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  War and Terror
    


Dangerous silence shrouds drone war

An outpouring of Western sympathy for Malala Yousafzai, the Pakistani activist shot for supporting girls' education, was in stark contrast to silence over the innocent victims of United States' drone attacks. Mounting civilian casualties from the drone war and its flaunting of international law have dire long-term consequences for the United States, yet Americans are in the dark on the subject.
- Fouad Pervez (Nov 26, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
Bomb Iran? No.
Bomb Gaza? Yes!

Frustrated with Obama's re-election and his pledges to pursue diplomacy with Iran, Netanyahu engineered an offensive on the last place Israeli Defense Forces can wreak havoc with total impunity. Don't expect condemnation of the Gazan assault from Gulf Arabs or Western "Friends of Syria", but Egypt could draw new battlelines.
- Pepe Escobar (Nov 16, '12)

The Levant braces for regional war
Israeli retaliation on Monday against a Syrian strike across the border and a fatal exchange in Gaza over the weekend point to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's desire to stop the slow escalation in violence over the past months. With the strike on Syria turning the clock back to the 1973 October War, the region could now face an incredibly destructive conflict on several fronts. - Victor Kotsev (Nov 13, '12)

Taliban talk prospects dim, not dead
The facade has crumbled on the grand designs for political reconciliation with the Taliban that gained traction after the 2009 "surge" of international troops into Afghanistan, to the extent that Afghan and Western officials now view a settlement as being years down the road. With talks suspended the Taliban is thought to be questioning the value of re-entering negotiations. - Abubakar Siddique (Nov 1, '12)

Bali bombings as unrealized powder keg
Ten years after a series of bombs in Bali left more than 200 people dead, Indonesia is an anti-terrorism success story. The record on Muslim extremism, corruption and poverty is mixed, but things are more peaceful than many could have expected in the smoldering aftermath on Jalan Legian a decade ago.
- Gary LaMoshi (Oct 3, '12)

Obama loses sight of Syrian reality

President Barack Obama's policy stance on the Syrian conflict stresses the US's unwillingness to commit to military intervention while using simplified premises such as "the future must not belong to a dictator who massacres his people". While such a focus reassures the war-wary US public, it overlooks major risks such as a widening regional conflict and the strengthening of jihadist elements. - Riccardo Dugulin (Oct 3, '12)

Moscow beckons Pakistan's Kiani
Historic rapprochement between Russia and Pakistan, seen in Pakistani army chief Ashfaq Parvez Kiani's visit this week to Moscow, rests on mutual angst at US plans for a long-term Afghan presence. Moscow and Islamabad know Washington could deploy a missile defense system there that neutralizes nuclear capabilities, and that regional rivals may welcome an extended US stay. Elbowing the US out is growing harder by the day. - M K Bhadrakumar (Oct 2, '12)

Afghanistan prognosis looks gloomier
The rise in insider attacks and reduction in joint operations between Afghan and international forces are just two signs that things are not going well for the United States and its allies. A pessimistic report by one of the most astute observers of the US war adds to the gloom, and even die-hard Republican supporters of US intervention suggest throwing in the towel.
- Jim Lobe (Sep 26, '12)

Taliban outflanks US war strategy

The Taliban appear to have achieved a strategic coup with the US-NATO decision to halt joint operations with Afghan security forces amid the rising toll of deaths caused by locals turning on their foreign mentors. Though the killings are not strictly a product of Taliban infiltration, the fear and mistrust the deaths have sown may embolden the militants.
- Gareth Porter and Shah Noori (Sep 21, '12)

COMMENT
Shout 'No!' to war with Iran
Americans were coerced into war with Iraq by the myth of a mushroom cloud and with Afghanistan through the notion of eliminating terrorists. War with Iran using yet another manufactured reason should be spurned to avoid sparking deadly blowback. It starts with shouting "No!".
- Adil E Shamoo (Sep 20, '12)

DISPATCHES FROM AMERICA
Waging war: A US monopoly
What Washington knows how to do best is arming for, garrisoning for, training for, planning for, and making war. Yet Americans themselves are not a warrior society. The vast global US military footprint, its interventions and its special ops are rarely reported in any depth in the media, and if they were they would go unnoticed. It is a unique disconnect between a nation's top industry and the people of that nation.
- Tom Engelhardt (Sep 19, '12)

