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Nuclear bond for North Korea, Myanmar

A recent flurry of high-level contacts between North Korea and military officials from Myanmar raises the possibility that Myanmar is seeking nuclear weapons procurements. Whether the visits are related to nuclear or conventional arms, military industrial development or tunneling technology, they set off security alarm bells in Southeast Asia. - Norman Robespierre (Oct 3, '08)

In North Korea, a port with no joy
It was a happier day in North Korea when former US president Jimmy Carter posed for photographs with Kim Il-sung in 1994 atop a West Sea dam - one of the Hermit Nation's proudest achievements. But today, as Donald Kirk reports, the dam and the harbor it protects are threadbare and sad - apt analogies for an economic vision gone awry and a nation left to starve. (Oct 3, '08)


Stormy weather for Taiwan's Ma
Weeks of typhoons and a tainted-milk scare have soured the start of Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou's administration, and battered his popularity. His original plan was simple: nurture closer ties with China to boost Taiwan's sagging economy. So far, however, economic progress is shaky, Chinese tourists aren't arriving and Beijing certainly isn't returning his overtures. - Cindy Sui (Oct 3, '08)

Blood thickens Japan's political waters
The unstable nature of present-day Japanese politics may stem from a continued preference for well-heeled hereditary politicians totally out of step with everyday citizens. Prime Minister Taro Aso's new cabinet is no exception - 12 of its 18 members have prominent political pedigree. A widening income gap may change all this. - Kosuke Takahashi (Oct 3, '08)

India and the temples of doom
Horrific temple stampedes have become an all too common occurrence at Hindu festivals in India, with the trampling to death of 147 pilgrims in Jodhpur on Tuesday the latest tragedy. Rudimentary or non-existent crowd management measures exacerbate the problem, yet instead of dealing with the issue, politicians tap the disasters for political capital. - Neeta Lal (Oct 3, '08)

India and the US marching on
Wednesday's conclusion of a civilian nuclear deal between the United States and India has already been described as a "non-proliferation disaster". But for Washington and Delhi, apart from lucrative business opportunities, the accord is a major step in a military relationship that could blossom into a fully fledged alliance. - Jim Lobe (Oct 3, '08)

<IT WORLD>
Milk bad, snow on Mars OK
Customers of a Skype partnership in China have had Internet chat and text messages intercepted and stored for analysis by the authorities. Key words - "milk", for example - trigger the intercepts. The unlikely combination of "snow" and "Mars" is more likely to get through. (Oct 3, '08)
Martin J Young surveys the week's developments in computing, science, gaming and gizmos.

BOOK REVIEW
Asians one and all
Pan-Asianism in modern Japanese history, edited by Sven Saaler and J Victor Koschmann
The essays in this book reconstruct the development of Pan-Asianism - the assumption that Asians should be united - as one of the most important trends in modern Japanese history. One of the crucial points in the study of Pan-Asianism is its application and relation to real life, yet this is entirely ignored by the authors. - Dmitry Shlapentokh (Oct 3, '08)



In life, or death, Baitullah's fight endures
Reports of the death of Pakistani Taliban leader Baitullah Mehsud may be premature, but they do raise the issue of how his demise will affect the struggle he has championed against foreign forces in Afghanistan and Pakistani troops in the tribal areas. If history is any indication, another leader will quickly emerge to replace the man described as "more dangerous than Osama bin Laden", and the battle will go even more global. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Oct 2, '08)

Wolfowitz up to more mischief?
Former United States deputy defense secretary and World Bank chief Paul Wolfowitz is embroiled in a geostrategic conflict of interests through his chairmanship of a US arms-control advisory panel as well as the US-Taiwan Business Council. At the heart of the matter is a pending US$11 billion arms package for Taiwan. - Jim Lobe (Oct 2, '08)

Crisis control fit for the TV age
As the world awaits the next vote on the US bank bailout plan, and fantasy numbers become an important balance-sheet entry, the real crisis remains untouched - that Americans think they can adjust economic policies simply on the basis of what they like. They face a rude awakening. - Julian Delasantellis (Oct 2, '08)

