ATol Specials

Iraq: In all but name the war's on (Aug 17)


 

4
Kabul Diary
    by Pepe Escobar
    Nov-Dec 2001
 
4Iran Diary
    by Pepe Escobar
    May-June 2002

4
Iraq Diary
    
by Pepe Escobar
    March-April 2002
 


By July-August 2001, it was clear that something dramatic was about to happen. Pepe Escobar, our "Roving Eye", was
traveling in Afghanistan and the tribal areas of Pakistan. The rumor was that US forces were about to use Pakistan to launch a raid into Afghanistan. Escobar's article, published by Asia Times Online on August 30, 2001, was headlined  Get Osama! Now! Or else ... Our Karachi correspondent, Syed Saleem Shazad, was meanwhile filing articles like Osama bin Laden: The thorn in Pakistan's flesh (August 22) ...


November 10-October 11, 2002

Islamism, fascism and terrorism (Part 2)
Substitute religious for racial purity, and most ideological and organizational precepts of Nazism are essentially identical to the later precepts of the Muslim Brotherhood. Marc
Erikson traces the Brotherhood's collaboration with fascism from the present-day brains behind al-Qaeda to the era of the Grand Mufti of Jerusalem during World War II. (Nov 7, '02)

Religious parties hostage to radical Islam
The recent success of Muslim parties in mainstream politics in Turkey and Pakistan, for example, is being widely hailed as a success for democracy. This might be so. But the development comes with a twist - the new politicians will be powerless in the face of the very extremist forces on which they have turned their backs. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Nov 7, '02)

At the UN, a bullet in the 'material breach'
With negotiations over a war resolution now in their final phase, the five permanent UN Security Council members are re-examining the precise placement of every word and comma. But overlooked in all the wordplay is what might arguably be the resolution's most important clause: Paragraph 5. - Paul Belden (Nov 7, '02)

   Full text of the US-proposed UN resolution

Indonesian military's links to terror
Aceh, West Papua, and now Bali - the bloody trail of terrorism through the Indonesian archipelago has for decades borne the hallmarks of the country's highly politicized armed forces. - Tom Fawthrop (Nov 6, '02)

Islamism, fascism and terrorism (Part 1)
Links between neo-Nazis and the radical ideology of Islamism have surfaced since the terrorism of September 11, 2001 - an event that was celebrated by both groups. But fascism and Islamism have an 80-year history of collaboration based on shared ideas, practices and perceived common enemies - Marc Erikson
(Nov 4, '02) 

New champions of the war cause
With public support in the United States for an invasion of Iraq falling, a group of influential right-wingers with close ties to the Pentagon will soon launch a new campaign to drum up backing for ousting Saddam Hussein. (Nov 5, '02)

COMMENTARY
Flawed blueprint for 'war for peace' doctrine
The ideologues and enforcers of the frontier justice that distinguishes US foreign policy nowadays trace their motivation to the conservative, interventionist internationalism of Teddy Roosevelt - hardly a justification in the 21st century for their designs on Iraq. (Nov 5, '02)

COMMENT

Two wet dreams, one nightmare
The pleasureable yet ephemeral illusions of both the political left and right are not going to save us from the horribly real nightmare that awaits. We must wake ourselves up now and deal with reality, not fantasy. - Robert L Adams (Nov 1, '02)

THE ROVING EYE
China, Russia and the Iraqi oil game
When it comes to Iraq, it's all about the oil. Everybody knows that. But it's that very knowledge - especially on the part of reluctant UN Security Council members Russia and China - that's the most potent card in George W Bush's hand right now. - Pepe Escobar (Oct 31, '02)

APEC terrorized by Bush's tunnel vision
Osama bin Laden and his ilk carried the day at the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, abetted by the tunnel vision of George W Bush and the hypocrisy of Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. Instead of concentrating on how to expand the prosperity of their 2.5 billion constituents, this unique but increasingly irrelevant forum worried about such things as stronger airliner cockpit doors. - Gary LaMoshi (Oct 30, '02)

How to beat Iraq without a fight
Contrary to popular opinion, military containment is already working in Iraq, a new US security report argues. Not only that, but the very presence of an unfettered UN inspections regime there would be tantamount to achievement of the professed aim of the Bush administration: Iraqi disarmament. - David Isenberg (Oct 30, '02)

