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    Front Page
    
In life, or death, Baitullah's fight endures

Reports of the death of Pakistani Taliban leader Baitullah Mehsud may be premature, but they do raise the issue of how his demise will affect the struggle he has championed against foreign forces in Afghanistan and Pakistani troops in the tribal areas. If history is any indication, another leader will quickly emerge to replace the man described as "more dangerous than Osama bin Laden", and the battle will go even more global. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 2, '08)

Wolfowitz up to more mischief?
Former United States deputy defense secretary and World Bank chief Paul Wolfowitz is embroiled in a geostrategic conflict of interests through his chairmanship of a US arms-control advisory panel as well as the US-Taiwan Business Council. At the heart of the matter is a pending US$11 billion arms package for Taiwan. - Jim Lobe (Oct 2, '08)

China tangled up in red, white and blue
China has been a less divisive issue than usual in the run-up to the United States presidential elections, but in Beijing the leaders are watching developments closely, having already predicted relations with Washington will become less volatile, no matter who takes over the White House. - Dingli Shen (Oct 2, '08)

India aglow as nuclear pact approved
The US Senate has ratified a long-delayed civilian nuclear pact with India, handing a rare foreign policy victory to President George W Bush and culminating a three-year debate that raised alarms about a new arms race and nearly toppled India's government. - Siddharth Srivastava
(Oct 2, '08)

The odd couple of global spirituality
In an electrifying salvo, Miguel d'Escoto, the current president of the United Nations General Assembly, has infused new energy into his position with a call to tap spirituality as a wellspring of global solidarity. The former Sandinista-sympathetic priest has found an unlikely ally in Iran's President Mahmud Ahmadinejad, and the UN may never be the same. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Oct 2, '08)

Who pushed Medvedev?
President Dmitry Medvedev started out by improving the public mood in Russia and invigorating relationships with European leaders. After the adventure in Georgia, however, Moscow got right back to Cold War paranoia and was again frozen out by the West. Yet some in the Kremlin are glowing. - Andreas Umland (Oct 2, '08)



SPENGLER
Truth, lies and ticker tape
The world will not end if the US Congress refuses to pass a redrawn financial sector bailout plan. Unfortunately, nor will it be the end of America's financier caste, which will live to fleece another day. But when you hear that there is no choice but a bailout, remember: it just ain't so. (Oct 1, '08)

CHINA'S DOLLAR MILLSTONE
Gold, manipulation and domination
For China, the world's biggest creditor nation, to allow successful national development it must cease having its currency a derivative of the US dollar and stop relying on a US-dollar denominated trade surplus to finance domestic development. The historic role of gold and its manipulation tells it as much. - Henry C K Liu (Oct 1, '08)
This is the fourth part of a continuing series.
Part 1: Breaking free from dollar hegemony
Part 2: Developing China with sovereign credit
Part 3: History of monetary imperialism

THE MOGAMBO GURU
Inflation in stereo
Thanks to the ceaseless creation of ever-more money and credit, inflation is seeping into every aspect of US life, and it doesn't just affect price labels. Just try getting a product warranty honored. All thanks to former Fed head Alan Greenspan. (Oct 1, '08)

DISPATCHES FROM AMERICA
How forgotten Iraq may elect the president
The centerpiece of the United States presidential race may turn on an almost forgotten war in a forgotten country - Iraq, a tinderbox that could explode at any moment. The war is causing two powerful riptides just below the surface of American politics. There is Democrat Senator Barack Obama's war, the realistic disaster that most Americans have now accepted, and Republican Senator John McCain's war, the symbolic success story that so many Americans still wish was the reality. - Ira Chernus (Oct 1, '08)

Iran fears nuclear witchhunt
The cash-strapped International Atomic Energy Agency's flip-flops on Iran, now saying it cannot confirm the absence of a clandestine nuclear program, raise concerns that the United Nations' nuclear watchdog is under pressure from the West to tighten the screws on Tehran. At the same time, the longer the nuclear crisis continues, the less isolated Tehran becomes internationally. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Oct 1, '08)

Sinophobia smolders in Malaysia
A ruling party official in Malaysia has been suspended after an anti-Chinese tirade in which he described ethnic Chinese Malaysians as devious "squatters" undeserving of equal rights. Such racism has a long and tragic history in Southeast Asia, but Malaysia's punitive reaction to the remarks may signal a new era of multiculturalism. - Hui Yew-Foong (Oct 1, '08)

Bush had no plan to catch Bin Laden
The United States missed the opportunity to catch Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan in 2001, new evidence reveals, because Washington was obsessed with starting the Iraq War and failed to allocate enough troops to the task. The blunder was allegedly compounded by a decision to turn down an offer of 60,000 Pakistani troops. - Gareth Porter (Sep 30, '08)

The fight goes on, militants tell Pakistan
The Taliban have officially rejected a Saudi Arabian-British backdoor initiative for Islamabad to strike peace deals with militants in Pakistan. The Taliban realize the aim is to separate them from al-Qaeda, and are having none of it. So the battle in the tribal areas continues apace, with the militants now attracting vital support from across the border in Afghanistan, as well as from previously pro-Pakistan tribal chiefs. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Sep 30, '08)

Why the US is losing in Afghanistan
Most of the literature on the cost of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the "war on terror" focuses on the burden these conflicts place on the US federal budget. This is a very real issue, but it deflects attention from another key point: in Afghanistan, the US has consistently failed to provide the financial and military resources necessary to win the war. - Anthony H Cordesman (Sep 30, '08)

Danger - Ben and Henry at work
United States Fed chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson have failed to cope with the US's financial crisis, and their bailout plan was inequitable, morally unacceptable, in total contradiction to sound banking principles, dangerously inflationary and potentially highly disruptive for the long-term health of the economy. - Hossein Askari and Noureddine Krichene (Sep 30, '08)