SPENGLER
All-out Middle East war
is as good as it gets

The prospect of a unilateral Israeli strike on Iran fills the United States' foreign policy establishment with practically unanimous horror - unreasonably so. The spillover effects would be considerable, and bloody for numerous countries. Yet there is no reason to expect most of the region's countries to go quietly into irreversible decline. All-out regional war is the likely outcome sooner or later. We might as well get on with it. (Sep 17, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
Mr Blowback rising
The attack on the US consulate in Benghazi may have been just an out-of-control protest against a crude movie produced by an Israeli-American certified Islamophobe - or a determined response to the death by drone of al-Qaeda number 2 (and former "freedom fighter"), the Libyan Abu Yahya al-Libi. Either way, Mr Blowback has his day - again. So what now? Who're you gonna bomb? Who're you gonna drone to death next?
- Pepe Escobar (Sep 13, '12)

Tribals blame Haqqani offshoot for blast
A bomb-blast that took the lives of at least 14 Shi'ites and injured scores more in a busy Pakistani tribal area marketplace has left furious Shi'ite and Sunni elders pointing the blame at an offshoot of the US-proscribed Haqqani Network, which earlier vowed not to slaughter innocent Muslims.
- Malik Ayub Sumbal (Sep 13, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
Ground Zero redux
A walk in the dead of a New York night to Ground Zero, where our post-apocalyptic modernity began 11 years ago is to hear the echoes and sense the ghosts of when it became evident, even under a thick shroud of as-yet-unanswered questions, that turbo-capitalism is not only in crisis; turbo-capitalism, in shorthand, IS crisis.
- Pepe Escobar (Sep 11, '12)

Afghanistan overdoses on military bases
The remarkable number of military bases scattered across Afghanistan makes it probably the world's most thoroughly militarized country. All that might has been unable to decisively defeat a rag-tag, minority insurgency of limited popularity. That is not stopping the creation of yet more outposts, bases and associated facilities.
- Nick Turse (Sep 11, '12)

SEPTEMBER 11 REMEMBERED
The day that didn't change a thing
The attacks of September 11, 2001, "changed everything" for Americans - and, as it turned out, for many non-Americans - as fear became the guiding principle for US foreign policy and "homeland security". Yet after Anders Breivik killed, proportionally, more Norwegians than the Americans who were killed on September 11, the response was very different. And in the US media, the pro-Zionist diatribes in the manifesto of this white-skinned terrorist got very little play.
- Michael Robeson (Sep 10, '12)

SPEAKING FREELY
Security vs liberty: competition or conflict?
The raft of anti-terror measures Europe has taken to stay in step with post-9/11 US efforts highlight the inherent tensions between security concerns and civil rights. Once a champion of human rights and data protection, the scant resistance Brussels has shown to US demands suggests it has abandoned founding EU principles. - Hossein Aghaie (Sep 6, '12)

Dempsey muscle may yet force rethink
Military muscle, in the shape of US General Martin Dempsey, has given the White House more traction to distance itself from Israel's warlike stance on Iran. The warning that the US won't be complicit in a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, and a Republican refusal to place Iran near the center of its election strategy, is forcing Israel to rethink its campaign of belligerence. - Jim Lobe and Gareth Porter (Sep 5, '12)

Afghanistan's
base bonanza

A reminder of the profligate madness of war comes with news that to withdraw US combat troops from Afghanistan by the end of 2014, the US military may have to send in extra troops to sort out the logistics for more than $60 billion worth of equipment in its vast network of bases. It's not so much an urge but a surge to depart. - Nick Turse (Sep 5, '12)

US complicit in Israel war plans for Iran
Top US generals like Martin Dempsey are adamant that they do not want to be held "complicit" if Israel attacks Iran in a unilateral strike. But by giving Israel the military means to do just that, the claims ring hollow. Seen from Tehran, the attempt to jettison itself out of the equation - to protect its forces in the region - is actually an inducement to strike, much as it is interpreted in Israel and the West as a sign of US disapproval. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Sep 4, '12)

