|
March 2007
Real battles with
Iran lie ahead US pressure on Iran is
yielding results. The Iranian domestic scene is
becoming increasingly agitated and US
psychological warfare (such as the mysterious
disappearance of an Iranian general in Turkey)
reinforces the aggravation. But in the long term,
Iran remains committed to nuclear development and
there is little the US can do to curtail its
widespread and natural influence in the region. -
Mahan Abedin
(Mar 30, '07)
US silent on detained
Iranians As
tension grows over the 15 British sailors being
held by Iran, the fate of five Iranians seized by
the US in Iraq in January remains unclear. All
that the US will say is that they are in a
US-sanctioned "coalition detention" system, along
with 15,000 other prisoners waiting for their day
in court. (Mar 30, '07)
Iran ahead of the game - for
now Iran's
seizure of 15 British sailors has brought some
immediate gains: national pride, unprecedented
pro-Iran sympathies in the Arab world, and rising
oil prices, which will help offset a loss of
British business. However, Tehran will have to
insulate its nuclear diplomacy from this crisis or
risk losing the European Union, a potentially key
ally in the nuclear row. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Mar 29,
'07)
Another stiff test for
Musharraf Several recent
events in Pakistan have helped pan-Islamists
smooth over some of their differences, including
President General Pervez Musharraf's sacking of
his chief justice, unrest in the tribal areas, and
a protest against vice by students linked to a
pro-Taliban mosque. This emerging united front
poses one of the biggest threats Musharraf has
ever faced. - Syed Saleem
Shahzad (Mar 29, '07)
Fleeing Iraqi Arabs get
Kurds' cold shoulder Many Arab Iraqis
fleeing the chaos of Baghdad have moved to the
Kurdish region in hopes of finding some
tranquility to rebuild their lives. But they
find little welcome. "It's like the mafia
here," says one Arab of his Kurdish "hosts". - Jason Motlagh (Mar 29,
'07)
| THE WEAPONS NO
ONE CAN
STOP |  Afghanistan: 'Two feet and a
lot of skin' They stream into Afghanistan
from Pakistan on foot, on bicycles and on
motorcycles with only one thing on their minds:
to blow themselves up, and as many others as
they can in the process. They've been dubbed
Osama bin Laden's "bastard children", and US
soldiers are trained to spot them (a shifty look
is a dead give-away). But not one has been
caught alive. - Philip
Smucker (Mar 28, '07)
Iraq's car-bombers defy all
odds Tens
of thousands of Iraqis have been killed in
vehicle bombings, and the carnage continues
despite the US "surge" in Baghdad. The most
alarming innovation is truck bombs carrying
chlorine-gas tanks rigged with explosives. The
chlorine clouds and the truck bombs have
deflected US troops into a desperate hunt for
makeshift car-bomb factories. The search is
likely to be futile: the car bomb has proved to
be the almost invincible weapon of the ill-armed
and underfunded. - Mike
Davis (Mar 28,
'07) | THE ROVING
EYE British pawns in an Iranian
game The
Iranian seizure of 15 British sailors may be much
cleverer than it appears. Oil has moved above
US$60 a barrel as a result of the incident. And if
Tehran drags out proceedings, the Shi'ites in
southern Iraq may take the hint and accelerate a
confrontation, and even start merging with strands
of the Sunni resistance. - Pepe Escobar (Mar 28,
'07)
Pakistan crosses a dangerous
boundary With
the political temperature in Pakistan already
rising over a judicial crisis, President General
Pervez Musharraf has sent troops into the
explosive tribal areas to side with a Taliban
warlord against foreign militants. Such
intervention has proved highly damaging to
Musharraf in the past, and plays into the hands of
the Taliban in Afghanistan. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Mar 27,
'07)
Hidden US hand in Philippine
election Though facing
rebellion charges that could put him away for
years, longtime Muslim leader Nur Misuari is
running for governor of Sulu province and could
win. The US is formally neutral, but will it
continue to shower development aid if Misuari
wins? Hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of
