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    Front Page
    

Now the Tibet blame game begins

Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao on Tuesday assured that "social order" has all but been restored in Lhasa, the capital of Tibet, which has been scarred by anti-Chinese demonstrations. Beijing is now left to limit the damage from the high-profile disturbances, and is doing so by squarely blaming the Dalai Lama, the exiled Tibetan leader, for not only instigating the unrest, but also for trying to sabotage China's Olympic dream. - John Ng (Mar 18, '08)

China and India: Oh to be different
Once again, with the unrest in Tibet, Beijing has been caught unprepared and has revealed its inability to deal with dissent and difference, despite the stated goal of creating a harmonious society. In direct contrast, India's diverse polity has flourished against all the odds precisely because of its ability to acknowledge difference. - Pallavi Aiyar (Mar 18, '08)


Two-horse race for Pakistan's hot seat
The battle within the Pakistan People's Party, the dominant group in the new coalition government, is a race between Asif Ali Zardari, the widower of Benazir Bhutto, and party stalwart Makhdoom Amin Fahim. Zardari carries a lot of baggage, while Fahim would be the preferred candidate of President Pervez Musharraf and Washington. The "street-smart" Zardari is up for the fight. - Syed Saleem Shahzad (Mar 18, '08)

CAMPAIGN OUTSIDER
Checklists for the next big vote
There are weeks or months to go until the next vote that matters for US presidential candidates, but it's no time to relax - each campaign needs a to-do list to keep them on the winning path. (Mar 18, '08)
Muhammad Cohen puts the US presidential campaign into sharper focus from afar.

Guns? Not me says Viktor Bout
Viktor Bout, the 41-year-old Russian businessman being held on "terrorism charges" in Bangkok for conspiring to sell "millions of dollars worth of weapons" to Colombian guerrillas, is innocent, his lawyer vehemently claims. His reputation for selling guns, guns, guns is being disarmed by his legal team, which says any attempts to extradite Bout to Guantanamo Bay or elsewhere are based only on "blah blah blah". - Richard S Ehrlich (Mar 18, '08)

Khomeini's grandchild breaks her silence
The outspoken views of Zahra Eshraghi, granddaughter of Ruhollah Khomeini, the leader of the Islamic revolution in Iran, have put her at odds with Tehran's conservative hardliners and have drawn a gag order from her own prestigious family. But the recent mass disqualification of reformists in the March 14 parliamentary elections and what she feels are "delusions" maintained by the current regime have moved her to break her silence. (Mar 18, '08)



SPENGLER
The peculiar theology
of black liberation

US presidential nominee candidate Barack Obama belongs to a Christian church whose doctrine casts Jesus Christ as a "black messiah" and blacks as "the chosen people". At best, this is a radically different kind of Christianity than most Americans acknowledge; at worst it is an ethnocentric heresy. (Mar 17, '08)

India awakes to a Tibetan headache
The Dalai Lama, the spiritual leader of the Tibetan government in exile based in India, is reveling in all the attention from the hordes of Western media people who have descended on his Himalayan township. For now, Beijing's crackdown on protesters in the Tibetan capital, Lhasa, plays into his hands as a fierce critic of China. But a delicate three-way diplomatic tango is commencing, involving the United States and China, with India providing the turf - which can only turn out messy for India, as well as for the Dalai Lama. - M K Bhadrakumar (Mar 17, '08)

Olympic flame burns ominously
In just a few months, the Olympic torch is due to pass through Lhasa, the Tibetan capital that has erupted in anti-Chinese violence. Officials in Beijing are adamant that nothing will stop the torch's progress on its way to the opening of the Games in August. Which means that whatever it takes, the protests will be silenced. - Situ Feng and John Ng (Mar 17, '08)