How quickly will the US leave Afghanistan?
Whether its a 15-year-old tea boy or 70-year-old volunteer turning their guns on US Army trainers in Afghanistan, the message to US leaders is emphatic: attempt a lengthy Iraq-style drawdown and you'll pay dearly in blood and treasure. Yet instead of trying to fathom the underlying anti-colonial instinct behind "green-on-blue" attacks, Washington sees them as a surmountable obstacle to occupation. - Tom Engelhardt (Aug 30, '12)

Tehran summit echoes to war chants
US-Israeli efforts to discredit Iran as it hosts the Non-Aligned Movement summit created a brief window for consensus between Washington and Jerusalem as bitter rhetoric intensified over Tehran's nuclear program and the options for war. Prominent hawks now say a US-led assault before November's presidential vote need not hurt Barack Obama's re-election hopes.
- Victor Kotsev (Aug 29, '12)

Gaps open in India's 'Iran' bomb case
Problematic evidence and apparent witness goading undermine the case that Delhi's police "Special Cell" is building for an Iranian government operation in a February car bombing at the Israeli embassy. While traces of TNT were found in the suspects' rooms, it wasn't sealed until two weeks after they left. Intercepted communications between the suspects and Tehran also suggest there was no bomb plot. - Gareth Porter (Aug 29, '12)

SPEAKING FREELY
Taliban ties with al-Qaeda run deep
An internal struggle between lower tiers of the Afghan Taliban favoring negotiations with the United States and top leaders refusing to sever links with the al-Qaeda-linked Haqqani network will intensify as Washington steps up its overtures. - Aasim Zafar Khan (Aug 29, '12)

The real WMD problem
Rather than the embattled Syrian regime unleashing chemical weapons on its own population, a greater threat lies in the aftermath of its collapse should extremist elements gain the upper-hand. There are no guarantees rebels will not turn weapons stockpiles on minority groups that stood by the regime - or on enemy states like Israel.
- Richard Javad Heydarian (Aug 23, '12)

Hard talk intensifies over Iran strike
Leaks and counter-leaks between Washington and Jerusalem suggest the US-Israel dynamic on striking Iran's nuclear facilities isn't as simple as portrayed. Reports that the Barack Obama administration could commit to a US attack before 2013 - if Israel abstains until after the US presidential election - underline Obama's policy imperatives, while Israeli President Shimon Peres' warnings on the pitfalls of a strike add another authoritative voice to the Israeli "doves" camp. - Victor Kotsev (Aug 21, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
War fever as seen from Iran
As war drums sound in Jerusalem and Washington, rational voices in Tehran point out that it's the West that has been driving Iran towards toward mastering nuclear technology. Constant rebuttals of offers to cap enrichment underline the lack of desire for a negotiated solution, with "Bomb Iran" fever instead stoked with the apparent aim of accelerating Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons.
- Pepe Escobar (Aug 21, '12)

The dark tragedy of Iraq's 'silent' bombs

Media now report on daily bloodbaths in Iraq blandly and without context, suggesting the violence there transcends any level of reason. The same desensitization to tragedy is seen in the world's response to crises whether in Africa or the Middle East, with the lives of children used to further political arguments or prompt "likes" on a social media page. - Ramzy Baroud (Aug 21, '12)

Militants warn Pakistan over tribal offensive
An attack by Pakistani Taliban militants on an airforce base in central Punjab province has raised concerns over the consequences for Pakistan's internal security - particularly its nuclear weapons storage - should the army go ahead with a planned offensive in North Waziristan Agency. However, officials in Islamabad insist the country's nukes are better protected than America's. - Malik Ayub Sumbal (Aug 17, '12)

Al-Qaeda flags fly over rebel-held Syria
Reports from rebel-controlled towns near Syria's Aleppo reveal that pro-regime troops are often summarily executed, while captured Bashar al-Assad supporters are subjected to arbitrary detention and abuse. With some insurgent units flying the distinctive black flag used by al-Qaeda militias, it's unclear why the West expects them to implement a fairer system of justice than the Assad regime. - John Rosenthal (Aug 13, '12)

ISI accused of manipulating Osama probe
Witnesses appearing at Pakistan's Abbottabad Commission into the US raid that killed Osama bin Laden say the Inter-Services Intelligence agency has been detaining them, with some "briefed" on what to say and others grilled on the investigation's progress. The alleged interference feeds into suspicions the ISI has something to hide, and that this probe will be as inconclusive as many others.
- Malik Ayub Sumbal (Aug 13, '12)