aid programs lie in the electoral balance. - Noel Tarrazona (Mar 27,
'07)
Iran prepared to fight, if
necessary Iran's seizure of
15 British sailors and marines was surely an
intentional provocation, coming after the seizure
of Iranian diplomats in Iraq and just before the
UN sanctions vote. Tehran is sending a message
that it is prepared to fight if necessary. The
incident will lead to a bigger military buildup in
the Persian Gulf and the likelihood of more
incidents. (Mar 27, '07)
Iran: A mountain that doesn't
move Despite
another round of UN sanctions, Iran will not
suspend its uranium-enrichment activities, a
stance that is gaining support in the
international community. Indeed, by seizing 15
British sailors, Tehran has shown that those who
inflict pain will pay a price, even if it means a
new spiral of proxy attacks and hostage-taking
leading to bigger and deadlier showdowns. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Mar 26,
'07)
SPENGLER The Most Un-Islamic Republic
of Persia
Iran's
tantrum over the portrayal of the 5th-century BC
Persian Empire in the film 300 is very Persian, but
not at all Islamic. Iran's new imperial ambitions
inspire its impassioned defense of the ancient
Persian Empire, whose demise the Koran clearly
celebrated. (Mar 26, '07)
Iraq's good terrorists, bad
terrorists Zalmay Khalilzad, the outgoing
US ambassador, has been widely praised in the West
for his efforts to stabilize Iraq, while
Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has staked his
future on his and Khalilzad's security plan for
Baghdad. At the same time, thousands of Kurdish
militants are allowed to operate from northern
Iraq, threatening to bring Turkey into the Iraqi
fray, with disastrous consequences. - Sami Moubayed (Mar 26,
'07)
CHAN AKYA Hollywood's Muslim villains The controversy
over the new film 300
is misplaced. Cold-hearted economic thinking
underpins Hollywood's forays into
multiculturalism. Heroes and villains are
selected on the basis of the audience
reaction they are likely to evoke, rather than any
notions of historical accuracy that pedants may
wish to foist upon these creative geniuses. (Mar 23,
'07)
BOOK
REVIEW The intellect behind Islamic
radicalism The Power of
Sovereignty by Sayed Khatab Karl Marx and the Prophet
Mohammed had at least one thing in common. Their
outlook transcended mere nationalism. That is the
main point of Sayyid Qutb's philosophy, which
turned Islam into a sort of replacement for
Marxism that plays an important role in world
affairs today. - Dmitry
Shlapentokh (Mar 23, '07)
Waziristan jihadis at war with
each other The
bloody fighting that erupted this week between
Pakistani Taliban and al-Qaeda-linked Uzbeks in
Pakistan's South Waziristan border area was caused
by a dispute over strategy. The Uzbeks wanted to
fight the Pakistani military, the Taliban wanted
to fight NATO forces in Afghanistan, and they
ended up fighting each other. Still, the Taliban
are likely to emerge stronger than before. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Mar 22,
'07)
What's behind Khalid's
'confessions' For al-Qaeda, prison is just
another front on the battlefield between infidels
and Islam. A careful reading of Khalid Shaikh
Mohammad's recent testimony before a military
tribunal shows that every one of his "confessions"
was calculated to advance the cause. The bottom
line for Khalid: Islam is at war, and war is about
killing. - Michael
Scheuer (Mar 22, '07)
SPEAKING
FREELY Yemen on the brink of
sectarian war What began as a small protest
by a group of Shi'ites against government policy
in majority-Sunni Yemen has grown into an
insurgency that resists all efforts to crush it,
despite strong anti-terrorism aid from the US.
Lacking the oil resources of neighboring
countries, the Yemeni economy needs foreign
investment and tourism, both of which are being
frightened away. - Mohamed
Al-Azaki (Mar 22, '07)
Battling evil with abs of
steel The hot movie 300, depicting the
heroic stand of the Spartans at Thermopylae in
480 BC, might as well have come out of Neo-Con
Central, to hear some right-wing pundits and
reviewers. They see the West holding the pass
against the Iranian - oops, Persian - hordes.