'Evil rogues' of different stripes
If North Korea, Iran and Iraq are all part of an "axis of evil", logic would suggest they should be treated the same. Yet clearly that is not the case, as recent US dealings with North Korea have shown. Inconsistent? Perhaps, but the fact is that sometimes multilateral diplomacy is the best option, even for the Bush administration. - Ehsan Ahrari (Oct 30, '02)

EXCLUSIVE
One day in the life of Chechnya's Grozny
Brutality beyond belief, fear and suspicion, interspersed with moments of humdrum normalcy. It's just another day in Grozny as Chechen citizens go about their daily business in the war-ravaged capital, reports Alix de la Grange in this exclusive dispatch. (Oct 29, '02)

Dangerous thresholds crossed in Moscow
Russia's use of a chemical weapon in responding to the Chechen attack on a Moscow theater has alarming implications for both future terrorist and military operations. Meanwhile the root cause of the Chechen war - Russia's misrule - is forgotten after the ill-conceived terrorism played into President Putin's hands. - Stephen Blank (Oct 29, '02)

A chilling inheritance of terror
Dead men tell no tales. But the kin of Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, who was gunned down in a shootout with Pakistani police in Karachi last month, have a story to tell: The leading al-Qaeda operative was deeply involved in reinforcing links with Southeast Asian militant organizations, and a whole new terror offensive is on the cards. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 29, '02)

THE ROVING EYE
Al-Qaeda's global franchise
From Karachi to Yemen to Washington to Moscow - and now to Amman in Jordan - al-Qaeda is back, and it appears to be everywhere. But is Osama bin Laden's terror franchise chain really as global as it seems, or is the war on terror - as more and more moderate Muslims are beginning to suspect - merely an excuse by the West to make war on Islam? - Pepe Escobar (Oct 29, '02)

Bin Laden's terror wave 2
The supertanker Limburg, Bali and now Moscow - incidents that unmistakably bear the fingerprints of Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda - and all intelligence indications are that there will be another large-scale "strategic" terrorist strike within the next few months. - Marc Erikson (Oct 28, '02)

SPENGLER
Do not click on this link
Civilizations are fighting for their existence and the tragic consequences may well be with us for the next half century. There can be no turning back, except on the part of the "evil messenger", who begs readers to skip this article. (Oct 28, '02)

THE ROVING EYE
Chechnya: The struggle will go on ...
Russian President Vladimir Putin ensured that the Chechen rebels at the center of the Moscow theater hostage drama received their wish for martyrdom - but in the process he also ensured that the Chechen struggle for independence will continue unabated. - Pepe Escobar (Oct 28, '02)

Indonesian military makes a comeback
The military, not the police or politicians, has the intelligence apparatus necessary to carry out Indonesia's war against terrorism efficiently. However, the new urgency after the Bali bombings has led to the appointment of military men to key positions of political power, feeding fears of a return to the abuses of the Suharto era. - Richel Langit (Oct 28, '02)

Saddam and the Yugoslav link
The Yugoslav government has fired its offical in charge of arms procurement and forced the dismissal of the head of Yugoimport, the country's major arms exporter. The firm has also been ordered to close its Baghdad office. But if the moves are aimed at heading off suspicions as to the extent of underground Yugoslav and Serbian military assistance to Saddam Hussein, they are a failure. - David Isenberg (Oct 25, '02)

Doctor, all's not well in Pakistan
The detention in Pakistan - at the behest of the US - of a doctor known for his close relations with Osama bin Laden and Islamic militants has given Pakistan's emerging alliance of religious parties its first test of power. So far, it has passed with flying colors. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 25, '02)

Chechen peace process held hostage
No matter which way the theater hostage crisis in Moscow pans out, any negotiated settlement of the Chechen crisis will be less likely than ever before, while Russia's already strained relations with Georgia - accused of harboring Chechen rebels - can only be affected for the worse. (Oct 25, '02)

Economic terrorism in Indonesia
Security is essential to the well-being not only of Indonesia, but of neighboring countries, and efforts by the Jakarta government to stop terrorism in the wake of the Bali blasts are welcome. But at the same time, the chronic headaches afflicting business in Indonesia - unreliable electricity, water shortages, corruption - cannot be ignored. - Tony Sitathan (Oct 25, '02)