CHAN AKYA
Trust goes down the drain
The acquisition of Bear Stearns by JPMorgan Chase at a knock-down price of $2 per share means investors cannot trust the reported book value of US financial firms any more. And if they cannot trust investment banks, can the trust of commercial banks be really all that higher? The Fed and other central banks should now understand that the bailers themselves may need to be bailed out in time. (Mar 17, '08)

My Lai probe hid policy that led to massacre
The My Lai massacre of as many as 400 Vietnamese civilians by US troops in 1968 has long been perceived as the rogue act of overzealous GIs and a clear violation of official policy on the treatment of non-combatants. But a newly obtained document suggests the responsibility for My Lai could be linked directly to the top US commander in Vietnam, General William C Westmoreland. - Gareth Porter (Mar 17, '08)

Inflation tests Vietnam's growth
Annual GDP growth of more than 8% combined with economic reforms has helped to transform and industrialize Vietnam. Now, as striking workers press for higher pay, the government's success story is threatened by rising inflation, not all of which can be blamed on global factors. - Andrew Symon (Mar 17, '08)

IRAN VOTES
A new political space opens
As widely expected, "principalists" - conservatives - have taken the majority of seats in Iran's parliamentary elections, although reformists have fared better than anticipated. With some seats going to a second round of polling over the next few weeks, the United States' anti-Iran rhetoric will further strengthen the hands of the conservatives. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi (Mar 17, '08)

Russia throws a wrench in NATO's works
President Vladimir Putin has made the North Atlantic Treaty Organization an offer it will find extremely difficult to resist - making Russia a participant in the alliance's Afghan mission. The pressure is now on the United States to embrace the idea of Russia becoming a transit route for supplies going to Afghanistan. The trouble is, Washington knows Moscow will incrementally want a bigger role for itself and its allies in Afghanistan, and those allies include China.- M K Bhadrakumar (Mar 14, '08)

CHAN AKYA
Forget Spitzer, fire Bernanke
While the New York governor resigned  for what was essentially a private matter, the world's central bankers cause greater damage and have proven less accountable for their actions. Continued debasement of fiat currencies leaves the financial system unhinged and more prone to collapse. (Mar 14, '08)

Sri Lanka's Tigers in crisis
A series of military and political defeats has devastated the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam, producing the most acute crisis of the secessionist group's 33-year existence. Damaging government attacks on the rebels' infrastructure, and inner turmoil among its leaders, appear to constitute an irreversible trend that could portend a final collapse. - G H Peiris (Mar 13, '08)

THE SHAPE OF US POPULISM
Part 2: Long-term effects of the Civil War
The present deepening and widening financial crisis is laying naked the wealth-making mechanisms of society's elites while wreaking havoc with the lives of low-paid workers. It is also making imminent a wave of populist reform that may extend for several decades. In this are echoes of the New Deal era and much earlier reactions to economic depressions. - Henry C K Liu
This is the second article in a four-part series

 Part 1: A rich free-market legacy - for some

'Terror' attack a warning shot for Beijing
Chinese authorities have linked the foiled hijacking of a plane bound for Beijing to independence fighters in the remote northwestern Uyghur autonomous region of Xinjiang, causing much concern about security for the Summer Olympics. The investigation has revealed a spate of other "terror" plots and sent a clear message to the government. - Fong Tak-ho (Mar 13, '08)

Fallon falls: Iran should worry
Admiral William Fallon's resignation as the United States' top commander in the Middle East removes one of the most outspoken opponents of the George W Bush administration's hard line on Iran. Defense Secretary Robert Gates immediately dismissed as "ridiculous" suggestions that Fallon's departure signaled that the US planned to go to war with Iran, but certainly now "all options" are back on the table. - Gareth Porter (Mar 12, '08)

COMMENT
American Icarus flirted with fire
The widespread view is that US CENTCOM commander Admiral William "Fox" Fallon was sacrificed by the George W Bush administration because he disagreed with its policies on Iran while also saving the US from marauding Chinese. This is bunk. Fallon fell because he committed a far worse crime for a military veteran - he talked out of turn. - Mark Perry (Mar 12, '08)