Somehow they seem to miss the film's homoerotic
ambiance. (Mar 22,
'07) | Shaky Musharraf holds only the
military card As a judicial crisis
and consequent political storm escalate in
Pakistan, President General Pervez Musharraf and
his army face a stark choice: whether or not to
use the military to suppress rioting that has so
far raged out of control. Neither option bodes
well for the man who will soon seek democratic
re-election to the presidency. - Syed Saleem Shahzad
(Mar 21, '07)
COMMENT Rocking to the sound
of guns (n' roses) It's a land of stark
contradictions: while millions live in squalor,
the children of the elite party into the night to
the sound of live rock bands; intellectuals
discuss how to save the country from oblivion, but
not too loudly lest the intelligence apparatus
hears; the arts and the media enjoy freedoms
rarely seen in pre-Musharraf eras, yet militant
mullahs stand ever ready to pounce. Meanwhile the
West does nothing to forestall Pakistan's collapse
or, worse, works to hasten it. - Mark LeVine (Mar 21,
'07)
Winning Afghan hearts and
splitting hairs Among the US-led NATO and
coalition forces in Afghanistan, some "hunt the
bad guys" and others try to repair the damage the
hunters leave behind, while some are mandated to
engage in "counterinsurgency" but not in
"counter-terrorism". Underlying such
hair-splitting is a political chasm between the
NATO wimps on one side and the Washington warriors
on the other, with the very "future of the NATO
alliance" at stake, according to one fuming
congressman. Meanwhile, such distinctions are
entirely lost on the Afghans themselves. - Philip Smucker (Mar 20,
'07)
| IRAQ'S DISMAL
ANNIVERSARY | BOOK REVIEW The man who would be
king Rumsfeld: His
Rise, Fall and Catastrophic
Legacy by Andrew Cockburn
A fitting way to
"celebrate" shock and awe, the bombastic opening
of the most astonishing blunder in recent
military/geopolitical history, would be to read
this book about the life of Donald Rumsfeld, a
life spent pursuing personal grandeur at
enormous cost to entire nations, including his
own. - Pepe Escobar
(Mar 20, '07)
Iran and the failed US Iraq
policy The
long-cherished neo-conservative dream of taking
over oil-rich Iraq, rejected by two US
presidents, found a willing agent in George W
Bush. Four years after the invasion, the US now
faces a Shi'ite-led regime in Baghdad -
something neighboring Iran was unable to
accomplish in eight years of bloody war against
Saddam Hussein. Henry C K
Liu examines the benefits and challenges the
new Iraq presents to Tehran. (Mar 20,
'07)
Now, a refugee
crisis More
than 2 million Iraqis have fled the chaos of
their country, settling uneasily in neighboring
Arab countries. They lack jobs, decent housing
and health care, yet they keep coming, since the
alternative may be death. Arab patience is being
strained, and the international community,
particularly the US, isn't doing enough to help.
(Mar 20, '07)
Sleeping with the
enemy Fareed Sabri, a leading
figure in the Iraqi Islamic Party, the largest
Arab Sunni organization in the country, believes
that pragmatic, tactical cooperation with the US
and Iraqi governments could be the key to
achieving peace, stability and a sustainable
political balance in his country. Mahan Abedin interviews
him. (Mar 20,
'07) | Billboarding the Iraq
disaster
The
world's worst refugee crisis, rampant unemployment
and inflation, nonexistent infrastructure,
malnutrition and hundreds of thousands of deaths.
