ashfaq Pervez Kiani. He has decided in principle to go ahead, even though the consequences will inevitably be catastrophic. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Dec 1, '10)

 November 2010


ATol Specials



Syed Saleem Shahzad reports on the Afghan war from the Taliban side
(Dec '06)

How Hezbollah defeated Israel
By
Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
(Oct '06)

Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
talk to the 'terrorists'
(Mar, '06)

  The evidence for and against Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program

  Nir Rosen goes inside the Iraqi resistance

Nir Rosen rides with the 3rd armored cavalry in western Iraq

Islamism, fascism and terrorism

by Marc Erikson


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