ASIA HAND
SE Asian memo to Wall Street
Southeast Asia is no disinterested bystander as US politicians and bankers slug out details of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's rescue bill. Strong and bitter memories remain of the bailout terms imposed from the West during the Asian financial crisis a decade ago, terms now mocked by actions in Wall St and Washington. - Shawn W Crispin (Oct 2, '08)

Yen a winner from financial woes
The Japanese currency looks set to strengthen further as investors become increasingly wary of risky investments amid a global economic slowdown. That means a reduced willingness to take advantage of the country's low interest rates. - Kosuke Takahashi (Oct 2, '08)

THE MOGAMBO GURU
The $200 million house of bread
Outrageous claims to the contrary by supposedly clever folk who should know better, there is No Freaking Way that the US taxpayer will show a real, inflation-adjusted profit from the bailout of the financial sector. Their time would be better spent buying gold. (Oct 2, '08)

China tangled up in red, white and blue
China has been a less divisive issue than usual in the run-up to the United States presidential elections, but in Beijing the leaders are watching developments closely, having already predicted relations with Washington will become less volatile, no matter who takes over the White House. - Dingli Shen (Oct 2, '08)

India aglow as nuclear pact approved
The US Senate has ratified a long-delayed civilian nuclear pact with India, handing a rare foreign policy victory to President George W Bush and culminating a three-year debate that raised alarms about a new arms race and nearly toppled India's government. - Siddharth Srivastava
(Oct 2, '08)

Who pushed Medvedev?
President Dmitry Medvedev started out by improving the public mood in Russia and invigorating relationships with European leaders. After the adventure in Georgia, however, Moscow got right back to Cold War paranoia and was again frozen out by the West. Yet some in the Kremlin are glowing. - Andreas Umland (Oct 2, '08)

SPENGLER
Truth, lies and ticker tape
The world will not end if the US Congress refuses to pass a redrawn financial sector bailout plan. Unfortunately, nor will it be the end of America's financier caste, which will live to fleece another day. But when you hear that there is no choice but a bailout, remember: it just ain't so. (Oct 1, '08)

CHINA'S DOLLAR MILLSTONE
Gold, manipulation and domination
For China, the world's biggest creditor nation, to allow successful national development it must cease having its currency a derivative of the US dollar and stop relying on a US-dollar denominated trade surplus to finance domestic development. The historic role of gold and its manipulation tells it as much. - Henry C K Liu (Oct 1, '08)
This is the fourth part of a continuing series.
Part 1: Breaking free from dollar hegemony
Part 2: Developing China with sovereign credit
Part 3: History of monetary imperialism

DISPATCHES FROM AMERICA
How forgotten Iraq may elect the president
The centerpiece of the United States presidential race may turn on an almost forgotten war in a forgotten country - Iraq, a tinderbox that could explode at any moment. The war is causing two powerful riptides just below the surface of American politics. There is Democrat Senator Barack Obama's war, the realistic disaster that most Americans have now accepted, and Republican Senator John McCain's war, the symbolic success story that so many Americans still wish was the reality. - Ira Chernus (Oct 1, '08)

Iran fears nuclear witchhunt
The cash-strapped International Atomic Energy Agency's flip-flops on Iran, now saying it cannot confirm the absence of a clandestine nuclear program, raise concerns that the United Nations' nuclear watchdog is under pressure from the West to tighten the screws on Tehran. At the same time, the longer the nuclear crisis continues, the less isolated Tehran becomes internationally. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Oct 1, '08)

Sinophobia smolders in Malaysia
A ruling party official in Malaysia has been suspended after an anti-Chinese tirade in which he described ethnic Chinese Malaysians as devious "squatters" undeserving of equal rights. Such racism has a long and tragic history in Southeast Asia, but Malaysia's punitive reaction to the remarks may signal a new era of multiculturalism. - Hui Yew-Foong (Oct 1, '08)

Bush had no plan to catch Bin Laden
The United States missed the opportunity to catch Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan in 2001, new evidence reveals, because Washington was obsessed with starting the Iraq War and failed to allocate enough troops to the task. The blunder was allegedly compounded by a decision to turn down an offer of 60,000 Pakistani troops. - Gareth Porter (Sep 30, '08)