Wrong, this is not Darfur. It is Iraq after four
years of US-led occupation, though Darfur, of
course, gets all the billboards and
celebrities. - Anthony
Arnove (Mar 19, '07)
Hurry to 'The End',
for the end is
nigh President George W Bush's
reading tastes - which have been a remarkably
good predictor of his policy views - are moving
ever rightward. Apocalyptic titles now on
his bedside table - such as America Alone: The End of
the World as We Know It - suggest we'd all
better finish our books before it's too late. -
Jim Lobe (Mar
19, '07) | US and Iran: Squint-eyed
double-dealing A third UN resolution on Iran
championed by the US is imminent. It will be the
toughest to date over Tehran's refusal to stop
enriching uranium. At the same time, Washington is
preparing for another "ice-breaking" meeting with
Iran over the troubles in Iraq. This ambiguous,
dual track of detente and blatant hostility will
not work in the long run: the Bush administration
will have to let the chips fall on one side or the
other. - Kaveh L
Afrasiabi (Mar 16, '07)
THE ROVING
EYE The waterboarded evildoer Just how much of
Khalid Shaikh Mohammad's confession to terror
attacks is true is a moot point. What does matter
is the number of jihadis al-Qaeda's former
operations chief taught. Probably dozens, and they
are lurking in the shadows, ready to inflict
blowback to kingdom come. - Pepe Escobar (Mar 16, '07)
Musharraf's headache for the
US Opposition
groups in Pakistan have seized the opportunity
provided by President General Pervez Musharraf's
firing of his chief justice to stage protests.
Militant Islamists thrive in such an environment,
which deeply concerns Musharraf's US allies: maybe
the general is more a part of the problem than the
solution. - Syed Saleem
Shahzad (Mar 15, '07)
Surge and destroy in Iraq All three prongs
of the US military's "surge" strategy in Iraq are
desperate measures aimed at reversing the decline
of US power in the Middle East. This desperation
has led to unprecedented brutality and the
consideration of, or even the embrace of,
strategies that are even more destructive. - Michael Schwartz (Mar 15,
'07)
Iraq: The price of
withdrawal Withdrawing troops from Iraq
will not necessarily be a disaster for US
interests in the Middle East. Washington has
already failed to achieve its original objectives,
and the "surge" isn't likely to change that.
Withdrawing forces now may not make matters worse
on the counter-terrorism front, and Washington
will still have the ability to contain Iran. (Mar 15,
'07)
Autonomy hopes for southern
Philippines It has been a rocky truce with
frequent outbreaks of violence on both sides of
the battle lines. But Manila and the Moro Islamic
Liberation Front may be inching toward an autonomy
deal that would end the conflict that has taken
140,000 lives. Some think the autonomy offer is a
phony bid to win Muslim votes. - Noel Tarrazona (Mar 15,
'07)
A US detour via Syria to
Iran Even
though a small step has been taken, any further US
negotiations with Iran face problems. An
alternative is to deal with Syria. Washington
knows that Damascus alone cannot solve Iraq's
problems, but it can be used to moderate Iran's
behavior. - Sami Moubayed
(Mar 14, '07)
DISPATCHES FROM
AMERICA A bombshell that nobody
heard A vast,
secret Middle Eastern operation is being run,
possibly illegally and based on stolen Iraqi oil
funds and Saudi money, out of the US vice
president's office, all to undermine the Iranians,
Hezbollah, Hamas and the Syrians. This is one of
several startling claims, such as US "meddling" in
Iran, made recently by investigative journalist
Seymour Hersh. And no one seems in the least bit
bothered. - Tom Engelhardt
(Mar 14, '07)

From
our archive ATol reported on Elliott
Abrams' role in undermining Hamas in: No-goodniks and the
Palestinian shootout, by Mark Perry and Alastair Crooke
(Jan 9, '07)
COMMENT Unsung heroes Heroism is a
natural product of war, but heroes are not always
found in the obvious places. The death last year
of a Canadian soldier in Afghanistan revealed, in
the subsequent actions of his family toward the
man accused in his death, how dignity and decency
can rise above grief, hate, and the horror of war.
