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China

Sino-Russian pipeline compromise reached

BEIJING - Negotiations between China and Russia on an oil pipeline ended recently with a compromise proposal.

According to the proposal, the Angarsk-Daqing oil pipeline (Sino-Russian Scheme) and the Angarsk-Nakhadka pipeline (Far East Scheme) will be joined with a feeder to the Angarsk-Daqing oil pipeline in Daqing and priority will be given to the construction of the trunk pipeline in Daqing, China.

According to Ren Chuanjun, senior deputy president of PetroChina, who has been to Russia for the talks, such a scheme is agreeable to PetroChina. After the project goes into operation, it will directly help China change its present situation to importing 56 percent of its total oil from the Middle East. By 2010, 20-30 percent of China's oil will be imported from Russia, thus directly improving the situation of China's oil security.

For some time, Russia could hardly decide which scheme (Sino-Russian Scheme or Far East Scheme) would be used. Disputes between LUKoil and Transneft were under way. According to LUKoil, if the oil pipeline were built unilaterally, it might suffer after the 25-year period of oil supply expires. However, Transneft opposes the Far East Scheme because most of the oil pipelines are within the boundary of Russia and the company would be forced to invest a great deal of funds and effort constructing them.

In consideration of the interest of all sides, the Russian Ministry of Energy held a government meeting attended by all sides, deciding to make earnest preparations before the signing of the agreement in mid-March. The meeting held that only the compromise proposal conforms to the interests of Russia. The construction of a two-terminal oil pipeline will bring more foreign exchange to this oil exporter. In addition, it will bring more tax revenue for the federation.
Considering that the European oil market is shrinking, Russia began to reduce oil flow from European pipelines. China, where rapid economic growth requires the development of oil resources, and Japan, which almost completely relies on imported oil, offers a thirsty market for Russian oil.

The compromise proposal did not designate when the second phase of the project would begin because Russia will supply at least 80 million tons of oil after the trunk and feeder pipelines are in operation, and it does not have that ability at present. Besides, Russia will need US$2.5 billion to build the 1,600-kilometer-long oil pipeline in the first construction phase, and $5 billion in building the 3,800km pipeline in the second phase.

To import oil from Russia will help change China's oil import structure. Of China's total imported oil, 56 percent comes from the Middle East, 14 percent from the Asia-Pacific Region, 23.5 percent from Africa and 6.5 percent from other parts of the world.

It is expected that China's imported oil will reach 100 million tons by 2010. This means that 20-30 percent of China's imported oil will come from Russia, and its oil security will be eased. In addition, northeastern China has a strong refining capacity. The present oilfield reserves can only satisfy 70 percent of throughput in this area. The import of oil from Russia will help alleviate oil shortages.

(Asia Pulse/XIC)
 
Mar 29, 2003



 

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