Washington puts its money on proxy war

Outsourcing is an issue in this US election year, but there is one aspect of the phenomenon that no one is talking about - the outsourcing of war. Proxy war is certainly not new, and its attraction is obvious: Why send American troops to unstable countries if you can get someone else to fight and die instead? But the scope of these programs now is huge, and the very high likelihood of disastrous blowback is never discussed in Washington.
- Nick Turse (Aug 10, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
American (jihadi) Idol
Syria is now the ultimate Sex Pistol-inspired Holiday in the Sun (the jihadi remix); a magnet to Libyans, Jordanians, Saudis, Algerians, Chechens, Af-Pakis, plus some enthusiastic young Brits. If anyone doubts this, the US establishment's Council of Foreign Relations is prepared to put them right.
- Pepe Escobar (Aug 9, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
Bomb Iran fever
Well-informed Israelis know striking Iran's nuclear program will only delay it by six months, while no solution exists to Israel's lack of fly-over rights, bunker-busters and intel. As the United States is also well aware of the risks, the only reasons behind the "bomb Iran" mantra seem to be Jerusalem's regional ambitions and Washington's desire to revive a Persian satrapy. - Pepe Escobar (Aug 7, '12)

Indo-Saudi alliance takes on terror
The deportation in June by Saudi Arabia of a key figure in the 2008 Mumbai attacks marked a major shift by Riyadh away from its long-standing alliance with Pakistan and toward India. But more than that, it was an indication that the kingdom has finally recognized its tacit support of Salafist terrorism is a double-edged sword. Still, Delhi can't take Saudi cooperation for granted. - Animesh Roul (Jul 31, '12)

From Taliban arms to alms
The Taliban's congratulations to relatives on the martyrdom of dead militants lured to fight in Pakistan or Afghanistan mean little to their families. Nor do promises of money to the bereaved, as the international crackdown on financing terror squeezes the Taliban of cash. Without young breadwinners, affected close relations are forced to beg for food.
- Ashfaq Yusufzai (Jul 25, '12)

AN ATOL EXCLUSIVE
Pakistani Taliban chief warns Islamabad
Acting Pakistani Taliban chief Mualana Wali-u-Rehman warns in an interview that any government operations that aim to root out his outfit or the Haqqani network from the tribal regions will be futile. Stating that this is a "war of others" imposed upon the Pakistani people by corrupt rulers, Rehman also reveals his group's international ambitions. - Ihsanullah Tipu Mehsud (Jul 24, '12)

Al-Qaeda emerges as bus bomb suspect
Israeli claims that "solid evidence" links Iran to last week's suicide bombing of an Israeli bus in Bulgaria are contradicted by reports of a suspected bomber's links to al-Qaeda, claims of responsibility by a militant outfit associated with the group, and troubling discrepancies in the Israeli media. - Kaveh Afrasiabi (Jul 24, '12)

German intelligence:
al-Qaeda among rebels

While Germany's intelligence agencies are reporting intensified al-Qaeda activity among Syrian rebels - and the latter's complicity in "massacres" - Berlin is singing from a different song sheet, blaming Damascus for the violence. The contradiction is explained by a major role Germany is playing behind the scenes on a planned "political transition".
- John Rosenthal (Jul 23, '12)

US hawks rally to defend defense

Never mind Iran, Russia, and China, it's the specter of sequestration that's giving hawks nightmares. With as much as $600 billion in Pentagon funding vulnerable to cuts over the next decade, three right-wing think tanks have joined arms manufacturers in mounting a spirited defense of the budget for lucrative procurement contracts. - Jim Lobe (Jul 20, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
Suicide bombers of the world, unite
The brazen assassination in Damascus of Defense Minister Dawoud Rajha and his deputy, Assef Shawkat (Bashar al-Assad's brother-in-law), has been claimed by the Free Syrian Army as its "volcano". Godfather IV-like intrigue behind the bombing instead suggests a "white coup" launched by the inner circle to "decapitate" the Assads. Meanwhile, US neo-cons who believe a suicide bomber was involved have found an unlikely hero. - Pepe Escobar (Jul 19, '12)