- David Simmons (Mar 14,
'07)
The Taliban's brothers in
alms The two
hardline brothers who head the famed Lal Mosque in
Islamabad scored another in a string of victories
over the government by forcing it to back down
over a protest by female religious students. Such
incidents increase the influence of the brothers
across Pakistan, at the same time swelling the
ranks of Taliban supporters. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Mar 13,
'07)
Beards grow longer as the
music fades The Pakistani Taliban are
steadily increasing their control in the border
areas with Afghanistan. Beards have to be grown
longer, polio vaccinations are "a US plot" and
music shops risk being bombed. (Mar 13,
'07)
New terrorism front opens in
Indonesia In
recent years Indonesia has had many successes
in the "war on terror", winning praise from the US
and Australia. But reports filtering out of
strife-torn Sulawesi suggest that the Jemaah
Islamiyah terror organization has regrouped there
and is preparing new attacks on the main island of
Java. - Bill Guerin (Mar 13,
'07)
'Axis of evil' seeps into
Hollywood Persians, as we all know
from US President George W Bush, are a nasty
lot, but was it always thus? You bet, if the
Hollywood epic 300
has anything to say about it. More than pure
entertainment, this movie elicits sympathy for
its exalted Spartan heroes and heroines standing
up to the world's first superpower, the
Achaemenid Persians. Imagine what King Xerxes
could have done with nukes! - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Mar
13,
'07) | Iraqi Kurds fear a new
war
A
shaky de facto ceasefire exists in the Kurdish
region of the Qandil Mountains that straddle Iraq,
Iran and Turkey. Many worry that Ankara is gearing
up for a spring offensive. Said one PKK leader:
"We can raise the level of the conflict ... it may
get bigger than the Iraq and Arab-Israeli
conflicts." (Mar 13, '07)
North Korea hawks down but not
out Even
though US State Department pragmatists have seized
the initiative in North Korea policy away from the
Bush administration hawks, the nuclear accord with
Pyongyang - and peace on the peninsula - still
hangs by a thread. If Pyongyang were
to fail to observe the agreement, a
President Hillary Clinton, for example, might
not reject the idea of a second Korean war. - Donald Kirk (Mar 13,
'07)
Iran stands its ground in
Baghdad The
Baghdad security meeting has given international
recognition to Iran's regional role in stabilizing
Iraq. The futility of isolating Tehran is more
apparent than ever, and its cooperation will
depend in large part on US willingness to abandon
the disastrous course of putting together a
phalanx of pro-American Sunni Arab states against
Tehran. - M K Bhadrakumar
(Mar 12, '07)
THE ROVING
EYE The fall guy in
Iraq Even as
the "surge" proceeds in Baghdad, the US is quietly
moving to implement "Plan B", which would be
nothing less than a coup d'etat pushing the
hapless Nuri al-Maliki aside and installing former
CIA asset and neo-con favorite Iyad Allawi back in
as a dictator. Nothing less than a return to
strongman rule will restore order, Washington
believes. - Pepe Escobar
(Mar 12, '07)
The end of cowboy diplomacy,
Part 2? Evidence is
mounting that, after many false dawns, the
"realists" really, really have gained the upper
hand in US foreign policy. The evidence: the
pragmatic approach to North Korea, the Baghdad
conference with Iran and Syria participating, the
new secretary of defense. The big question mark as
always: Where does President George W Bush stand?
- Jim Lobe (Mar 12,
'07)
Democrats come up with a
plan Criticized for
not having a plan to end the war in Iraq and under
pressure from the anti-war wing to do something,
the leadership of the US House of Representatives
has finally proposed something. It would require
"redeployment" by the end of 2008 if no progress
toward Iraqi national reconciliation is made. - Jim Lobe (Mar 9,
'07)
A big push for Pakistan's
Afghan agenda
Gulbuddin
Hekmatyar, the mercurial mujahid with political
ambitions, claims he has broken ties with the
Taliban and will seek talks with the Kabul
administration. The move does not bother the
Taliban, who will forge ahead with their spring
offensive. Pakistan is delighted. It should be -
it engineered the development. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Mar 9,
'07)
THE NEXT WAR,
AND THE NEXT, Part 2 The militarization of outer
space The Bush administration makes
no secret that it is determined to dominate the
planet by dominating space. The arsenal of
satellites, ballistic missiles and kinetic
interceptors is designed to assist US land, sea
and air forces anywhere in the world while at the
same time preventing any other country from using
space for similar purposes, including
self-defense. - Jack A
Smith (Mar 9, '07) This is the conclusion of a
two-part article.