SUN WUKONG
Guangdong looks
for delta embrace

A rising star of China's Communist Party is looking to create a unified trade zone incorporating Hong Kong, Macau and Guangdong province, a move that would help his own ascendancy while giving a boost to the Pearl Delta region, where industry is being eroded by rising costs. - Wu Zhong (Mar 11, '08)

Why Boeing lost the $40bn tanker deal
Boeing is still smarting after losing out on a US$40 billion US government contract to build a new aerial refueling tanker jet, believing it had a more cost-effective product. But that's not the point. The tankers are not just big flying bladders of fuel. They are a critical component of the George W Bush and neo-conservative foreign policy of being able to bomb any country, any time. Crucially, then, the winning design by Northrup-Grumman and the European EADS aerospace consortium has a fuel cargo capacity almost 25% greater than Boeing's. - Julian Delasantellis (Mar 10, '08)
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THE BEAR'S LAIR
Sorry, I wasn't
pessimistic enough

Early forecasts of declines in US house prices and of mortgage bad-debt losses have fallen far short of the mark and a far grimmer picture is developing. Losses to come are probably large enough to wipe out the banking system and failure of any one major house could be sufficient to bring down the world economy. - Martin Hutchinson

Preventing a financial crash
The Federal Reserve has still much to do if it is to pull the US back from the financial brink. Expanding the range of institutions it deals with would be one step, reflecting the reality that lending is increasingly separated from banks. Increasing the categories of securities it accepts as collateral would be another. - Thomas I Palley

Indonesia plays
power catch-up

Indonesia is introducing a crash program to build power stations after underinvestment in the sector threatens to hold back the country's economic growth. The program could result in curbs on exports of fuel such as coal and gas, while failure to maintain growth could damage the re-election prospects of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono. - Tom McCawley

Strait talk boosts Taiwan stocks
Overseas investors are buying up Taiwanese shares on the prospects of this week's presidential elections leading to improved relations between Taipei and Beijing. - Olivia Chung

 THE MOGAMBO GURU

Borrowing is a doubtful bargain
Borrowing cash to buy now before things cost more tomorrow is a great idea if your job is guaranteed for life. Which it isn't. And it's a good idea if you can pay your bills in the absence of one month's pay, which most folks can't. The end of the world as we know it is nigh and there is only one thing to do - buy gold. Or two - buy oil.

CREDIT BUBBLE BULLETIN
The worst-case scenario - live
The Fed's failure to forestall a run on Bear Stearns indicates that the US financial crisis has attained alarming momentum, with confidence in leveraged securities finance possibly irreparably damaged. The worst-case scenario is unfolding before our very eyes, and it all imparts a bad feeling. (Mar 17, '08)
Doug Noland reviews the previous week's events each Monday.




[Re The peculiar theology of black liberation, Mar 18] Oh Spengler! Do you not realize that US presidential hopeful, Senator Barack Obama, is no less a unifying figure because of the fact that he is the very embodiment of the clash between two irreconcilable cultures: the posture of "black liberation theology" and mainstream American Christianity? ...
Reverend Dr Vincent Zankin
Canberra, Australia
   Go to Letters to the Editor



 <IT WORLD>

Google eye too
close for comfort

Internet giant Google came across something even bigger than itself when it used its Street View service to display the interior of a US military base. Civilians so far seem to be taking a more lenient view of a remarkable technology that has dark implications. (Mar 17, '08)  
Martin J Young surveys the week's developments in computing, gaming and gizmos.



1. The peculiar theology of black liberation

2. India wakes to a Tibetan headache

3. The worst-case scenario - live

4. Trust goes down the drain

5. Obama's women reveal his secret

6. Olympic flame burns ominously
7. My Lai probe hid policy that led to massacre

8. Bad news for tax revenues

9. Inflation tests Vietnam's growth

(24 hours to 11:59 pm ET, Mar 17, 2008)




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