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  War and Terror
    

October 2010


AN ATOL EXCLUSIVE
Taliban peace talks come to a halt
After gaining momentum in August, the reconciliation process between the Taliban and the United States, shepherded by third parties, has broken down. A Taliban representative tells Asia Times Online that the process was a smokescreen for the US to intensify operations against the Taliban and al-Qaeda. For its part, al-Qaeda is regrouping to launch world-wide attacks. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 29, '10)

THE ROVING EYE
Osama has (not)
left the building

It has 16 intelligence agencies employing a million spooks at its disposal, along with the military muscle of the entire NATO alliance. And it's been on the job for at least a decade. So why can't the US find Osama bin Laden? Maybe someone should ask Pakistan’s spy agency. - Pepe Escobar (Oct 29, '10)

Iraq calls time on Saddam's sidekick
Former Iraqi deputy premier Tariq Aziz once said he would rather die than go to an American prison. On Tuesday, the "international face" of Saddam Hussein's regime was sentenced to death over persecution of Islamic parties. Nuri al-Maliki, on the brink of sealing a deal to give him another four years as prime minister, apparently feels confident enough to act on something he has long dreamt of: revenge against Aziz. - Sami Moubayed (Oct 27, '10)

THE ROVING EYE
Aziz's story will remain untold
Maliki and his Shi'ite Da'wa party had a score to settle with Aziz, and they will believe justice has now been done. Everyone else loses badly because Aziz is arguably the only person on Earth who could tell the real story, bit by juicy bit, about the rolling, decades-long American dirty game in Iraq. - Pepe Escobar (Oct 27, '10)

NATO invites Russia to join Afghan fray
In an incredible twist to the great game, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization has invited Russia to dive deeper into the Afghan war. NATO has nothing to lose, while Russia will spot a lucrative deal as much as the political embrace. Yet for those who remember the death unleashed by Russian gunships more than two decades ago, their return will invoke fear and fury. - M K Bhadrakumar (Oct 27, '10)

Drones ever-closer to Pakistan's militants
After surviving at least 12 attempts on his life, Qari Hussain Mehsud, whose specialty was training suicide bombers, has been confirmed killed in a United States drone attack. The death of the school dropout who rose to become a national terror ringmaster is in itself a major blow for the Pakistani Taliban. It also indicates that the militants' North Waziristan bastion is becoming increasingly vulnerable. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 26, '10)

New Iraqi alignment reveals US failure
New information about the killing of five American soldiers in 2007, and a political accommodation between Shi'ite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr and Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, reveal a convergence of Shi’ite interests in Iraq. This balance of power leaves the United States the odd man out. - Gareth Porter (Oct 26, '10)

Covert ops sabotage US-Iran ties
The United States has spent millions on covert operations aimed at destabilizing Iran's government and trying to sabotage its nuclear program. The use of hitmen, front companies and double agents has only created more obstacles to a long-term solution by reinforcing Iranian fears of the "Great Satan". - Rob Grace (Oct 26, '10)

US-Pakistan embrace is a fillip for peace
The United States and Pakistan's demarche is back on a firm footing after a compromise suggesting that Islamabad will not torpedo the Afghan settlement the White House has in mind. Under a deal forged last week, the US will accommodate Pakistan's interests in Afghanistan and continue wide-ranging support. Afghan peace talks may now gain traction. - M K Bhadrakumar (Oct 25, '10)

Sympathy for Iran spawns new world order
As frequent Tehran visitor and Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez exhorts the weak to take on the "kings of the world'', his Iranian counterpart Mahmud Ahmadinejad's script for nuclear talks has acquired a larger significance. Tehran's ability to solicit sympathy from nations ready to break Western sanctions is accelerating the birth of a new world order. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Oct 25, '10)

US dug in for long haul in Afghanistan
Plans by the Pentagon to spend billions of dollars upgrading and expanding the network of forward operating bases in Afghanistan suggest that the military's long-term strategy differs greatly from the July 2011 drawdown promised by President Barack Obama. From runways and helicopter parking to PXs and dog kennels, these bases are becoming too permanent for an imminent withdrawal. - Nick Turse (Oct 22, '10)

Extremists winning the mind games
Pakistan has tried twice to counter radical Islam and al-Qaeda's appeal. The first attempt under General Pervez Musharraf was gaining traction before he resigned as president in 2008. The subsequent effort to promote Sufism has backfired, with Sufi shrines under militant attack and key leaders lying low. The ideological high ground is back with extremists. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 21, '10)