COMMENTARY
Prairie fire of terror spreads to Moscow
A prairie fire of jihadi terrorism is spreading across the world, from Delhi and Karachi to Bali and now Moscow, where Chechen rebels have taken hundreds of hostages at a theater. One year after the start of Operation Enduring Freedom, are the US and the rest of the world even dimly aware of the nature of Osama bin Laden's International Islamic Front and the seriousness of the threat? - B Raman (Oct 24, '02)

Indonesia between Bush and bin Laden
Militant Islam has traditionally found less support in Indonesia than in the Middle East and South and Central Asia. But that could change in the wake of the Bali bombings if the governments of Indonesia and the United States do not balance carefully their desire to suppress terrorism and the need to nurture the stabilizing force of moderate Islam. - Ehsan Ehrari (Oct 24, '02)

Bali fallout: Picking up the pieces
So far the signs are encouraging that in the wake of the October 12 atrocity in Bali, Indonesia will at last join the war against terrorism. But any number of scenarios, such as a Western-led attack on Muslim Iraq, could again give Indonesia's radicals the upper hand. - Bill Guerin (Oct 24, '02)

HEY, JOE
The Philippines' bumbling terror war
Bombings and other mayhem are not new to the Philippines, but now it is popular to blame them all on shadowy international terrorist conspiracies. Even minor functionaries have become anti-terrorism experts, with the result that the peace and order situation has gone completely out of control. - Ted Lerner (Oct 22, '02)

Terror link shakes Malaysian coalition
A United Nations report pointing to alleged links between Malaysia's ruling coalition and al-Qaeda has stirred up a furor, but some analysts say the Malaysian authorities are getting a taste of what they themselves have dished out through the harsh Internal Security Act. - Anil Netto (Oct 22, '02)

COMMENT
Indonesia: The demons remain

Bali is still the magical Island of the Gods it was before October 12, even if the tourists have temporarily fled. But the sad fact is that four years after the fall of president Suharto's authoritarian regime, Indonesia's evil spirits remain in power. - Gary LaMoshi (Oct 22, '02)

   Muslims watch as Bali accusations play out

BLOOD MONEY
On the terrorists' global money trail
In the short term, "following the money" can go a long way toward disrupting terrorist cells and networks, and thereby help prevent future terrorist attacks. But real and sustainable success will be achieved only over the long term as key countries make fundamental changes to their legal and regulatory structures. This concludes a two-part excerpt from a report on terrorist financing by the US-based Council on Foreign Relations. (Oct 22, '02)

COMMENTARY
Pakistan and the North Korea connection
With North Korea apparently coming clean on its nuclear program, the US is only now accusing Pakistan of supplying critical equipment for the program, when strong indications of Islamabad's apparent complicity must have been known to Washington some time ago. - B Raman (Oct 21, '02)

PYONGYANG WATCH
Bonhomie to bombshell: goodbye, goodwill
The seminar on Europe-North Korea relations had gone well. The North Korean delegation had stressed their country's commitment to outreach and reform, including nuclear inspections in due course. Then Wednesday's announcement by Washington of Pyongyang's nuclear weapons program ruined the party - and Aidan Foster-Carter's day off. (Oct 21, '02)

Long live the US-DPRK Agreed Framework
The announced admission by North Korea that it has broken promises not to conduct a nuclear weapons program was supposedly the death knell of Pyongyang's Agreed Framework with the United States. But that agreement had already been in effect killed off by both sides long before this week. So what's next? Surely a new, updated Agreed Framework. (Oct 18, '02)

Nuke admission puts US in tight spot
The George W Bush administration, preoccupied with Iraq while Washington's Northeast Asian allies are forging ahead toward detente with Pyongyang, has been caught wrong-footed by North Korea's admission that it has a nuclear weapons program. (Oct 18, '02)

Too little, too late against terrorism
The long-standing denial by Indonesian officials of the existence of terrorist networks in the country was blasted to bits in Bali last weekend. Has Jakarta learned its lesson? Draft anti-terror legislation indicates that it has not. Meanwhile, fear, anger and religious and ethnic hatred threaten to destroy Bali's image as a place of security and peace. - Richel Langit (Oct 18, '02)

ANALYSIS
Well, wouldn't you know it!
George W Bush has only himself to blame if he is now called a hypocrite for negotiating with North Korea's self-confessed nuclear arms builder Kim Jong-il but not Iraq's Saddam Hussein. It was Bush  who lumped them together. But in strategic terms, a Middle East without Saddam is vastly more important than a North Korea without Kim. That won't be said out loud; it's fact nonetheless. - Marc Erikson (Oct 17, '02)