Part
1:The
futuristic battlefield
A catalogue of errors in
Afghanistan Afghan insurgents, as they
have done to previous armies, have forced a far
superior military on to a path leading to
evacuation. The US-led coalition has too few
troops, has underestimated the strength of the
Taliban, and has been a victim of Afghanistan
being firmly on the jihadist map. The coalition
has also not adequately studied the lessons of
history. - Michael
Scheuer (Mar 8, '07)
Iran steeled over US pressure
tactics Iranians jest that they don't
respond to pressure "unless it is lots of
pressure". The Bush administration appears to have
taken this to heart as it ratchets up tension over
Iran's nuclear program. But the change of course
Tehran might make as a result may not be what the
US hopes. Iran, too, has all its options on the
table. (Mar 8, '07)
Iran moving in from the cold
Having been
left out of a recent meeting of Muslim states
debating the Middle East peace process, Iran has,
in sitting down with Saudi Arabia, shown that it
will not be overlooked anymore. By in effect
"short-circuiting" the US agenda, Tehran is now
well positioned to make its voice heard over Iraq.
- Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Mar 7,
'07)
Musharraf: From favorite to
fall guy The
US, using Pakistani President General Pervez
Musharraf as its point man, tried to hijack the
Saudi peace initiative with the notion of a Sunni
bloc to contain Iran. Neither Tehran nor Riyadh
was having any of it, and Musharraf is left more
isolated than ever. - Syed
Saleem Shahzad (Mar 7, '07)
Terror 'outsourced' in
India The
nature of terrorism has changed in India. The
sophisticated - and dangerous - attacks of the
past have given way to low-tech attacks on softer
targets. Often the "terrorists" are locals in it
for the money, hired by the real terrorists. That
makes catching the culprits more difficult. -
Siddharth Srivastava
(Mar 7, '07)
Israel, Iran, US lead
'least-liked' countries Call it the new "axis of
evil", or at least of unpopularity. A new poll
sponsored by the BBC lumps Iran, Israel and the US
together as the world's least-liked nations. A
little more than half of the respondents said they
had mainly negative views of the three countries.
- Jim Lobe (Mar 7,
'07)
US ally Musharraf in a tangle
over Iran Iran's patience is running out
with Pakistani President General Pervez Musharraf
for allowing the US to use Balochi nationalism to
stage an insurgency inside Iran. An immediate
casualty could be the proposed Iran-Pakistan-India
gas pipeline, which the US has been trying to
block anyway. Further, while Musharraf may be
endearing himself to Washington, Pakistani public
opinion will not tolerate him serving the US
agenda over Iran. - M K
Bhadrakumar (Mar 6, '07)
Shadow boxing on Pakistan's
border The US
and NATO have told Pakistan in no uncertain terms
that they plan to conduct hot pursuit operations
from Afghanistan into Pakistan's tribal areas to
smoke out al-Qaeda and the Taliban. Islamabad will
dither, knowing that by the time any operations
take place, the prey will have bolted. - Syed Saleem
Shahzad (Mar 6, '07)
The Sadr movement 'will
triumph' In
an interview with Mahan
Abedin, Islamic scholar and journalist Munthir
al-Kewther says the situation in Iraq will get
worse until the Americans finally tire and
withdraw, after which Iraqis will establish order
quickly under the auspices of the Medhi Army. But
Iraqis have lost too many people to declare any
form of victory. (Mar 6, '07)
SPENGLER Snatching war out of the jaws
of peace
A
three-way tragedy of errors is in progress,
whereby Iran, Russia and the US are all misreading
one another's messages and intentions.