THE ROVING EYE
And the winner is ... Muqtada
Iraq's next government will likely be Iran-friendly and Shi'ite-friendly, headed by incumbent Nuri al-Maliki, but crucially with the support of Shi'ite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr. At the same time, although Iraq has the third-largest proven oil reserves in the world, it will be exploited by Chinese, Russian and Asian companies, not US Big Oil - the final nail in the coffin of the neo-conservative fantasy of a Greater Middle East as an American lake. - Pepe Escobar (Oct 19, '10)

CIA slipping its leash with drone strikes
The Barack Obama administration tells the world that its campaign of drone strikes in Pakistan is aimed at al-Qaeda and is carefully targeted. But interviews with Pakistanis affected by the attacks, and examination of the area most of the unmanned aircraft are hitting, suggest that neither claim is true. - Gareth Porter (Oct 19, '10)

Writers refuse to face horrors of Afghan war
The groundswell of protest against the Vietnam War was strongly influenced by books that exposed the human costs of the conflict, and questioned whether it should be fought. The current literature of the Afghan war is more concerned with muscle-minded analyses of how to fight a better counter-insurgency. - Nick Turse (Oct 18, '10)

AN ATOL EXCLUSIVE
Pakistan frees Taliban commander
Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, the Taliban's commander in Afghanistan who was arrested in Pakistan in February, has been set free. Asia Times Online has learned that Baradar has been reunited with his Taliban "family", and that he has been earmarked to play a key role in backchannel talks through the Pakistani army with Washington. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 15, '10)

Heroes and villains in Lebanon
The fanfare over Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad's visit to Lebanon raises fears of a step towards a Hezbollah takeover that would see Lebanon become an Iranian client state. While the provocative two-day tour could stoke more political turmoil in Beirut, the power projection on display is likely to boost Ahmadinejad's popularity at home. - Robert Tait (Oct 14, '10)

Ahmadinejad bears a message for Israel
Apart from threatening to throw a stone in Israel's direction, Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad hopes to achieve a lot during his two-day visit to Lebanon that started on Wednesday, from reiterating support for Hezbollah to improving trade and economic ties. Paramount, though, will be a warning of a frontal attack from south Lebanon should Israel dare to attack Iran. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Oct 13, '10)

Ahmadinejad steps into a cauldron
The enthusiastic welcome Hezbollah has planned for Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad’s visit to Beirut this week has fueled speculation that, after reports that some of its members will be indicted for the murder of ex-premier Rafik Hariri, the group will use the president's presence to undermine the Western-backed Lebanese government. - Victor Kotsev (Oct 12, '10)

Middle East squeeze on Obama
Even with a United States-led salvage effort underway, time is running out on the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks. The protagonists are playing brinkmanship with each other, and sensing US President Barack Obama's weakness after he declared Middle East peace a top priority, they are collectively putting the squeeze on him. - Victor Kotsev (Oct 7, '10)

Afghan war moves deeper into Pakistan
A disillusioned German recruit for al-Qaeda provided information that led to the US Predator drone attack in Pakistan on Monday in which at least eight other Germans were killed. Rami Mackenzie was part of an al-Qaeda franchise set up in Pakistan's tribal area to launch attacks in Europe. The Afghan war has taken a giant step eastwards. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 6, '10)

US scrambles to save peace talks
The Barack Obama administration has offered Israel "juicy carrots" to freeze all settlement construction in the West Bank so that failing Middle East peace talks can be kept alive. The inducements make nobody happy - from the Palestinians to Israel's far right - and may damage the US president's credibility as an honest broker in the Arab world. - Jim Lobe (Oct 5, '10)

DISPATCHES FROM AMERICA
America suffers a power outage
The United States remains a powerful nation with a military to match and undeniable global heft, but in whole regions of the world its power slippage is no less real for that - and, by any measure, irreversible. As Washington's failure to impose its monetary or energy policies on the rest of the world shows, we have entered a new era in history. - Dilip Hiro (Oct 5, '10)

Carryings on up the Khyber Pass
The closure of the Khyber Pass, through which the bulk of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization's supplies travel on the way to Afghanistan, is a manifestation of the growing power of hawkish anti-American elements in the Pakistani military. While militants have added to the problem by attacking convoys, the message to Washington is clear: Pakistan can't be taken for granted. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 4, '10)

 September 2010


ATol Specials



Syed Saleem Shahzad reports on the Afghan war from the Taliban side
(Dec '06)

How Hezbollah defeated Israel
By
Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
(Oct '06)

Mark Perry and
Alastair Crooke
talk to the 'terrorists'
(Mar, '06)

  The evidence for and against Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program

  Nir Rosen goes inside the Iraqi resistance

Nir Rosen rides with the 3rd armored cavalry in western Iraq

Islamism, fascism and terrorism

by Marc Erikson


For earlier articles go to:

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