The cost of 'no government'
Americans for six successive congressional elections voted into power the anti-government Republican Party. The bills for "getting the government off our backs" - including its crucial regulatory function - are now coming in. - Julian Delasantellis (Sep 30, '08)

THE MOGAMBO GURU
The world's most powerful currency
Consumers who thought they could get a perpetual free lunch by borrowing money to pay for it are discovering that the bill comes sooner or later. But the golden lining to this dark cloud is visible in the East. (Sep 30, '08)

SUN WUKONG
Carrying the can for
China's tragedies

China's swift punishment of officials linked to the tainted-milk scandal and a recent mining catastrophe may signal a new era of accountability for its leadership. But with the system still vague, and disgraced officials often swiftly re-appointed, the concept seems unlikely to fly. - Wu Zhong (Sep 30, '08)

SPENGLER
US wealth in shrink mode
Leverage is the secret of American wealth, helping to triple over the past 40 years the proportion of wealth held by the average US family compared with its annual income. With leveraging now broken, the bottom could be a long way down. (Sep 29, '08)

CHAN AKYA
Deaf frogs and the Pied Piper
The United States financial crisis is being hailed as the death of market capitalism and has resurrected enthusiasm for socialism, notably as practiced in various parts of Asia. Choose that route, and Asian governments can yet manage to heap misery on their unsuspecting populations for years to come. (Sep 29, '08)

DISPATCHES FROM AMERICA
We have the money
Few blinked when a US$612 billion Pentagon budget sailed through the US Congress, even as negotiators in Washington were scrambling to find a similar sum to deal with financial meltdown. Congress has been corrupted by the military-industrial complex into believing that, by voting for more defense spending, they are supplying "jobs". In fact, they are diverting scarce resources from the desperately needed rebuilding of the American infrastructure. - Chalmers Johnson (Sep 29, '08)

CAMPAIGN OUTSIDER
The wrong vice
In this week's vice presidential debate in the United States between Mr Know-it-all and Miss Congeniality, don't assess which nominee would make the best vice president, but which presidential nominee chose the best running mate and the clues that selection provides about  his would-be presidency. - Muhammad Cohen (Sep 29, '08)

Red capitalism or market communism?
China's former paramount leader Deng Xiaoping cautioned that there is no absolute demarcation between socialism and capitalism. That may comfort China's present leaders, oft criticized in the United States for not hastening the development of free markets, as they watch the US government buy up private assets at an unprecedented rate - and as Chinese provincial governments demand intervention in the property market. - Sally Wang (Sep 26, '08)

Financial crisis threatens US influence
The added burden of a US$700 billion Wall Street bailout to the US$15 billion the US is already spending every month on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will almost certainly damage Washington's ability to get its way abroad. Apart from the international loss of face incurred by the former champion of the free market, cuts can be expected in foreign aid, which the US uses to influence the behavior of countries. - Jim Lobe (Sep 26, '08)
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Crisis control fit
for the TV age

As the world awaits the next vote on the US bank bailout plan, and fantasy numbers become an important balance-sheet entry, the real crisis remains untouched - that Americans think they can adjust economic policies simply on the basis of what they like. They face a rude awakening. - Julian Delasantellis

Yen a winner from
financial woes

The Japanese currency looks set to strengthen further as investors become increasingly wary of risky investments amid a global economic slowdown. That means a reduced willingness to take advantage of the country's low interest rates. - Kosuke Takahashi

ASIA HAND
SE Asian memo
to Wall Street

Southeast Asia is no disinterested bystander as US politicians and bankers slug out details of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's rescue bill. Strong and bitter memories remain of the bailout terms imposed from the West during the Asian financial crisis a decade ago, terms now mocked by actions in Wall St and Washington. - Shawn W Crispin

Asian markets brush
off Senate move

Hyped by its backers as the last thing preventing the entire United States economy from sinking into a black hole of immeasurable depth and torment, the US$810 billion financial rescue bill was passed by the US Senate on Thursday evening - and Asian markets barely blinked. - R M Cutler



 THE MOGAMBO GURU

The $200 million house of bread Outrageous claims to the contrary by supposedly clever folk who should know better, there is No Freaking Way that the US taxpayer will show a real, inflation-adjusted profit from the bailout of the financial sector. Their time would be better spent buying gold.

CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
A changed financial landscape
US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's bailout of the financial sector may haul the economy back from the precipice. Either way, less finance will now go towards entrepreneurial activities, productive endeavors and the asset markets - and ample government-directed purchasing power will ensure stubborn consumer price inflation. (Sep 29, '08)
Doug Noland looks at the previous week's events each Monday.

THE WEEK AHEAD



... [I]n the end, both the American people and foreign investors were scammed. A more vigilant and responsible US government would/should have stepped in at an early stage to prevent the con game from spiraling out of control and ruining the lives of millions ...
John Chen
   Go to Letters to the Editor

On The Edge
The sinking value of the greenback and the rise of the euro as the principle international reserve currency which could conceivably replace it in oil transactions is just another reason why Uncle Sam is so determined to throw his military weight around.
Charles Knause
   Go to the readers' forum topic, The Independent European Defense Intitiative



1. Bush had no plan to catch Bin Laden

2. Truth, lies and ticker tape

3. Gold, manipulation and domination

4. Inflation in stereo

5. Iran fears nuclear witchhunt

6. The world's most powerful currency

7. How forgotten Iraq may elect the president

8. Sinophobia smolders in Malaysia

(24 hours to 11:59pm ET, Oct 1, 2008)




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