US, Pakistan construct Cold War matrix
Pakistan's politically risky revival of ties with the United States is a course correction taken by generals in Rawalpindi who realize that pushing the Western alliance too far works to India's advantage. Islamabad is crucial for Washington's efforts to outflank China, and as Saudi Arabia steps in with energy goodwill, the US is eyeing the revival of a Cold War-era trilateral security matrix. - M K Bhadrakumar (Jul 19, '12)

Persian Gulf primed to explode
A minor incident in the Persian Gulf this week that saw a US Navy fuel ship open fire on an Indian fishing boat demonstrates how overcrowding by US warships and aircraft to intimidate Iran's nuclear ambitions raises the likelihood of a spark that ignites full-scale war. Tehran, having just demonstrated a surprisingly improved missile capability and aware of President Barack Obama's political pressures, has no need to act first. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Jul 18, '12)

Key Pakistan area gets new al-Qaeda chief
Farman Ali Shinwari is young, educated, Internet-savvy and strongly linked to militant groups in his home region and in Kashmir. As al-Qaeda's leader in Pakistan's Khyber Agency, he could prove a major hindrance to NATO supply lines into Afghanistan. That's if he is not taken out by a US drone, as his predecessor was.
- Jacob Zenn (Jul 13, '12)

The military 'solution'
Sometimes by stealth but often quite openly, since the attacks of September 2001 militarization has pervaded US politics, foreign policy, the CIA and even small-town policing. But while Americans themselves may be sleeping through this transformation, its victims abroad are not, and countries from impoverished Yemen to nuclear Pakistan are even more destabilized.
- Tom Engelhardt (Jul 12, '12)

It's still a MAD, MAD, MAD, MAD world
Nuclear weapons have been largely out of the news since the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War (in spite of sporadic mention of North Korea, Israel, India and Pakistan and, of course, bombless Iran). Yet we still live very much in a world of mutually assured destruction.
- William D Hartung (Jul 9, '12)

THE CHANGING FACE OF TERROR
Al-Qaeda loses its Arab identity
Through the creation of offshoots in the "Islamic Maghreb" and "Arabian Peninsula" - and jihadi escalation in the Sinai and Syria - al-Qaeda hopes to overcome the setbacks of recent years. As it does so, the Arab core of the worldwide terrorist franchise is being diluted, though new funding sources and alliances are developing in areas beyond its traditional reach. - Riccardo Dugulin (Jul 9, '12)

Taliban links strengthen tribal footholds
Jihadi outfits along the Pakistani tribal belt and Afghan border are turning to al-Qaeda for ideological and organizational guidance, with al-Qaeda and Taliban fighters increasingly dining and training together. Defying predictions of a decline after Osama bin Laden's death, the organization's use of local militants and skill at bridging differences between heterogeneous Pakistani outfits has seen it morph into a versatile fighting force.
- Ihsanullah Tipu Mehsud (Jul 9, '12)

THE ROVING EYE
Hell to pay for NATO's Holy War
The strain of circumventing the UN Security Council in the stopover to Iran that the war against Syria represents is beginning to show for NATO and its Arab cohorts. US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton insists Russia and China will pay a price for blocking regime change in Damascus, but the real hell to pay will be for America, as Holy War syndrome is accelerating the end of the US dollar as the global currency of choice.
- Pepe Escobar (Jul 9, '12)

A portentous skirmish in Ghazni province
Pashtuns calling themselves the National Uprising Movement are emerging as a third force in the Afghan war after defeating local Taliban bands in a recent skirmish in the eastern province of Ghazni. Though also opposed to the presence of international forces, the group will probably benefit the US and Kabul, but only if dealt with artfully. - Brian M Downing (Jul 2, '12)


 May, June 2012


ATol Specials



Syed Saleem Shahzad reports on the Afghan war from the Taliban side
(Dec '06)

How Hezbollah defeated Israel
By
Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
(Oct '06)

Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
talk to the 'terrorists'
(Mar, '06)

  The evidence for and against Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program

  Nir Rosen goes inside the Iraqi resistance

Nir Rosen rides with the 3rd armored cavalry in western Iraq

Islamism, fascism and terrorism

by Marc Erikson


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