Why the US is losing in Afghanistan
Most of the literature on the cost of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the "war on terror" focuses on the burden these conflicts place on the US federal budget. This is a very real issue, but it deflects attention from another key point: in Afghanistan, the US has consistently failed to provide the financial and military resources necessary to win the war. - Anthony H Cordesman (Sep 30, '08)

SUN WUKONG
Carrying the can for
China's tragedies

China's swift punishment of officials linked to the tainted-milk scandal and a recent mining catastrophe may signal a new era of accountability for its leadership. But with the system still vague, and disgraced officials often swiftly re-appointed, the concept seems unlikely to fly. - Wu Zhong (Sep 30, '08)

SPENGLER
US wealth in shrink mode
Leverage is the secret of American wealth, helping to triple over the past 40 years the proportion of wealth held by the average US family compared with its annual income. With leveraging now broken, the bottom could be a long way down. (Sep 29, '08)

CHAN AKYA
Deaf frogs and the Pied Piper
The United States financial crisis is being hailed as the death of market capitalism and has resurrected enthusiasm for socialism, notably as practiced in various parts of Asia. Choose that route, and Asian governments can yet manage to heap misery on their unsuspecting populations for years to come. (Sep 29, '08)
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The mother of all golden parachutes
As US politicians reconsider Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's financial bailout plan they should recognize it will do little to disperse the financial and economic clouds hanging over the world. It will instead allow banks to make huge riskless profits, while for others it is now impossible to make any sound investment decision in an environment propitious only for speculation. - Hossein Askari and Noureddine Krichene

CHAN AKYA
Dismal math
Simple math helps to debunk the mumbo-jumbo carelessly thrown around by central banks and the media with respect to the present financial crisis. The exercise proves among other things that the US Treasury will certainly buy assets above fair value, while European efforts to save their banking systems are doomed.

MARKET RAP
More depths plumbed
The New Zealand market was as good as it got this week, and that showed a fall of more than 1%. Japan set the pace for declines and is now looking at territory not seen in almost 25 years.
R M Cutler runs his eye over the ups and downs in the week's markets.

 THE MOGAMBO GURU

Fed up with
Fed credit

The latest utterly astronomical jump in the amount of Fed-created credit in the US financial system is raising awareness of the "danger" our financial overlords are igniting of a great inflation in consumer prices to stave off a great depression. Danger? There is no danger!! There is total certainty!!!



CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
A changed financial landscape
US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's bailout of the financial sector may haul the economy back from the precipice. Either way, less finance will now go towards entrepreneurial activities, productive endeavors and the asset markets - and ample government-directed purchasing power will ensure stubborn consumer price inflation. (Sep 29, '08)
Doug Noland looks at the previous week's events each Monday.

THE WEEK AHEAD



[Re Wolfowitz up to more mischief?, Oct 2] ... [Former World Bank president Paul Wolfowitz] reels from one fiasco to another. Has it ever occurred to him that there is a lovefest going on between Taiwan and the mainland? The question is no longer if but when Taiwan will reunite with the mainland. So any advanced US weapons systems sold to Taiwan will eventually fall into the hands of China.
Kelvin Mok
   Go to Letters to the Editor

On The Edge
I think that Captain Lawrence and my distant ancestors who fought in General Washington's army would be sick at heart to see the sorry state of America today. Those rugged and determined group of patriot farmers and tradesmen could not stomach the fact that the American people sat back and allowed an international class of pirates to hijack and take over the apparatus of the state ...
Charles Knause
   Go to the readers' forum topic, The Biggest Bank Heist in World History



1. Truth, lies and ticker tape

2. Gold, manipulation and domination

3. Crisis control fit for the TV age

4. Wolfowitz up to more mischief?

5. The $200 million house of bread

6. In life, or death, Baitullah's fight endures

7. Who pushed Medvedev?

8. China tangled up in red, white and blue

9. India aglow as nuclear pact approved

(24 hours to 11:59pm ET, Oct 2, 2008)




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