Opportunities to avert war between the US and Iran
have been missed at every turn, and Moscow and
Tehran have failed to understand that the US can
and will act to forefend a nuclear-armed Iran,
alone if need be. Stupidity and arrogance have
made war the most probable scenario. (Mar 5,
'07)
How the Saudis stole a march
on the US The
crafty Saudi-brokered agreement between Hamas and
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas ended an
incipient Palestinian civil war. It also derailed
the efforts of Elliott Abrams, the self-styled
architect of US policy in the Middle East. His
program to recruit Arab governments to join in a
program of shipping lethal and non-lethal aid to
anti-Hamas Fatah militias is all but wrecked. - Alastair Crooke and Mark Perry (Mar 5,
'07)
Taliban fire off spring
warning The
Taliban claim the capture of Nawzad in Helmand
province as one of the first successes of their
spring offensive. In response, NATO is taking the
struggle into Pakistani territory, where the
Taliban receive vital support, as seen in the
recent roundup of Taliban in Balochistan province.
- Syed Saleem Shahzad (Mar 5, '07)
Rice picks neo-con champion on
Iraq In a surprising move, US
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has appointed
Eliot Cohen, a prominent neo-conservative hawk, to
the post of State Department counselor. Perhaps
she is just protecting her flank from criticism on
the right as she pursues a more "realistic"
diplomacy in the Middle East. - Jim Lobe (Mar 5,
'07)
AL-QAEDA'S RESURGENCE, Part
2 Looking for a new home in
Iraq
Al-Qaeda
is in the process of moving its leadership from
the Pakistan-Afghanistan border areas to Iraq,
which it intends to turn into its "epicenter"
of global operations. Al-Qaeda cells in many
countries are being primed for action (The Encyclopedia of Jihad
is standard reading). In addition, al-Qaeda has a
few scores to settle in Pakistan. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Mar 2,
'07) This is the conclusion of a
two-part report.
Meeting of foes in
Baghdad The
electrifying news of a summit in Baghdad where US,
Iranian and Syrian representatives will sit around
the same table discussing Iraq's crisis is a
timely and welcome development that, to be
successful, requires judicious preparation by all
parties. - Kaveh L
Afrasiabi (Mar 2,
'07)
India makes a soft landing in
Tajikistan India is just
about to garrison its first Central Asian air base
near the Tajik capital, Dushanbe. But rather than
station MiGs, it plans to fly helicopters. And it
will share the base with Russia. It is taking a
low profile at first, presumably because of
pressure from Moscow and Beijing. - Sudha
Ramachandran (Mar 2, '07)
AL-QAEDA'S
RESURGENCE, Part 1 Ready to take on the world
After
consolidating its leadership, re-establishing its
financial arteries and making a "grand compromise"
with Saudi Arabia, al-Qaeda is positioned to
revive its global agenda. The prime targets in
al-Qaeda's new war will be Europe and hostile
Muslim states, in addition to opening new fronts
from Somalia to Palestine. Crucially, the
offensive will include rockets bearing chemical or
even nuclear weapons. -Syed
Saleem Shahzad (Mar 1, '07)
Chalabi now puts Iraq first
Ahmad
Chalabi, once the darling of the US
neo-conservatives, has a new job in Iraq building
support for the ramped-up security regime in
Baghdad. Already, he claims credit for helping
stay the hand of Shi'ite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr's
militia, and tells National Interest online
editorXimena Ortiz that
he is no longer seen as a guardian of Washington
interests, but rather of "an Iraqi agenda". (Mar 1,
'07)
Selling Iraq by the barrel Under the
production-sharing agreements provided for in
Iraq's draft oil law, foreign companies will not
come under the jurisdiction of Iraqi courts. As a
result, many believe that the country will not
only lose out on its oil wealth, but also have its
sovereignty compromised. (Mar 1, '07)
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