THE AMERICAN EMPIRE
A series by Francesco Sisci
(Oct, '02)

Part 1: Reluctant hegemon
Part 2: Righteous king
Part 3: The fear within

The folly of 'containing' political Islam
Since the end of the Cold War, the West has looked warily at the Islamic world as a potential post-Soviet threat. That fear has increased in subsequent years, to the point where Western worries and Muslim anger are feeding off each other. But with 52 countries claiming Islam as their official religion, engagement makes far more sense than belligerence. - Phar Kim Beng (Oct 17, '02)

COMMENTARY
Iraq under US military rule?
The name of General Douglas MacArthur has been bandied about as a model for ruling post-Saddam Iraq, but there's a problem with this scenario: Iraq is not Japan. (Oct 16, '02)

War on terror suffers setbacks
The recent attacks in Bali and elsewhere have suggested that, despite their defeat in Afghanistan, al-Qaeda and its supporters are far from finished, and maybe US President George W Bush's war against terrorism is not going as well as hoped. (Oct 15, '02)



THE BALI BOMBINGS

Indonesia: The enemy within
Indonesian politicians, the military and the police have all been using the "war on terrorism" to score points in their domestic power plays. Their games have now had tragic results. And their political machinations, using Islamic symbols, pose the greatest danger to Indonesia's stability since the downfall of Suharto. - Bill Guerin (Oct 14, '02)

   Bali's new Air Paradise puts off launch

The prodigal sons return
Among the ranks who fought alongside the Taliban and al-Qaeda in Afghanistan were a small number of jihadis from Southeast Asia, from countries such as Indonesia, the Philippines and Malaysia. Indications are that these beaten warriors are, and have been, returning home - and the Bali blast may be their work. - B Raman (Oct 14, '02)


ANALYSIS
The terror front shifts east
The attack in Bali may trigger a dangerous series of destabilizing events in Indonesia, whose political and economic infrastructure is already wobbly. For both China, with its links to Indonesia's large and influential ethnic Chinese population, and the United States, the ramifications could make the Iraqi threat pale in comparison. - Francesco Sisci (Oct 14, '02)

COMMENTARY
Nation is bombed into awareness
Saturday night's devastating bombs in a prime Bali tourist area fit a longstanding pattern of deadly, craven violence throughout Indonesia that should have preempted any debate about whether the country has a terrorism problem. - Gary LaMoshi
(Oct 14, '02)

Related articles:
   The bin Laden and al-Qaeda of SE Asia (Feb 6, '02)
   Simmering threat of Indonesian radicalism (Sep 12, '01)
   
Indonesia must confront the terror within (Nov 29, '01)



COMMENTARY
The lessons of Afghanistan
Getting rid of terrorists and tyrants may be cathartic, but the process of ridding them also carries bloody consequences for innumerable innocents. The enormous task of America's military will be to minimize the scope of those consequences - and to ensure that something worthwhile arises from the rubble. (Oct 11, '02)

War on Iraq pays no Russian dividend
The widespread belief that Washington is making a sweet oil deal with Moscow in return for Russia's formal support of a US attack on Iraq overlooks one crucial point - Russia simply cannot afford the drop in oil prices that the US is seeking. - John Helmer (Oct 11, '02)

A two-sided debate over UN relevance
To the Bush administration, only by endorsing the use of force against Iraq can the UN ensure its own relevance, while to many other member states, the exact opposite is true, and only by refusing to provide any member state with a "blank check" for invasion and occupation can the UN hope to retain the semblance of relevance. - Alexander Casella (Oct 11, '02)

BOOK REVIEW
Osama's universe
Inside Al Qaeda, Global Network of Terror by Rohan Gunaratna
The author, an intelligence expert, has put together an information-filled book on Osama bin Laden's universe and its consequences for the world, with a few suggestions on how to tackle the problem - which do not include a military option. - Sreeram Chaulia (Oct 11, '02)


Oct 10-Sep 10, '02



  For earlier articles,
  please go to:

Oct 10-Sep 10, '02

Sep 9-Jul 20, '02

Jul 19-Jun 21, '02

Jun 20-Apr 9, '02

Apr 9-Jan 2, '02

Dec 31-Jul 26, '01
   

 
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